Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United


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Today’s free tip is in the Australian A-League encounter between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

This is the A-League so I can accept weird shit happening sometimes. Adelaide United being priced as underdogs against Brisbane Roar doesn’t make any sense to me though, even in Brisbane. The hosts are ballsy and determined but lack quality; their opponents have plenty of it. It just doesn’t make any sense.

For what it’s worth, I think Roar will trouble them here. I’d be staggered if they didn’t, actually. Boss Moon has said that Ivanovic is fit enough to start after two impressive cameos, and their kids are doing pretty well this season. Even when confronted with far superior teams over the past fortnight, they’ve still given their all, and have come close to causing upsets in both games. They started well against Victory, and only an own goal sent them on a downward spiral. They were battered by City for seventy minutes but hemmed them in at the end. They’re not a team to take lightly, in other words. If I couldn’t ‘draw no bet’ this selection, I would not be getting involved!

However, I can do that, and I fully intend on doing so. The visitors not only have Ansell back in the squad (doubt he’ll start, given his injury-prone nature) but now feel confident enough in Goodwin’s fitness to start him. As he’s their best attacker, that’s a big boost. Him, Yengi, and Halloran – that’s an attack that can score goals. Breaking Roar down is 70% of the battle so it’s imperative that Goodwin does play. If he does, The Reds should find a way to take the lead.

Sitting on it – well, they’re not so good at that. Adelaide United are seldom a team that I feel comfortable in trusting in defence. They’re just too open. Individually, I like most of their back four now. Cavallo still looks like a midfielder playing at left-back, which he is. Their centre-back options are good though, and they’ve got two good shot stoppers. It’s just the result of what happens with a somewhat youthful team. Still, their attacking power is very good, and more importantly, it’s superior to that of their hosts. I think they’ll enjoy this one, to an extent.

Roar have more tenacity and defensive focus but given that Aldred is still out, they’re still lacking in defence. They do still make errors in that area of the pitch from time to time. That said, I trust them defensively more than I trust most in the A-League so I’m confident that they’ll make the game tough for their opponents. That’s their trademark anyway. Then again, Roar need to try and win it so may switch from their 5-3-2 formation of the past two matches, although they’re not the kind of team that ever scores more than once per game so they’re not going to go gung-ho here.

As ever, Roar are going to try and outfight their opponents in midfield. They’ve got a lot of combative players, and their pressing game is good so they’ll force Adelaide United into mistakes, and simply try to profit from it. Ivanovic does look really dangerous, and they’ve been dangerous from set pieces, so they may get at least a goal here. Are they really going to outsmart and outscore a superior Adelaide United though? I doubt it. I can see them being the more balanced and tenacious outfit, but also the less effective outfit.

To me, being able to back the team with the superior attack with draw no bet cover at 6/5 is appealing. 

Verdict: Adelaide United to win with draw no bet at 6/5.

Saturday’s Thoughts

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.

Australian A-League:

Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United
Melbourne City vs Western United
Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets

Austrian Bundesliga:

Sturm Graz vs Admira Wacker
WSG Tirol vs Austria Klagenfurt 
Salzburg vs Hartberg 

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

OH Leuven vs AA Gent 
Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge
KV Oostende vs AS Eupen
Club Brugge vs RFC Seraing 

Bulgarian A PFG:

Botev Vratsa vs Beroe
Levski Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv 

Croatian Prva Liga:

Gorica vs NK Osijek
Rijeka vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac 

Czechia Liga 1:

Teplice vs Zlin
Karvina vs Sparta Prague
Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Kralove
Sigma Olomouc vs Slavia Prague

Danish DBU Pokalen:

Vejle vs Kolding 

English Premier League:

West Ham United vs Chelsea 
Newcastle United vs Burnley
Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion 
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Liverpool
Watford vs Manchester City

Estonian Meistriliiga:

Legion vs Trans Narva

French Ligue 1:

Olympique de Marseille vs Stade Brestois
Lille OSC vs Troyes
Racing Club Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain 

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Greuther Furth
TSG Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg
Augsburg vs VfL Bochum
Arminia Bielefeld vs Koln 
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich 

German Bundesliga 2:

Nurnberg vs Holstein Kiel
SV Sandhausen vs Paderborn 07
Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt
St. Pauli vs Schalke 04

Hungarian Liga 1:

Gyirmot vs Mezokovesd-Zsory 
Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC 
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Debreceni VSC 

Israeli Ligat Ha’al:

Hapoel Hadera vs Bnei Sakhnin 
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs MS Ashdod
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Netanya 

Italian Serie A:

AC Milan vs Salernitana
AS Roma vs Internazionale
SSC Napoli vs Atalanta Bergamo 

Italian Serie B:

Benevento vs Pordenone
Crotone vs SPAL
Frosinone vs Ternana
Cosenza vs Cremonese
Lecce vs Reggina 

Dutch Eredivisie:

PSV Eindhoven vs FC Utrecht
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Vitesse Arnhem 
Heracles Almelo vs SC Heerenveen

Portuguese Liga 1:

Boavista vs Maritimo Funchal 
Pacos de Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes 

Portuguese Liga 2:

Vilafranquense vs Feirense 
CD Nacional de Madeira vs Estrela 
FC Porto II vs Lexioes Matosinhos
SL Benfica II vs Rio Ave

Romanian Liga 1:

Chindia Targoviste vs CFR Cluj 
FCV Farul Constanta vs Rapid Bucharest

Russian Premier League:

Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow 
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast 

Spanish Primera Liga:

Sevilla CF vs Villarreal CF 
Barcelona vs Real Betis Balompie
Atletico Madrid vs Real Mallorca
Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid

Swedish Allsvenskan:

AIK Solna vs Sirius
BK Hacken Goteborg vs Djurgarden 
Hammarby vs Kalmar FF
IFK Norrkoping vs IFK Goteborg 
Malmo FF vs Halmstad
Varberg vs Mjallby Solvesborg 
Orebro vs Elfsborg Boras
Ostersunds FK vs Degerfors

Swiss Super League:

FC Zurich vs FC Luzern 
Young Boys Bern vs Servette 

Swiss Challenge League:

SC Kriens vs Vaduz 
FC Thun vs Wil 

Turkish Super Lig:

Alanyaspor vs Sivasspor
Trabzonspor vs Adana Demirspor
Galatasaray vs Altay 

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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