Dynamo Dresden vs Nurnberg
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Today’s free tip is in the German Bundesliga 2 encounter between Dynamo Dresden and Nurnberg.
The odds for this game confuse me a little. I know Dynamo Dresden usually attract a good level of home support but Nurnberg don’t look like the kind of team to be rattled by it right now. Over the past two years, hell yes – they’d have fallen apart in minutes. Now, though? I don’t see it.
No Bundesliga 2 team has surprised me more than Nurnberg this season by the way they’ve acclimatised to things, despite losing some good players. They seem more unified now, and the lads they’ve brought in have done excellently. Schindler has sorted their defence out, a regular midfield diamond has stopped them from being overrun as easily as they were, Daehli makes things happen for them better than others have (except perhaps Hack, but they’re different kinds of players), and they’ve got a new weapon that nobody knows what to do against – Shuranov. This is suddenly a well-balanced, consistent team.
Entertaining? God, no – not at all! Nurnberg have taken great delight in sapping all of the fun out of football this season. Still, I think that their fans would find an agreeable outcome if it saw them promoted at the end of the road, which when compared to nearly being relegated for two seasons in a row, is certainly preferable. I actually feel like Nurnberg control games now. What happens is what they want to happen, and that’s a healthy way to play football, whether it appeases footballing romantics like myself or not.
They may not create as many chances as they’re capable of, Nurnberg, but they do create better chances – and they convert more of them too. As I said above, Shuranov is a wildcard; nobody knows how to cope with his speed and dribbling. If that should fail, big Schaffler is there to play more direct football. With Dovedan and Templemann especially effective at supporting attacks, lots of goals from set pieces, and a midfield that knows how to protect the back four, everything feels very efficient and smooth at Nurnberg right now. They may not win in Dresden today, but I don’t have a reason to believe that they’d lose.
They’ve certainly been better at home than on the road this season, Dynamo Dresden. They’ve done a lot better than I thought they would, given the squad they returned to the Bundesliga 2 with, which is ironically a lot worse than the squad they were relegated from it with. This one is a lot more close-knit though. You can almost see the Jahn Regensburg-esque togetherness and belief in each game, and I like that. If you’re going to play in a tough division without top players, then the next best thing is to have everybody on the same page – and Dynamo Dresden have that.
Not just that, but they’ve found a good goal-scorer in Daferner. They’re not going to be able to keep him, but for now he’s theirs. Morschel, Kade, and Akoto have also impressed. It’s all about the collective effort at this club though. As a unit, they’ve become annoying to deal with. They’ve got a good spread of speed and height, and lots of willing fighters. Without having anything special to call upon, they’ve still felled some pretty big trees already this season. Clearly, if you underestimate them, you’re in trouble.
Nurnberg haven’t underestimated any team this season though. They’ve gone all the way with each of them, toe-to-toe, giving little away. Dynamo Dresden have thrived this season by capitalising upon other teams’ mistakes. Well, Nurnberg don’t make many, if any. That’s why I don’t see this game ending in a home win. A draw is possible, sure, but the way Nurnberg find ways to score, even without creating a lot of chances, makes me think they’ll nick it.
Therefore, with draw no bet odds of 4/5 available on the away win, I’ve been tempted enough to get involved.
Verdict: Nurnberg to win with draw no bet at 4/5.
Sunday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Austrian Bundesliga:
LASK vs Wolfsberger AC
WSG Tirol vs Hartberg
Sturm Graz vs SV Ried
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
Sint-Truiden vs RSC Anderlecht
Germinal Beerschot vs KV Mechelen
Sporting Charleroi vs Racing Genk
AA Gent vs AS Eupen
Brazilian Serie A:
Palmeiras vs Internacional
Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense
Ceara vs RB Bragantino
Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico Mineiro
Gremio vs Juventude
Flamengo vs Cuiaba
Sport Recife vs Santos
Bulgarian A PFG:
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Tsarsko selo
Croatian Prva Liga:
Slaven Koprivnica vs NK Osijek
Sibenik vs Hajduk Split
Czechia Liga 1:
Zlin vs Hradec Kralove
Teplice vs Viktoria Plzen
Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina
Pardubice vs Sparta Prague
Danish Superligaen:
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland
OB vs Randers
Brondby vs Vejle
SonderjyskE vs FC Copenhagen
English Premier League:
Everton vs West Ham United
Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Kuressaare vs Legion
Flora Paide vs Flora Tallinn
Faroese Betrideildin:
Vikingur Gota vs IF
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Finnish Ykkonen:
Klubi-04 vs MP
French Ligue 1:
Troyes vs OGC Nice
Girondins de Bordeaux vs FC Nantes Atlantique
Stade Brestois vs Stade de Reims
Metz vs Stade Rennais
Racing Club Strasbourg vs AS Saint-Etienne
Montpellier HSC vs Racing Club Lens
Olympique de Marseille vs Lorient
German Bundesliga:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich
Augsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga 2:
Darmstadt 98 vs Werder Bremen
Dynamo Dresden vs Nurnberg
Hansa Rostock vs SV Sandhausen
Hungarian Liga 1:
Varda SE vs Ujpest
Mezokovesd-Zsory vs Debreceni VSC
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Hadera
Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Italian Serie A:
Cagliari vs Sampdoria
Empoli vs Atalanta Bergamo
Genoa vs Sassuolo
Udinese vs Bologna
SSC Napoli vs Torino
Juventus vs AS Roma
Italian Serie B:
Cremonese vs Benevento
Parma vs Monza
Cittadella vs SPAL
Lithuanian A Lyga:
Banga Gargzdai vs FK Panevezys
Dutch Eredivisie:
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen vs Vitesse Arnhem
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen
FC Twente Enschede vs Willem II
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08
Brann Bergen vs Stabaek
Haugesund vs Mjondalen
Sandefjord vs Odd
Stromsgodset vs Viking Stavanger
Rosenborg BK vs Valerenga Oslo
Romanian Liga 1:
Arges vs FCV Farul Constanta
UTA Arad vs U Craiova 1948
Rapid Bucharest vs CFR Cluj
Russian Premier League:
Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast vs CSKA Moscow
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Nizhnyi Novgorod
FK Khimki vs Akhmat Grozny
FK Krasnodar vs FK Ufa
Spanish Primera Liga:
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche
Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla CF
Villarreal CF vs CA Osasuna
Barcelona vs Valencia
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Hammarby vs AIK Solna
Mjallby Solvesborg vs Kalmar FF
IFK Goteborg vs Orebro
Swiss Super League:
Lausanne Sport vs Grasshopper Zurich
FC Sion vs FC Basel
St. Gallen vs Servette
Turkish Super Lig:
Kasimpasa vs Goztepe
Galatasaray vs Konyaspor
Altay vs Fatih Karagumruk
Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahce
Enjoy your free betting tips!