AIK Solna vs Hammarby
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Earlier in the season, AIK Solna beat local rivals Hammarby 1-0. They did a perfect job on them in that game by sitting back, soaking up the pressure, and hitting them on the break. They eventually got a deserved penalty, took the lead, and held it brilliantly.
That’s not where the story ends, though. After the game, some of the Hammarby players came out and accused AIK Solna of playing “anti-football” and why they did that, I don’t know. It showed that AIK Solna’s style got to them, and it also gives the league leaders the advantage in today’s game because they know how to rile Hammarby up. I thought it was a really embarrassing moment for Hammarby, and I think it’ll cost them today here.
Of course, these two teams do play contrasting styles. AIK Solna are good enough to sit on any lead that they take. Hammarby have to outscore teams because they know that they’ll concede, and it’s hard to envision that approach working against the best defence in Sweden. Ultimately, as much as the footballing romantics would love to believe that Hammarby would win such encounters, I believe that AIK Solna will be comfortable here. It’s about being effective and efficient, which AIK Solna are – that’s why they’re top of the table. Hammarby are fun to watch but they’re top-heavy; that defence couldn’t keep a cow out, as they amply demonstrated in a recent derby defeat against Djurgarden.
AIK Solna are happy to let Hammarby have the ball because they know that they are very unlikely to break through a wall containing Sundgren, Milosevic, Karlsson etc. particularly with Adu in front of them. It’s not impossible, of course, but it’s difficult at Allsvenskan level. Furthermore, AIK Solna know that they’ll get opportunities against Hammarby because the visitors are sloppy at the back and commit too many men forward. When Goitom, Olsson, Elyounoussi, and Stefanelli are attacking Hammarby, they’re going to score goals. Ultimately, I expect AIK Solna’s balance and consistency to be too much for Hammarby here.
Don’t get me wrong here, guys and girls – I love entertaining football as much as the next man. I wish it was prevalent in European leagues nowadays but it’s about results. That’s why Hammarby, who haven’t changed their style in years, have been relegated more than they’ve won trophies over the past decade. They cannot keep teams out. They cannot control a game. All they can do is move forward, get in behind defenders, and score goals.
Hammarby are good at playing that way, to be fair – any Swedish team that takes them on in an open game is definitively insane because Hammarby have the speed and quality to kill teams via Tankovic, Durdic, and Hamad. AIK Solna won’t do that though, which makes Hammarby a lot less effective. Basically, I can see them being “managed” out of this match with the proviso that AIK Solna don’t have anybody unnecessarily sent off.
Derby or not, I find there to be value in the home win at evens.
Verdict: AIK Solna to win at evens.
Sunday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Argentinian Superliga:
Tigre vs Atletico Huracan
San Martin Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors
Gimnasia de la Plata vs Rosario Central
San Martin de San Juan vs Atletico Tucuman
Boca Juniors vs River Plate
Austrian Bundesliga:
Austria Vienna vs LASK Linz
Wacker Innsbruck vs Admira Wacker
Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
AA Gent vs Club Brugge
RSC Anderlecht vs Standard de Liege
Cercle Brugge vs Racing Genk
Brazilian Serie A:
Gremio vs Ceara
Atletico Paranaense vs Parana
Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro
Corinthians vs Internacional
Vitoria vs Botafogo
Sport Recife vs Palmeiras
Cruzeiro vs Santos
Bulgarian A PFG:
Vereya vs Dunav 2010
Cherno More Varna vs Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad
Croatian Prva Liga:
Dinamo Zagreb vs Inter Zapresic
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
Czech Republic HET LIga:
Slavia Prague vs Bohemians 1905
Danish Superligaen:
SonderjyskE vs FC Midtjylland
Hobro vs Aalborg BK
FC Copenhagen vs FC Nordsjaelland
AGF Aarhus vs Brondby
English Premier League:
West Ham United vs Chelsea
Arsenal vs Everton
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Kalju
Faroese Meistaradeildin:
TB/FCS/Royn vs NSI Runavik
Vikingur Gotu vs Skala
AB Argir vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
KI Klaksvik vs HB Torshavn
B36 Torshavn vs EB/Streymur
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku
Finnish Ykkonen:
Ekenas IF vs HIFK Helsinki
French Ligue 1:
Stade Rennais vs Paris Saint-Germain
En Avant Guingamp vs Girondins de Bordeaux
Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de Marseille
German Bundesliga:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga 2:
Hamburger SV vs Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue
Heidenheim vs Greuther Furth
Paderborn 07 vs Magdeburg
Icelandic Pepsideild:
KA Akureyri vs UMF Grindavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan Gardabaer
Fjolnir Reykjavik vs Breidablik Kopavogur
KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur Reykjavik
Italian Serie A:
Torino vs SSC Napoli
Bologna vs AS Roma
Chievo Verona vs Udinese
SS Lazio vs Genoa
AC Milan vs Atalanta Bergamo
Frosinone vs Juventus
Italian Serie B:
Padova vs Cremonese
Dutch Eredivisie:
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht
FC Emmen vs PEC Zwolle
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Stromsgodset vs Molde FK
Stabaek vs Ranheim
Kristiansund vs Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt vs Start Kristiansand
Brann Bergen vs Sandefjord
Rosenborg BK vs Sarpsborg 08
Portuguese Liga 1:
Tondela vs Moreirense
Feirense vs CD Nacional de Madeira
SL Benfica vs Desportivo Aves
Portimonense vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Portuguese Liga 2:
Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Leixoes Matosinhos
Academico Viseu vs Famalicao
Farense vs Academica de Coimbra
Pacos de Ferreira vs Sporting Covilha
Estoril vs Mafra
Russian Premier League:
Zenit St. Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
Spanish Primera Liga:
Levante vs Sevilla CF
Villarreal CF vs Valencia CF
Real Betis Balompie vs Athetic Club
Barcelona CF vs Girona
Swedish Allsvenskan:
AIK Solna vs Hammarby
Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF
Swiss Super League:
Young Boys Bern vs FC Basel
St. Gallen vs Lugano
FC Zurich vs Luzern
Swiss Challenge League:
Vaduz vs Winterthur
Turkish Super Lig:
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor
Akhisarspor vs Galatasaray
Enjoy your free betting tips!