De Graafschap vs Dordrecht ’90
FreeToday’s featured game is the Eerste Divisie game between De Graafschap and Dordrecht ’90. The hosts were relegated from the Eredivisie last season and have looked every inch a cut above the Eerste Divisie outfits – well, at least when they’re playing at home they do! Currently boasting an immaculate home record of five wins from five games, title hopefuls Dordrecht ’90 know they have their work cut out to get anything at a difficult De Graafschap. I mean, come on – the hosts today average three goals per game at home and have conceded just one at home all season! That said, my respects do go out to Dordrecht ’90 because it’s their excellent away form that has given us good odds here as they are unbeaten on the road so far this season with three wins and two draws from five away games. Much akin to their hosts tonight, Dordrecht ’90 are also big goalscorers although only on the road, ironically. For those reasons, if you can find good odds for over 2.5 goals then I think you’ll be onto a winner. However, no wins in two games leaves Dordrecht ’90 a bit short on momentum and this isn’t the place to be going without all guns blazing. Having won three of their last five games and remaining unbeaten in that time, you have to feel that De Graafschap also boast the momentum to compliment their superior quality. Bluntly put; I expect an extremely active game with plenty of goals but the home win at 3/4 looks good value in my eyes!
Friday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
De Graafschap vs Dordrecht ’90 – home win at 3/4 – see introduction for full details.
Colon de Santa Fe vs Banfield – home win at 6/5. These odds certainly surprise me because Colon de Santa Fe are a fair amount better than Banfield in my books. Both sides may have made good starts to the seson but there’s something of a class difference here to ponder upon also. Three wins from four games for both sides says that this encounter is going to be close but the quality aspect is drawing me towards the home win here. Colon de Santa Fe have also won this fixture for four seasons running now and it’s more than apparent that unbeaten Banfield are punching above their weight currently. I’ll be surprised if there’s a lot of goals in this game but I’ll be even more surprised if Colon de Santa Fe don’t make their superiority count by the final whistle. Frankly, 6/5 on the home win looks a good bt to me!
First Vienna vs Wacker Innsbruck – away win 20/21. Third-placed Wacker Innsbruck travel to First Vienna on the back of two straight victories and will feel that making it three wins from three games is an extremely realistic possibility as they face a First Vienna side that not only have lost three of their last four games but have also lost three out of three at home this season with a shocking goalscoring total of two goals at home. There’s a big quality difference between these two sides and the momentum favours the away side. All that bothers me is that Wacker Innsbruck are a little haphazard with their away form on occasion so I’d encourage medium stakes for this one. That said, everything is in their favour in my eyes so the away win at 20/21 should have some value in it tonight.
Slavia Sofia vs Minior Pernik – home win at 21/20. It’s not often that the A PFG provides us with good odds or games that haven’t been fixed so I’m quite happy to take advantage of this apparent blip! There’s no way on earth that Minior Pernik are good enough to be on the same pitch as Slavia Sofia, let alone be in a similar odds bracket! The difference at the end of last season wasn’t great between the two sides but I genuinely feel there’s a real class difference here although no doubt the Bulgarian fixers will now rig a 5-0 away win for this game! Anyway, momentum is with the hosts after two straight wins whereas Minior Pernik are heading the other way with two straight defeats. Slavia Sofia’s biggest problem is not delivering when they should, hence their league placing currently, but I think today is the day they turn it around and make it three wins from three. For me, the home win at 21/20 looks a good price indeed!
Vannes OC vs AC Ajaccio – home win at 5/6. I sometimes wonder how AC Ajaccio are still in Ligue 2. Don’t get me wrong, I respect them and I adore their little island of Corsica. However, their football is atrocious and they seem hell-bent on boring every opponent they face to such a degree that their team actually falls asleep so that AC Ajaccio may score. One win and four defeats in eight games says that AC Ajaccio are doing their best to emulate their poor form last season and also tells me that they would really much prefer life in the division below. They’ve lost three from four away games as they travel to a very much in-form Vannes OC, a side that has taken seven points from their last three games. Unbeaten at home, Vannes OC seem to be making an unprecedented lunge for life in Ligue 1, a lunge that is destined to fail because they’re just not good enough to maintain their current form. However, their current form and momentum dwarves that of AC Ajaccio to a degree significant enough for me to take the home win at 5/6 although I do expect a droll encounter with few goals! My only concern is if the hosts don’t score but if they do then this game should be sewn up.
