BK Hacken Goteborg vs Kalmar FF


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Today’s free tip is in the Swedish Allsvenskan encounter between BK Hacken Goteborg and Kalmar FF.

The likelihood here is that BK Hacken Goteborg will win the game; the bookies are absolutely correct to make them strong favourites. I like this Kalmar FF side but it’s not a match for BK Hacken Goteborg, in all honesty. True enough, the quality gap in the Allsvenskan is not big enough to make it worthwhile to back the home team at such odds but I still expect a home win.

However, when it comes to the goals market, I think that the bookies are a little off with their pricing. Let’s just say that BK Hacken Goteborg has learnt its Allsvenskan lessons from AIK Solna rather than Malmo FF over the years i.e. score and sit on it well. Hell, they even wear the same colours as AIK Solna. It’s uncanny. For the first time in years, BK Hacken Goteborg has a squad that can actually challenge the capital club too. The problem is that so do at least two other teams, one of which is a ridiculously Malmo FF side. It’s going to be a very exciting competition to keep an eye on this season.

I digress, though. The goals market interests me here because BK Hacken Goteborg’s style will most likely annoy Kalmar FF. I like what the visitors have done with their offensive reinforcements but the brutal reality is that Kalmar FF still doesn’t take its chances well enough. Outside of the bottom two clubs, only AIK Solna has scored as few goals as Kalmar FF, and any fan of the Allsvenskan knows that AIK Solna has a lot more to offer in time. Kalmar FF doesn’t tend to struggle with creating chances but scoring them is problematic. My expectation is that BK Hacken Goteborg will prey upon that by sitting deep and waiting for Kalmar FF to miss chances whilst threatening on the break. Not only will that suit the home team’s preference but it’ll also counteract Kalmar FF’s threat rather well. Whether BK Hacken Goteborg will take its chances well enough to win the game is down to them, though. With magnificent Paulinho in their ranks, anything is possible.

Defensively speaking, BK Hacken Goteborg looks solid; almost as much as AIK Solna, which is impressive. I really like how easily they’ve started hurting teams in the final third, which is in no small amount because of Paulinho. Still, Jeremjeff’s movement, Irandust’s composure, Mohammed’s speed, and class acts like Andersson, Lindgren, Celik supporting him, the team’s attack is deadly. Throw experienced heads like Faltsetas, Yasin, and Friberg into the mix and BK Hacken Goteborg has the ability to control games very well indeed. Truly, this game will go in whatever way they want it to, and Kalmar FF can’t do anything about it if they show up.

Still, Kalmar FF has been painful to beat this season, which baffles and impresses me in equal amounts. When they’re putting players like Elm into the back four, you know that times are hard when it comes to finding good defenders. However, he’s actually added a lot of composure back there and that’s aided Kalmar FF massively in keeping teams out. It’s not made them good at it because they lack the personnel to be but they’re annoying, especially with Pehrsson’s tactical prowess. Besides, Kalmar FF’s strong creative threat in Romarinho, Rasmus Elm, El-Kabir, and wonderkid Froling keeps opposing teams worried about what they can do so not many have tried going full throttle against them this season, home or away.

Ultimately, what I think we’ll see transpire here is two smart teams feeling one another out for large parts of the game. BK Hacken Goteborg is a very smart team and Kalmar FF isn’t that far behind them. The home team has better players, it’s true, but both are painful to actually beat. I suspect that either side taking the lead will result in them sitting on it, and I doubt either will be enterprising enough for a lightning fast start. Therefore, I’m left with the overriding feeling that we’ll see an under 2.5 goals encounter in Goteborg tonight, which is what has happened for Kalmar FF’s last two visits to face BK Hacken Goteborg.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at  9/10.

Wednesday’s Thoughts

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

KV Oostende vs Sint-Truiden
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
AS Eupen vs Beerschot-Wilrijk

Bulgarian Cup:

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Croatian Prva Liga:

Slaven Koprivnica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica
NK Osijek vs Rijeka

Czech Republic Liga 1:

Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague
Slavia Prague vs Baumit Jablonec

Finnish Ykkonen:

TPS Turku vs Kajaani

Icelandic Pepsideild:

IA vs FH
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan Gardabaer
KA vs Breidablik Kopavogur

Israeli State Cup:

Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv

Italian Coppa Italia:

Atalanta Bergamo vs SS Lazio

Dutch Eredivisie:

FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen
NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
Excelsior Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
De Graafschap vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam
VVV Venlo vs Vitesse Arnhem
ADO Den Haag vs Willem II
FC Emmen vs Groningen

Russian Cup:

Arsenal Tula vs Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow

Swedish Allsvenskan:

Helsingborg vs AIK Solna
Elfsborg Boras vs AFC Eskilstuna
Falkenberg vs Djurgarden
BK Hacken Goteborg vs Kalmar FF
Sirius vs GIF Sundsvall

Swiss Super League:

FC Basel vs FC Luzern
FC Sion vs Neuchatel Xamax
FC Zurich vs FC Thun

Swiss Challenge League:

Aarau vs SC Kriens
Lausanne Sport vs FC Schaffhausen

Enjoy your free betting tips!