Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla CF
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As much as I like how Sevilla CF conduct their transfer business, I don’t think they’re good enough to get a result against Atletico Madrid at the Wanda Metropolitano today. It’s a bold statement, perhaps, but I believe it to be true.
Atletico Madrid may have a transfer ban but I believe Simeone is keen on player loyalty and continuity anyway so I don’t think they’d make big changes to their squad even if they could sign players. Therefore, they have a tremendously settled and familiar squad at the moment and that fans love because they’ve all stuck around. Nobody has jumped ship because of their ban, and that makes the bond between everybody even stronger, hence Atletico Madrid being so damn hard to beat.
They’ve lots of quality and lots of experience in their squad, which helps. They’ve got a lethal centre-back pairing of players that love to wind their opponents up whilst also defending well, which is good. They’ve got solid full-backs who are as good at getting forward as they are at defending. They’ve got lethal match-winners like Griezmann, Saul Niguez, Gameiro, Koke, Ferreira-Carrasco, and Correa in their squad to win them games. They’re fast on the break. They’re strong in the middle. They’ve got a safe pair of hands between the sticks. This is a very settled, motivated, and well-organised Atletico Madrid team that will be close to impossible for most European teams to actually beat this season. Let’s not forget that they’ll be able to field Diego Costa and Vitolo in January, too, not to mention Arda Turan if the rumour mill turns out to be correct.
Still, they’re the kings of 1-0 wins so why handicap them here? One reason – their opponents. Atletico Madrid’s biggest struggles come when they’ve got to break teams down that bunker up against them. They hate that. They much prefer to counter-attack with pace, which they’re seldom afforded the opportunity to do nowadays. However, I believe they’ll get the chance to do that today because Sevilla CF are an attacking side. They may not start the game that way, but they’re going to concede at some stage and then Atletico Madrid will be able to break against them and finish the job off. That’s my viewpoint here.
Sevilla CF have a good manager in Berizzo and lots of good players have arrived at the club but it takes time to integrate everybody. Their form guide is more impressive than their recent displays have been, in my opinion. They’ve not played particularly well this season and although I admire their newly-discovered patience, it’s not going by unnoticed that they’re giving a lot of chances away. Now, Girona, Getafe, and Eibar may not take such chances but Atletico Madrid will, and falling behind against them is absolutely fatal, particularly in their new stadium where they’re desperate to impress after a struggle against Malaga CF in their opening Wanda Metropolitano game.
Again, Sevilla CF made good signings to replace the players that left. They’ve got a really good balance to their team, for a change. I don’t see a natural poacher up front, which is a concern, but the likes of Nolito, Ben Yedder, and Muriel should be able to balance goals out between them this season, and Banega, Vazquez, Ganso, and Navas can all contribute too. So, yes – I like where Berizzo’s boys are at. I like what they’ve done to solve long-term problems. I think they’ll do well for as long as they keep things as they are but they need more time before they can challenge the likes of Atletico Madrid on their own patch, which they’ve simply not had yet. I don’t fancy their chances here.
Sevilla CF have not won against Atletico Madrid in the nation’s capital since 2010. They’ve lost two out of their last three visits, conceded seven goals in the process, and have generally been very frustrated by an incredibly solid tactical unit. I expect more of the same today.
Verdict: Atletico Madrid to beat the -1 Asian Handicap at 107/100.
Saturday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Argentinian Superliga:
Arsenal de Sarandi vs Temperley
Atletico Huracan vs Union de Santa Fe
Chacarita Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba
Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors
Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Independiente
Austrian Bundesliga:
Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
St.Polten vs Admira Wacker
LASK Linz vs SV Mattersburg
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
Racing Genk vs KV Oostende
Royal Excel Mouscron vs AS Eupen
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Waasland-Beveren vs RSC Anderlecht
Brazilian Serie A:
Flamengo vs Avai
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
Bulgarian A PFG:
Slavia Sofia vs Vitosha Bistritsa
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vereya
Cherno More Varna vs Etar
Croatian Prva Liga:
Cibalia Vinkovci vs Inter Zapresic
Slaven Koprivnica vs Rijeka
Czech Republic Liga 1:
Zlin vs Slavia Prague
Bohemians 1905 vs Baumit Jablonec
Sigma Olomouc vs Dukla Prague
Mlada Boleslav vs Viktoria Plzen
Danish Superligaen:
AC Horsens vs FC Helsingfor
FC Copenhagen vs Silkeborg
English Premier League:
West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town
Everton vs Bournemouth
Manchester City vs Crystal Palace
Southampton vs Manchester United
Stoke City vs Chelsea
Swansea City vs Watford
Leicester City vs Liverpool
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
Flora Paide vs Tulevik
Nomme Kalju vs Vaprus
Sillamae Kalev vs Flora Tallinn
Finnish Suomen Cup:
SJK vs HJK Helsinki
French Ligue 1:
Montpellier HSC vs Paris Saint-Germain
Girondins de Bordeaux vs En Avant Guingamp
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Amiens SC
Olympique Lyonnais vs Dijon FCO
Metz vs Troyes
German Bundesliga:
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04
Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg
Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin
VfB Stuttgart vs Augsburg
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Moenchengladbach
Hungarian Liga 1:
Vasas Budapest vs Szombathelyi Haladas
Ferencvaros vs Diosgyori VTK
Paksi SE vs Balmazujvaros-Sport
Debreceni VSC vs Puskas FC
Mezokovesd-Zsory vs Ujpest
Fehervar vs Budapest Honved
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Hapoel Acre vs Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv
Hapoel Ra’anana vs Hapoel Ashkelon
MS Ashdod vs Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Be’er Sheva
Italian Serie A:
AS Roma vs Udinese
SPAL vs SSC Napoli
Juventus vs Torino
Dutch Eredivisie:
Willem II vs Heerenveen
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs NAC Breda
Heracles Almelo vs Roda JC Kerkrade
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Haugesund vs Viking Stavanger
Portuguese Liga 1:
Estoril vs Chaves
Moreirense vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
SL Benfica vs Pacos de Ferreira
Russian Premier League:
Dinamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow vs Anzhi Makhachkala
Spanish Primera Liga:
Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla CF
Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid
Malaga CF vs Athletic Club de Bilbao
Girona vs Barcelona CF
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Halmstad vs IFK Norrkoping
Swiss Super League:
FC Basel vs FC Zurich
Luzern vs Lausanne Sport
Swiss Challenge League:
Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona
Turkish Super Lig:
Konyaspor vs Akhisar Belediye
Genclerbirligi vs Istanbul BB
Fenerbahce vs Besiktas JK
Enjoy your free betting tips!