Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar

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Today’s secondary featured game is the A-League encounter between Perth Glory and Brisbane Roar.

The hosts are going from bad to worse as the season progresses. They’re not scoring anywhere near enough goals when you consider how potent their attack is and they’re shipping goals far too easily. Their lack of cohesion is terrifying and their morale is dropping like a stone following three defeats in their last four games. Absentees are mounting with Billy Mehmet being the latest casualty on the list alongside various others including Neville, Sikora, and Coyne, just to name a few. Smeltz is a doubt and that coupled with the absence makes Perth Glory’s potency somewhere between zero and…zero, especially with playmaker Andrezinho a big doubt too. Nothing is going right for Perth Glory right now and thus I think that they’ll struggle here.

Brisbane Roar aren’t back to 100% just yet with Broich and Henrique still doubtful but the return of Nichols in midfield is a welcome boost for boss Postecoglou. Brisbane Roar were excellent in their 3-1 win against Melbourne Victory last time out as they “stopped the rot” and they bing momentum into this game as a result. When they want to be, Brisbane Roar are the best side in the A-League and with Nichols back, a win under their belts, and not to mention them having arguably the best manager in the A-League, you really have to fancy their chances here. I don’t think it’ll be an especially entertaining game unless Brisbane Roar make it so but they should control this game enough to secure three points.

For me, there’s value on the away win at evens, especially with Perth Glory’s attack decimated and their defence shocking.

Verdict: Brisbane Roar to win at evens.

Wednesday’s Picks

My tips:

Central Coast Martiners vs Melbourne Victory – over 2.5 goals at 4/5.

Defensive stalwart Zwaanswijk is suspended for Central Coast Mariners, which does leave a big hole in the middle of their defence. Indeed, if we’re to believe the rumours then the club’s top goalscorer Simon is on his way to the K-League and may not feature here as a result. It looks like Central Coast Mariners may no longer be as pleased with their excellent start to the season! Nonetheless, they’re a side with plenty of spirit and although I do label Simon as their “leading goalscorer” it is important to note how many team goals this side scores rather than depending on heroes etc. Ibini-Isei and Amini cause no end of problems to opposition and irrespective of Simon playing or not, I still think that the impressive hosts will be able to score at least once here. They should have bagged a few in their last game but found lady luck in their way. Without Zwaanswijk at the back, though, it’s hard to envision them keeping a clean sheet here.

Visitors Melbourne Victory may be the bigger team but they’re not playing like it right now. They’re attacking well enough and with Harry Kewell in their ranks, it’s not really a great surprise that that is the case. Hernandez, Thompson, and even the scarcely-used Solorzano are all very dangerous attackers and Melbourne Victory have profited from that this season. However, their defence is just shambolic with no real shape nor set back four. They’ve only kept three clean sheets in the A-League this season despite thirteen attempts although rather worryingly, their last clean sheet came in a 0-0 draw with Central Coast Mariners here. Hmm! However, times have changed since then as both sides have gathered more momentum in varying ways. Melbourne Victory are scoring more goals but are shipping more whereas their hosts are becoming more clinical so I think that we’re in for an interesting game here.

Central Coast Mariners should win this one but at odds of 8/11, I’m just not interested. Instead, I’m far more interested by the possibility of going over 2.5 goals at 4/5. Melboure Victory have gone over 2.5 goals in six out of their last seven games as they almost always score and concede in the same game. The hosts are not in an ideal position to keep them out but they are well-placed to score a few themselves so my call is over 2.5 goals at 4/5.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals at 4/5.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Australian A-League:

Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC (5) 2-1
Melbourne Heart vs Adelaide United (7) 2-0
Newcastle Jets vs Gold Coast United (5) 0-0
Central Coast Martiners vs Melbourne Victory (7) over 2.5 goals
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar (7) 0-1

English Premier League:

Everton vs Bolton Wanderers (6) 1-0
Newcastle United vs Manchester United (6) 1-2

Greek Super League:

Ergotelis vs Xanthi (7) 1-0
Kerkyra vs Aris Salonika (5) 0-0
Panaitolikos vs Panathinaikos (4) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
PAOK Salonika vs Levadiakos (8) 2-0
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Atromitos (8) 2-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Genclerbirligi vs Samsunspor (6) 1-0
Orduspor vs Fenerbahce (7) 1-2
Besiktas JK vs Eskisehirspor (7) 1-0
Gaziantepspor vs Antalyaspor (7) 2-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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