Fiorentina vs AC Milan
FreeIt was 2005 when Fiorentina last beat AC Milan but today, I think a wind of change may be blowing. AC Milan have endured a torrid time of late, losing two games on the bounce and being surrounded by a mass of controversy surrounding Berlusconi’s outburst, Ancelotti’s potential move to Chelsea, and Real Madrid’s irritating continuous pursuit of Kaka. All of these things combined with the fact that AC Milan don’t need to win this game (as they’re already in the Champions League next season), it’s their last game of the season and have nothing to play for all seem to spell out a potential home win here. Fiorentina don’t need to win – they simply need to avoid defeat to confirm their place in the Champions League Qualifiers next season. However, their form of late has been superb, having only been matched by in-form Udinese. Fiorentina will want to do a professional job here and win the game. There’s no denying the class of AC Milan are a tremendous attacking force but only when they’re on form. When they’re out of form, they’re just one of those sides who it really takes some time to get going again. With that in mind and the lack of motivation for them to get going again due to it being the last game of the season, I’m going to call a 2-1 home win although I recommend taking the home win at draw no bet. I think there could be some great value in a home win today, especially as Alberto Gilardino will have a point to prove against his former club.
Sunday’s Picks
My tips:
There’s quite a bit of value floating around today in my opinion! I’ve listed a few selections below that I think are worth your consideration:
Argentinos Juniors to win at home to River Plate at odds of 13/8 is a bargain. The visitors haven’t won here since 2001 and they’ve lost their last three visits here.
Santos to win at home to Corinthians at 5/6. The visitors are resting a host of players ahead of their mid-week Copa do Brasil final and Santos are more than capable of despatching the second string of Corinthians.
Osijek to beat Slaven Koprivnica at 11/8. Neither side has a lot to play for but the visitors have atrocious away form and the hosts obtain most of their points at home. Take at draw no bet because of hosts’ poor form.
SonderjyskE to beat Esbjerg at 11/10. The visitors have nothing to play form and have only won one away game this season. The hosts don’t have a great home record and have drawn a lot of games lately so take as draw no bet as hosts don’t need more than a point to secure their stay in the division.
RoPS Rovaniemi to beat HJK Helsinki at 7/2 draw no bet. The hosts are having a catastrophic season thus far but their saving grace has always been their home form. It’s a massive trip from Helsinki to Rovaniemi, something around 500 miles (approx 820 km) and this is HJK’s third game in six days. The only result I can’t see here is an away win.
IFK Mariehamn to beat Tampere United at 11/8. The visitors have lost every away game in the Veikkausliiga this season and the hosts have bolstered their squad considerably over the season break, enough so to make them a force to be reckoned with and are unbeaten at home this season in the Veikkausliiga.
Poli Timisoara vs Unirea Urziceni has a lot of value in it somewhere! Sorry for being vague, but the hosts have won 14 home games from 16 this season and the visitors are the best travellers in the league with 10 wins from 16. The last 2 meetings have been draws but realistically, Unirea have to win to win the league because Dinamo Bucharest are expected to dispose of FC Brasov comfortably. I’m leaning towards an away win but definitely take with draw no bet.
Sevilla CF to win at Numancia at evens. The hosts are already relegated and the visitors can secure a Champions League place with a good result today. The gulf in class should be more than apparent today.
However, all that aside – my personal favourite bets of the day are two trebles involving any combination you prefer of Santos, NK Zagreb, IFK Mariehamn, Udinese, Hercules Alicante, and Liverpool Montevideo.
Also, try your hand at a 4-team accumulator in Ecuador, which includes Liga de Quito, Emelec, Macara Ambato, and El Nacional Quito. The odds should be about 6/1 and it’s not often you can be confident enough to place this type of bet in South America so make the most of it whilst you can!
For the rest of the sides, I’m going to adhere to what I began yesterday by listing makeweights and likely sides that you can combine as you wish. The makeweights aren’t listed in any particular order but the likely sides are listed in order of likelihood:
Makeweights:
Skonto Riga, Ventspils, Liepajas Metalurgs, Sporting Gijon, Mjallby Solvesborg, Defensor Sporting, Haka Valkeakoski, Lokomotiv Sofia, Salzburg, Levski Sofia, Internacional, OB Odense
Likely:
Genoa, Austria Vienna, Sevilla CF, AS Roma, Espanyol, Internazionale, Cherno More Varna, Jaro Pietarsaari, Racing Club de Santander, Real Sociedad, Real Betis, Gimnasia De La Plata, Flamengo, Djurgardens
As ever, any queries/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!
