Corinthians vs Fluminense

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Brazilian Serie A game between Corinthians and Fluminense.

Despite possessing a large amount of quality players and a lot of financial support, Corinthians are still missing something and I’m not 100% sure what it is. Team spirit, perhaps? Their organisation isn’t lacking; they can beat anyone in South America by a 1-0 scoreline if they feel like it. Maybe that’s the other problem – this side doesn’t score enough goals. Playing in Brazil without scoring many goals can often cause issues as there really aren’t many sides in Serie A that don’t score goals. There’s a lot of experienced players in this side so composure is rarely an issue. Not having a definite starting two up front is proving to be an issue, though. One thing is for sure, though – Corinthians must be motivated to win games and I don’t see them being 100% motivated today due to their Copa Libertadores commitments. They’ve drawn 0-0 at Vasco da Gama a few days ago and the return leg is approaching rapidly so I’ll be surprised if Corinthians field a full-strength side today. However, unlike a lot of Brazilian sides, they do have depth on their side, which is most probably why the odds are shortening on the Corinthians win here despite the Copa Libertadores always taking the priority for every club in South America.

Atypically, you could be forgiven for giving Fluminense a shout to win here with Corinthians’ attention elsehwere but Fluminense themselves have Copa Libertadores commitments as they trail Boca Juniors 1-0 from the first leg a few days ago with the return leg coming up in the next few days. Under Abel Braga, Fluminense have looked almost as good as they did under Muricy, in my view. Braga has sorted out their defence and made them almost as good as their hosts when it comes to frustrating sides. As far as goalscoring goes, Fluminense are starting to improve now that they have more than just Fred scoring the goals. Deco and Thiago Neves are still dominating their midfield and that allows Rafael Moura, Fred, and Rafael Sobis the freedom to wreak havoc. I’m actually pretty impressed with what I’ve seen of Fluminense so far this year so perhaps another Serie A title push is on the horizon for the Tricolor; who knows? However, they’re almost certain to rest players here too so I’m not sure they’ll do anything against Corinthians.

Considering that both sides are built on a strong defence and will attack with caution unless trailing, I think we’re in for a low-scoring encounter here. We might see a few first-team players either start or enter the field at some point in the game but I don’t see it being enough to send this game over 2.5 goals. For me, under 2.5 goals is worth taking at 4/5.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at 4/5.

Sunday’s Picks

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Olimpo vs Independiente (4) 1-1
Velez Sarsfield vs Belgrano de Cordoba (6) 1-0
Atletico Rafaela vs Colon de Santa Fe (6) 1-1
Racing Club Avellaneda vs Boca Juniors (5) 0-0

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

AA Gent vs Cercle Brugge (7) over 2.5 goals

Brazilian Serie A:

Botafogo vs Sao Paulo (4) 1-2
Corinthians vs Fluminense (6) 1-0
Internacional vs Coritiba (7) 1-0
Ponte Preta vs Atletico Mineiro (4) 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Gremio (5) 0-0
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense (7) 2-1
Bahia vs Santos (5) 1-0

Chilean Primera Division:

Antofagasta vs Rangers (6) 1-0
Universidad de Concepcion vs Universidad Catolica (6) 1-2
Cobresal vs O’Higgins (6) 1-1
Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato (7) 2-1

Colombian Primera A:

Atletico Huila vs Deportivo Cali (6) 1-0
Atletico Nacional de Medellin vs Once Caldas Manizales (5) 2-1
Envigado vs Millonarios Bogota (5) 1-0
Atletico Junior Barranquilla vs Independiente Medellin (6) 1-1

Danish Superligaen:

Midtylland vs FC Copenhagen (6) 1-1
Silkeborg vs SonderjyskE (5) 2-1
AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus (6) 2-1
Brondby vs Nordsjaelland (6) 0-1
Aalborg BK vs HK Koge (4) 1-1
OB Odense vs Lyngby (7) 2-1

Danish 1st Division:

Blokhus vs Viborg (6)
Bronshoj vs Esbjerg (7)
Skive vs AB Copenhagen (6) over 2.5 goals
Vejle-Kolding vs Hjorring (7)
Naestved vs Roskilde (6)

Ecuadorian Primera A:

Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec Guayaquil (6) 0-1
LDU Loja vs Deportivo Quito (6) 0-1

Faroese Meistaradeildin:

Vikingur Gotu vs KI Klaksvik (7) 2-1
Suduroy vs IF Fuglafjordur (7) 1-2
NSI Runavik vs B36 Torshavn (5) 0-1

Finnish Ykkonen:

Jippo Joensuu vs HiFK Helsinki (5)

French Ligue 1:

Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC (6) 1-2
Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Stade Brestois (6) 2-1
LOSC Lille vs AS Nancy-Lorraine (8) 2-0
Lorient vs Paris Saint-Germain (6) 1-1
Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice (4) 1-1
Stade Rennais vs Dijon FCO (4) 1-1
Saint-Etienne vs Girondins de Bordeaux (6) 1-1
Sochaux vs Olympique de Marseille (4) 2-1
Toulouse vs AC Ajaccio (5) 2-1
Valenciennes vs Stade Malherbe de Caen (6) 1-0

Greek Super League:

PAOK Salonika vs Atromitos (7) 1-0
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens (7) 1-0, at least one red card in this game

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Szombathelyi Haladas vs Diosgyori VTK (4) 2-2
Vasas Budapest vs Kaposvari Rakoczi (5) 1-0
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Paksi SE (7) 1-2
Budapest Honved vs Debreceni VSC (6) 0-1
Fehervar vs Lombard Papa (8) 2-0

Icelandic Urvalsdeild:

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fylkir Reykjavik (6) 1-0
Valur Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik (5) 2-2
IA Akranes vs Keflavik (7) 2-0
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik Kopavogur (7) 1-0

Mexican Primera Division:

Santos Laguna vs Monterrey (5) 2-2

Dutch Eredivisie:

Vitesse Arnhem vs RKC Waalwijk (6) over 2.5 goals

Norwegian Eliteserien:

Tromso vs Viking Stavanger (7) 1-0
Sandnes Ulf vs Molde FK (5) 2-1
Lillestrom vs Sogndal (4) 1-1
Aalesund FK vs Brann Bergen (5) 1-0
Stabaek vs Haugesund (7) 0-2
Rosenborg BK vs Odd Grenland Skien (8) over 2.5 goals

Peruvian Primera Division:

Melgar FBC vs Universitario Lima (5) 1-1
Sport Huancayo vs Leon de Huanuco (7) 2-1
Inti Gas vs Cobresol (5) 1-0

Polish Liga 1:

Ruch Radzionkow vs Gornik Polkowice (7)
Olimpia Grudziadz vs Flota Swinoujscie (5)
Olimpia Elblag vs Dolcan Zabki (6)
Nieciecza vs Kolejarz Stroze (5)
Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Bogdanka Leczna (4)
Piast Gliwice vs Katowice (7)
Warta Poznan vs Zawisza Bygoszcz (6)
Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock (7)
Polonia Bytom vs Arka Gdynia (5)

Romanian Liga:

Dinamo Bucharest vs Astra Ploiesti (6) 1-0
Rapid Bucharest vs Otelul Galati (6) 1-0
CFR Cluj vs Steaua Bucharest (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Vaslui vs Universitatea Cluj (6) 2-1

Serbian Super Liga:

Hajduk Kula vs Smederevo (7) 2-0
Javor Ivanjica vs BSK Borca (7) 1-0
Spartak Subotica vs Borac Cacak (6) 1-0
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Red Star Belgrade (4) 2-1
Partizan Belgrade vs Metalac GM (7) 2-0
Jagodina vs Novi Pazar (8) 2-0
OFK Belgrade vs Sevojno (5) 1-2

Slovakian Corgon Liga:

Zlate Moravce vs Trencin (6) 2-1
Ruzomberok vs Dukla Banska Bystrica (6) 1-0
Nitra vs Spartak Trnava (5) 1-2
DAC Dunajska Streda vs MSK Zilina (8) 0-2
Kosice vs Senica (4) 1-1
Tatran Presov vs Slovan Bratislava (7) 1-2

Slovenian Prva Liga:

Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana (6) 0-1
Mura 05 vs Celje (8) 2-0
Maribor vs Koper (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Triglav vs Gorica (5) 1-1
Rudar Velenje vs Nafta Lendava (7) 2-1

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Numancia vs Barcelona II (5) over 2.5 goals
Real Murcia vs Gimnastic de Tarragona (6)
Deportivo Xerez vs Deportivo La Coruna (6) over 2.5 goals
Real Valladolid vs Sabadell (8)

Swedish Allsvenskan:

BK Hacken Goteborg vs Djurgarden (7) over 2.5 goals
Atvidaberg vs Kalmar FF (6) 1-1
Orebro vs Syrianska Sodertalje (6) 2-1
Mjallby Solvesborg vs Gefle (7) 2-0
AIK Solna vs IFK Norrkoping (5) 1-1

Swedish Superettan:

Brommapojkarna vs Jonkopings Sodra (7)
Umea vs Halmstad (4)

Swiss Super League:

Grasshopper Zurich vs FC Zurich (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Luzern vs Thun (7) 1-0
Servette vs Basel (4) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Young Boys Bern vs Sion (5) 2-1

Uruguayan Primera Division:

Bella Vista vs Defensor Sporting (5) 1-1
Cerro Largo vs Racing Club Montevideo (5) 1-1
Penarol vs Club Nacional de Montevideo (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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