Is football betting as random as roulette?

Anybody who saw Leicester City defy the bookmakers by powering their way to the Premiership title last season will know that you can never rule out the rank outsider.

And many people have commented that the odds of 5000-to-1 didn’t make any sense in a twenty-team league, despite the tendencies of the bigger clubs to share the Premiership title between themselves.

So with that in mind, it’s worth thinking about whether we can really bet on football or any sport with any degree of certainty more than a chance-based game like roulette?

Roulette is one of the most straight-forward games that are based on the seemingly random movements of a ball bouncing around the pockets of a roulette wheel. And whilst it means that the online versions of the game that you can find at sites like LadyLucks give you a 35-to-1 chance of guessing the correct number, it’s clear that in the real-world, things get a little more complicated.

This is because there are an array of other betting options that vary from such a straight-up bet, with split bets, street bets, and even corner bets allowing you varying degrees of safety. And then there are those scientists who think that they can sometime track the motion of the ball in order to make an 18% more likely guess as to which will be the lucky pocket!

roulette wheel

What examples like this show is that even something as simple as a game of roulette can be played with a little expertise to maximise the chance of getting a good return on your bet. Above all, it’s about playing the long-term game, and not placing everything you have on either the motion of a roulette ball, or the actions of your favoured football team.

This could be why so many people aim to be become professional casino players, as rather than betting on the likes of football that rely on very unpredictable human temperaments, there are fewer variables that can influence the winning result.

Whilst many of us would be slightly reluctant to bet against the likes of Chelsea to win this year’s Premiership title, it’s clear that as long as there is still an outside chance of the unexpected happening, there’s no such thing as a surefire victory in the beautiful game of football.

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