Slask Wroclaw vs Wisla Krakow – away win at 10/11. Hosts Slask Wroclaw are unbeaten at home in the Ekstraklasa so far this season but today they’re facing arguably the biggest threat to that record that they’ll have this season – league leaders Wisla Krakow. Seven wins in eight games with no defeats says that Wisla Krakow are adamant that this year’s Ekstraklasa crown will be theirs, and who is going to stand in their way whilst they boast a 100% away record? They average two goals per game away from home and have only conceded one goal in the process. Slask Wroclaw are a side that aren’t particularly bothered about winning or losing – they just like drawing, simply. They’ve drawn four games consecutively now and haven’t won in five games. Despite being unbeaten at home, Slask Wroclaw’s record of the repetitive draws will damage them more than it’ll intimidate the visitors, in my opinion. The home side will begin to forget how it feels to win and heads may drop a little. Wisla Krakow are absolutely galloping into this game with tremendous form, momentum and attacking prowess and I can’t really see a dogged Slask Wroclaw being able to withstand such a force today. For me, 10/11 on the away win has significant value in it.
As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!
Argentinian Primera Division:
Colon de Santa Fe vs Banfield (8) 2-0
Independiente vs Tigre (8) 2-1
Australian A-League:
Gold Coast United vs Wellington Phoenix (5) 1-1
Austrian Liga 1:
Admira Wacker vs Austria Vienna II (8)
Lustenau vs St.Polten (6)
Dornbirn vs Gratkorn (7)
First Vienna vs Wacker Innsbruck (8)
Salzburg II vs SCR Altach (8)
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
AA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron (7) 1-0
Belgian Tweede Klasse:
Beveren vs Antwerp (6)
Bulgarian A PFG:
Slavia Sofia vs Minior Pernik (7) 2-0
Colombian Futbol Profesional:
Boyaca Chico vs Millonarios Bogota (7) 1-0
Croatian Prva Liga:
Medimurje vs Lokomotiva Zagreb (8) 1-0
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:
Brno vs Pribram (6) 0-0
Finnish Kakkonen:
Lokho B:
P-Iirot Rauma vs KaaPo Kaarina (7)
AIFK Turku vs SalPa Salo (6)
Ilves vs FC Espoo (5)
French Ligue 2:
Angers SCO vs Strasbourg (5)
Bastia vs Chateauroux (7)
Brest vs Clermont Foot (6)
Istres vs Arles (6)
Nimes vs Guingamp (8)
Vannes OC vs AC Ajaccio (8) under 2.5 goals
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Sedan-Ardennes (9)
Dijon FCO vs Le Havre (6) draw no bet
Metz vs Laval (6)
German Bundesliga:
Schalke 04 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (7) 1-0
German Bundesliga 2:
Alemannia Aachen vs Energie Cottbus (5)
MSV Duisburg vs Union Berlin (6)
Koblenz vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen (7)
Hungarian Soproni Liga:
Budapest Honved vs Vasas Budapest (5) 1-0, draw no bet
Irish Premier League:
Galway United vs Bray Wanderers (6) 2-1
Drogheda United vs Dundalk (6) 1-1
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians (5) 1-1
Italian Serie B:
Ascoli vs Sassuolo (7)
Mexican Primera Division:
Estudiantes Tecos vs Atlas (7) 1-1
Dutch Eredivisie:
Vitesse Arnhem vs Sparta Rotterdam (7) 1-0
Dutch Eerste Divisie:
De Graafschap vs Dordrecht ’90 (8)
Excelsior vs RBC Roosendaal (6)
FC Den Bosch vs Go Ahead Eagles (6)
Emmen vs AGOVV Appeldoorn (7)
Top Oss vs Veendam (5)
Zwolle vs MVV Maastricht (6)
Fortuna Sittard vs Volendam (6)
Helmond Sport vs Omniworld (9)
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs FC Eindhoven (8)
Polish Ekstraklasa:
Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin (6) 1-1
Slask Wroclaw vs Wisla Krakow (8) 0-1
Portuguese Liga Sagres:
Academica de Coimbra vs Maritimo (5) 1-0
Romanian Liga:
Otelul Galati vs Brasov (7) 1-2
Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt vs Rapid Bucharest (8) 0-2
Singaporean S-League:
Geylang United vs Super Reds (7) 2-1
Swiss Challenge League:
Stade Nyonnais vs Lugano (9)
Turkish Super Lig:
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantepspor (8) 2-0
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