Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town

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There’s a horrendous lack of games today that bear any value so I’d recommend staying away from the majority tonight. You have been warned!

Today’s featured game is the League One game between Carlisle United and Yeovil Town. Neither side are having great seasons but both should really have done enough by now to ensure that relegation is a faint threat so there’s little pressure on this game.

Carlisle United are a capable League One side and to show it although rather sporadically. They’re fairly reliable at home with eight wins in eighteen games and tend to play good football given chance. They average scoring over 1.5 goals per home game and have scored eleven times in their last five home games. Carlisle United veer between the sublime and the ridiculous alarmingly well with crushing defeats inflicted here against Milton Keynes Dons and Colchester United but have lost here to the likes of Millwall, who rarely win on the road. Nonetheless, Carlisle have been consistent at home with their whole-hearted efforts. They’ve won five out of their last nine home games, losing just twice along the way. The only two sids to win here have been Huddersfield Town and Millwall and despite my criticism of Millwall on the road, they remain one of the better sides in the division along with Huddersfield Town so it does take something large to take a result from Carlisle, generally. Carlisle will have taken good confidence from their win at home to Colchester United a few days ago and I expect them to carry that into this game and use it well.

Visitors Yeovil Town are a difficult side to play against – that’s just their style. They’re particularly difficult to take on when they’re at home but tend to struggle away as you’d expect from a physical side with little talent. I admire Yeovil’s work ethic but the fact is that they’re not a good side, unlike Carlisle United. Yeovil have lost two out of their last three away games, taking their tally to ten defeats in eighteen away games. They simply don’t score enough goals away from home – not even a goal a game – so conceding approximately 1.5 goals per away game tends to be enough to see Yeovil lose more than they win. Yeovil have scored once in their last three away games but have conceded five times so they’re looking a little dubious ahead of their lengthy trip to Carlisle.

Both sides play well sporadically so do take care when betting on this game. However, Carlisle are the true “good side” between these two and are strong at home whereas Yeovil are consistently weak and goal-shy on the road so there should be value in the home win at evens.

Verdict: Carlisle United to win at evens.

Tuesday’s Picks

My tips:

Aside from today’s featured game, I fail to see any real value today, which disappoints me considering how many games that there are!

Accumulator fodder:

Bohemians, Brasov, The New Saints.

Recommended bets:

Bohemians, Carlisle United, Brasov, and The New Saints at 6/1.

As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

UEFA Champions League:

Chelsea vs Internazionale (7) 2-0
Sevilla CF vs CSKA Moscow (6) 2-1

Copa Libertadores:

Banfield vs Club Nacional de Montevideo (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Juan Aurich vs Alianza Lima (4) 1-1
Colo Colo vs Velez Sarsfield (6) 0-0, at least one red card in this game
Morelia vs Deportivo Cuenca (6) 2-1

English Premier League:

Wigan Athletic vs Aston Villa (5) 1-1

English Championship:

Barnsley vs Nottingham Forest (6)
Coventry City vs Cardiff City (7)
Derby County vs Middlesbrough (6)
Peterborough United vs Doncaster Rovers (5)
Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol City (5)
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wednesday (6)
Sheffield United vs Blackpool (6) over 2.5 goals
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion (6)
Watford vs Ipswich Town (6)
Crystal Palace vs Leicester City (5)
Reading vs Queens Park Rangers (7) over 2.5 goals

English League One:

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford (6)
Stockport County vs Oldham Athletic (6)
Southampton vs Swindon Town (6) under 2.5 goals
Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town (7)

English League Two:

Accrington Stanley vs Rotherham United (5)
Hereford United vs Morecambe (5) under 2.5 goals
Lincoln City vs Dagenham & Redbridge (6)

Finnish Liiga Cup:

Haka Valkeakoski vs VPS Vaasa (5) 1-1

Irish Premier League:

UCD vs Bohemians (7) under 2.5 goals
Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick’s Athletic (6) 2-1

Italian Serie B:

Cesena vs Sassuolo (6) under 1.5 goals

Romanian Liga:

Brasov vs International (7) 2-0

Singaporean S-League:

Beijing Guoan vs Tampines Rovers (6) 1-2

Welsh Premier League:

Newtown vs Port Talbot Town (5) 1-0
Connah’s Quay Nomads vs Neath Athletic (5) 0-0
Aberystwyth Town vs Bangor City (6) 2-1
The New Saints vs Porthmadog (10) -1.75 handicap

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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