Atletico Goianiense vs Corinthians
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Today’s free tip is in the Brazilian Serie A encounter between Atletico Goianiense and Corinthians.
I can’t really pretend to understand how appointing Mancini as manager was a progressive step for Corinthians. Very little of what they do nowadays is progressive anyway, but they did change things up for this season only to abandon the project of attacking football just halfway through the season. Now they want to go back to their defensive ways again. It’s sad, and it won’t endear them any more to the Brazilian public that detest them, but I suppose you could argue that it does suit their squad more. Or rather, it used to. Their defence is still capable of playing in that setup, but their midfield concerns me a lot on that front as they lack controllers.
Still, if there’s one game it should benefit Corinthians in, this Mancini appointment, it’s tonight’s match against Atletico Goianiense. Remember that they’re facing the club that they brought Mancini in from. He had Atletico Goianiense playing so well in just three months that Corinthians moved to appoint him. He knows the home team well enough by now, as well as the pitch itself, and that should be more than enough of a booster for tonight’s visitors. They already have the better team; having that advantage too is a big boost.
I didn’t catch the Corinthians Copa do Brasil draw against America Mineiro mid-week but the outcome didn’t surprise me; breaking teams down remains a problem area for them. However, I did catch their game against Internacional at weekend, and I thought they were excellent. Corinthians were fresh, hungry, closing down, tracking runners – everything they hadn’t been doing for ages. I suspect it’s more of a new manager bounce than anything; it’s hard for me to believe that Corinthians will do anything but revert back into their slovenly approach, given time. For now though, I like where they’re.
Yes, breaking Atletico Goianiense down is going to be problematic for them because they don’t commit enough men forward, they don’t play adventurously enough, and they’re now without their best striker, Jo. However, with their performance last weekend in mind, I believe that Corinthians can not only control this game, but almost entirely nullify the attacking threat of their hosts, which is limited to begin with. With ninety minutes to play, and most of the ball guaranteed to be in their possession, I have to believe that Luan, Boselli etc. can manage at least something between them, and if they do, Corinthians should be able to hold it.
I certainly wouldn’t back the visitors tonight without draw no bet cover, for clarity. A draw is quite possible here, given the negative football that both teams play. For a change though, I don’t really see Corinthians losing it, not whilst they’ve got this energy about them that their new manager has brought to the table. They’ve got enough individual talent in the final third to edge this encounter, and given their perilous Serie A league placing, I think it’s fair to say that they absolutely need to.
So, what can we expect from Atletico Goianiense? Well, they finally decided who their new manager would be, which is Dorita, whose sole experience of management in Serie A was a a caretaker boss of Bahia back in 2011. Since then, he’s been working with lower league teams CRB and Votuporanguense, and I’ve described it as such in a very generous fashion, given that he’s spent no more than four months in either job. It’s an interesting appointment; I’ll give Atletico Goianiense that. Unsurprisingly, the impact on the team since his arrival has been negative.
Fair play, though – they’ve had some tough games, Atletico Goianiense. Palmeiras, slick Coritiba, and a double-header against Internacional? Yikes! As per usual, they’ve not struggled to apply themselves well in those games, Atletico Goianiense, but they’ve certainly shown how much they relied on Mancini’s organisation during that period because they keep conceding without response. During those four games, they’ve only bagged twice, and both were at the end of the match, one of which was a penalty. It’s not very convincing, is it?
In general, the way to deal with this team is to work as hard as they do, if not moreso. They’ve got speed, aggression, and experience – but not quality. If you deny them of their tenacity advantage, then they’re generally there for the taking, Atletico Goianiense, just as both Palmeiras and Internacional have proved lately, as well as Coritiba. There really isn’t anything for Corinthians to fear here with the proviso that they’re organised and motivated. Marking Hyuri isn’t too hard, and he’s not clinical anyway, and isolating Vargas from his teammates will always work. If I can see it, I’m sure their former manager can, so again, Corinthians have no acceptable excuses for failing to anticipate every single thing that their hosts do here.
Therefore, even without Jo available to the away team, backing Corinthians to win with draw no bet cover at 9/10 appeals to me greatly.
Verdict: Corinthians to win with draw no bet at 9/10.
Saturday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Austrian Bundesliga:
SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna
St. Polten vs Swarovski Tirol
SV Ried vs Hartberg
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
Kortrijk vs Germinal Beerschot
AS Eupen vs Waasland-Beveren
OH Leuven vs Royal Excel Mouscron
Sint-Truiden vs Racing Genk
Brazilian Serie A:
Athletico Paranaense vs Fortaleza
Sao Paulo vs Goias
Atletico Goianiense vs Corinthians
Bulgarian A PFG:
Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Croatian Prva Liga:
Varazdin vs Sibenik
Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek
Czech Republic Liga 1:
Pardubice vs Opava
Ceske Budejovice vs Zlin
Slovacko vs Sigma Olomouc
Marila Pribram vs Banik Ostrava
English Premier League:
Everton vs Manchester United
Crystal Palace vs Leeds United
West Ham United vs Fulham
Chelsea vs Sheffield United
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Kuressaare vs Nomme Kalju
Legion vs FCI Levadia Tallinn
Faroese Betrideildin:
B36 Torshavn vs NSI Runavik
KI vs HB Torshavn
TB vs Skala
AB vs EB/Streymur
Vikingur Gota vs IF
French Ligue 1:
Girondins de Bordeaux vs Montpellier HSC
Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Rennais
German Bundesliga:
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04
Augsburg vs Hertha Berlin
VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga 2:
Hannover 96 vs Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Bochum vs Greuther Furth
Nurnberg vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Hungarian Liga 1:
Paksi SE vs Puskas FC
Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved
MTK Budapest vs Fehervar
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Haifa vs MS Ashdod
Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Italian Serie A:
Cagliari vs Sampdoria
Benevento vs Spezia
Parma vs ACF Fiorentina
Italian Serie B:
Cosenza vs Brescia
Cremonese vs Vicenza
Monza vs Frosinone
Pisa vs Ascoli
Pordenone vs Chievo Verona
Empoli vs Reggina
Dutch Eredivisie:
ADO Den Haag vs FC Twente Enschede
VVV Venlo vs Heracles Almelo
RKC Waalwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Mjondalen vs Stromsgodset
Brann Bergen vs Haugesund
Portuguese Liga 1:
Tondela vs Santa Clara
Moreirense vs Pacos de Ferreira
Famalicao vs Maritimo Funchal
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Portuguese Liga 2:
Cova de Piedade vs SL Benfica II
Casa Pia vs Sporting Covilha
FC Porto II vs Mafra
Varzim vs Academico Viseu
Vizela vs Varzim
Russian Premier League:
Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast vs Spartak Moscow
Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd
Tambov vs Akhmat Grozn
Spanish Primera Liga:
Huesca vs Eibar
Barcelona CF vs Real Betis Balompie
Sevilla CF vs CA Osasuna
Atletico Madrid vs Cadiz
Swedish Allsvenskan:
BK Hacken Goteborg vs Ostersunds FK
Falkenberg vs Elfsborg Boras
Mjallby Solvesborg vs IFK Norrkoping
Swiss Super League:
Lausanne Sport vs Lugano
FC Zurich vs Luzern
Swiss Challenge League:
FC Wil vs Winterthur
SC Kriens vs Chiasso
Turkish Super Lig:
Kasimpasa vs Antalyaspor
BB Erzurumspor vs Goztepe
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce vs Konyaspor
Enjoy your free betting tips!