Beroe vs Sliven
FreeToday’s featured game is the A PFG encounter between newly-promoted Beroe and relegation-threatened Sliven. Both sides have endured some poor form of late so I don’t expect a classic but there should be some value here nonetheless.
I’ve been impressed with Beroe this season, most notably so in the latter part of their campaign thanks to some remarkably efficient displays, particularly at home. They’ve done more than enough to avoid relegation so we’ll be seeing more of this tricky opponent next season. There’s a good reason that Beroe have only lost twice at home this season and it’s because they’re good at home. They’ve only won five out of their twelve home games, admittedly, but that’s largely down to an unimpressive goalscoring record of just over a goal scored per home game – their defence is usually water-tight. Beroe are on a poor run of form with no wins in three games, losing their last two consecutively, but you have to look at their fixtures and offer a human perspective on this machine-esque side; nobody can be consistently good in all games. Despite that fact, Beroe have scored four goals during those three games with two of those games being away from home. Their last home game resulted in defeat but they were hosting giants Levski Sofia so it’s understandable. Beroe won their previous two home games in all competitions 1-0 despite facing CSKA Sofia along the way so it’s easy to see how good they can be at home. They don’t concede many whatsoever so the question here really is can Beroe score? I think so!
Visitors Sliven made such an impact last season that it’s hard to comprehend just why they’re doing so badly this year. I think it’s partially a case of “second season syndrome” and also the departure of some key players. Either way, Sliven have reacted badly to their respective issues and now find themselves in a big battle to stay in the A PFG with them being currently level with Lokomotiv Mezdra, the side one place below them that is in the relegation zone. Sliven concede a lot and don’t score many so it’s simple to see why the struggle so much. They’ve already lost nine out of twelve away games this season whilst conceding nearly two goals per game on average and barely managing to score a goal per every two away games on average. Sliven are without a win in their last seven games, losing six times along the way, so morale is very low at the moment. They’ve played three away games since returning from the winter break and have lost all of them without even scoring a goal. As much as Sliven want to stay in this division, it can’t be done without scoring goals and they’re just not doing that away from home.
Although Beroe have no reason to win this game, Sliven aren’t good enough to score at Beroe, which leaves them precariously placed as they really need to do so to have a hope of avoiding the dreaded drop. Beroe tend to get their token goal whether they want to or not and I can’t see Sliven responding so the home win looks a fairly logical outcome here. Either way, I rate Beroe as the better side and they should have enough to do the damage today at decent odds of 4/5.
Verdict: Beroe to win at 4/5.
Thursday’s Picks
My tips:
Nothing to see here!
Accumulator fodder:
Internacional
Recommended bets:
Aside from a double with Beroe and Internacional, nothing else interests me!
As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!
UEFA Europa League:
Atletico Madrid vs Liverpool (6) 0-0
Hamburger SV vs Fulham (5) 2-1
Copa Libertadores:
Cerro Porteno vs Racing Club Montevideo (5) 2-1
Internacional vs Deportivo Quito (8) 2-0
Corinthians vs Independiente Medellin (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Cerro vs Emelec Guayaquil (5) 1-1
Bulgarian A PFG:
Beroe vs Sliven (6) under 2.5 goals
Chernomorets Burgas vs Minior Pernik (7) 2-1
Latvian Virsliga:
Jelgava vs Jurmala (5) 0-0
Singaporean S-League:
Young Lions vs Beijing Guoan (6) 2-1
Balestier Khalsa vs Sengkang Punggol (5) 1-1
Swedish Superettan:
Assyriska Sodertalje vs Osters (7)
Enjoy your free betting tips!