Argentinian Primera Division:
Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate (7) 2-1
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Jujuy vs Velez Sarsfeld (7) 1-2
Gimnasia De La Plata vs Racing Club Avellaneda (8) 3-1
Boca Juniors vs San Martin de Tucuman (7) 2-0
Tigre vs Estudiantes De La Plata (6) 2-2, at least one red card in this game
Austrian Bundesliga:
SV Ried vs Sturm Graz (7) 2-1
Salzburg vs SCR Altach (8) 3-1
Austria Vienna vs Austria Karnten (8) 2-0
SV Kapfenberg vs Rapid Vienna (7) 1-2
SV Mattersburg vs LASK Linz (7) 2-0
Brazilian Serie A:
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense (8) 2-1
Vitoria vs Gremio (7) 1-2
Santos vs Corinthians (8) 2-0
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro (5) 1-1
Nautico vs Fluminense (6) 1-1
Internacional vs Avai (9) 3-0
Gremio Barueri vs Palmeiras (7) 1-2
Bulgarian A PFG:
Chernomorets Burgas vs Pirin Blagoevgrad (7) 2-0
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Sliven (6) 1-1
Botev Plovdiv vs Vihren Sandanski (5) 1-0
Levski Sofia vs PFC Minior Pernik (9) 3-0
Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia (8) 2-1
Litex Lovech vs CSKA Sofia (7) 1-1
Belasitsa Petrich vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (8) 1-2
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna (10) 4-0
Colombian Futbol Profesional:
La Equidad Bogota vs Boyaca Chico (6) 1-1
Envigado vs Deportivo Cali (6) 1-1
Croatian Prva Liga:
Osijek vs Slaven Koprivnica (6) 2-1
Cibalia Vinkovci vs Sibenik (6) 1-1
Inter Zapresic vs Rijeka (6) 1-1
Croatia Sesvete vs Varteks Varazdin (7) 1-2
NK Zagreb vs Zadar (8) 2-0
Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Danish Superligaen:
OB Odense vs AC Horsens (8) 2-0
SonderjyskE vs Esbjerg (6) 1-0
FC Copenhagen vs Randers (7) 2-0
Brondby vs Midtylland (7) 2-1
Nordsjaelland vs Aalborg BK (7) 1-1
Vejle BK vs AGF Aarhus (7) 0-2
Ecuadorian Primera A:
El Nacional Quito vs Tecnico Universitario Ambato (8) 2-0
Liga de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca (8) 2-1
Macara Ambato vs Manta FC (8) 2-0
Emelec vs Olmedo (8) 3-1
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
Haka Valkeakoski vs KuPS Kuopio (9) 3-0
RoPS Rovaniemi vs HJK Helsinki (4) 1-1
Jaro Pietarsaari vs JJK Jyvaskyla (8) 2-0
MyPa Anjalankoski vs VPS Vaasa (7) under 2.5 goals
IFK Mariehamn vs Tampere United (7) 2-1
FC Lahti vs TPS Turku (7) 2-1
Finnish Ykkonen:
Kiisto Vaasa vs Atlantis FC Helsinki (7) under 2.5 goals
Viikingit Helsinki vs FC Hameenlinna (6)
KooTeePee Kotka vs PS Kemi Kings (7)
TP 47 Tornio vs PK 35 Helsinki (7)
KPV Kokkola vs Jippo Joensuu (7)
Greek Super League:
PAOK vs Larissa (7) 2-1
AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos (6) 1-1
International Friendlies:
Japan vs Belgium (7) 2-1
Ghana vs Uganda (9) 3-1
Malawi vs Rwanda (7) 2-1
Qatar vs Iraq (6) 0-0
Kuwait vs Vietnam (7) 2-0
Italian Serie A:
Internazionale vs Atalanta Bergamo (8) 2-0
Udinese vs Cagliari (8) 2-0
Bologna vs Catania (7) 2-1
SSC Napoli vs Chievo Verona (5) 1-1
Juventus vs Lazio (7) 2-1
Genoa vs Lecce (9) 3-0
Fiorentina vs AC Milan (6) 2-1
Palermo vs Sampdoria (7) 2-1
Reggina vs Siena (6) 0-0
AS Roma vs Torino (9) 3-1
Latvian Virsliga:
Dinaburg Daugavpils vs Skonto Riga (8) 1-2
Tranzits Ventspils vs FK Ventspils (9) 0-3, at least one red card in this game
Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs (9) 1-3
Blazma Rezekne vs Daugava Riga (6) 0-0
Republic of Macedonia Prva Liga:
Pelister Bitola vs Turnovo (8)
Napredok Kicevo vs Rabotnicki Skopje (7)
Pobeda Prilep vs Vardar Skopje (6)
Metalurg Skopje vs Milano Kumanovo (6)
Makedonija Gjorce Petrov Skopje vs Renova Dzepciste (8)
Romanian Liga:
Otelul Galati vs Arges Pitesti (6) 2-1
Dinamo Bucharest vs FC Brasov (8) 2-0
Poli Timisoara vs Unirea Urziceni (7) 1-1
Spanish Primera Liga:
Numancia vs Sevilla CF (8) 1-3
Espanyol vs Malaga (8) 2-0
Osasuna vs Real Madrid (5) 1-0
Racing Club de Santander vs Getafe (8) 2-1
Sporting Gijon vs Recreativo de Huelva (8) 2-0
Real Betis vs Real Valladolid (8) 2-1
Spanish Segunda Liga:
Hercules Alicante vs Celta Vigo (8)
Real Sociedad vs Cordoba (8)
Elche vs Castellon (5)
Las Palmas vs Salamanca (6)
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Orgryte vs Djurgardens (8) 1-2
Halmstads vs Orebro (7) 1-0
Malmo vs GAIS Goteborg (7) 2-0
Kalmar vs Helsingborgs (6) 1-1
Swedish Superettan:
Mjallby Solvesborg vs Sirius Uppsala (9)
Assyriska Sodertalje vs Syrianska Sodertalje (7) at least one red card in this game
Falkenbergs vs Ljungskile (7)
GIF Sundsvall vs Trollhattan (7)
Angelholms vs Atvidabergs (6)
Qviding Goteborg vs Vasalunds (6)
Uruguayan Primera Division:
Liverpool Montevideo vs Bella Vista (9) 3-1
Rampla Juniors vs Juventud de Las Piedras (6) 1-1
Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers (7) 2-1
River Plate Montevideo vs Club Nacional de Montevideo (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Defensor Sporting vs Tacuarembo (9) 2-0
Venezuelan Primera Division:
Deportivo Italia vs Caracas (6) 1-1
Enjoy your free betting tips!