Dalkurd vs AIK Solna
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Today’s free tip is in the Swedish Allsvenskan game between newly-promoted Dalkurd and league leaders AIK Solna.
Despite not being all that streetwise, nor laden with proven Allsvenskan talents, I think that Dalkurd have done brilliantly this season. They’ve been a breath of fresh air in the Allsvenskan with their almost Spanish style of playing football. They way they move the ball around with speed combined with the good movement of their attackers has made them a constant threat to most teams, and with better finishing, they’d be far higher in the table.
Indeed, I don’t honestly remember the last time a newly-promoted team had so many players plundered in the first transfer window of the season. Dalkurd lost star striker Turay to Sint-Truiden, Rashidi to AIK Solna themselves, Sugita to Tractor Sazi, Bertilsson to Orebro, Amin to Ostersunds FK, and Berg to GIF Sundsvall. Most of those players were regulars so Dalkurd really have been kicked in the balls this season. It’s one thing to adapt to a higher league, but it’s another thing entirely to rebuild a squad whilst in the midst of the said campaign. Unsurprisingly, they’re struggling.
Still, it’s not dampened their desire to play attractive attacking football. They have signed some decent players in response to those that they’ve lost but I think the acquisition of Finnish striker Markkanen alone indicates that they’re suffering without a “Plan B”, hence the new long ball option they’ve given themselves. Markkanen is no stranger to AIK Solna, though – he was on their books too. I just don’t feel like Dalkurd are in any kind of position to suddenly start springing surprises on the best team in Sweden right now.
I mean, we’re nearing the end of the Allsvenskan campaign now. Dalkurd are starting to tire because they don’t have a big squad and their style requires a lot of energy. This is a team that already ships a lot of goals so their obvious fatigue is causing them to concede even more goals than usual. Without Turay up front, they lack natural speed and a good level of finesse so they’re struggling to convert most of their chances, and they do create a lot of them. Sadly, there’s just too much wrong with plucky Dalkurd at this time, so although I fervently hope they survive an immediate drop back into the Superettan, I cannot see how they realistically stand a chance against a far superior AIK Solna.
The capital club simply have everything, at least when it comes to Allsvenskan level. They can play open football, organised football, score goals from most scenarios, and hold leads. That’s why they’re going to win the title this season; they’re ruthlessly efficient. There simply isn’t a weak spot in their team. When they’ve got experienced match-winners like Goitom, Larsson, Elyounoussi, and Milosevic in important areas as well as extremely talented younger players like Olsson and Rashidi, not to mention a lot of very consistent performers, it’s beyond challenging to find a good time to oppose them at this level. They handle most challenges brilliantly, and they know how to win games. Beating Dalkurd should be one of their lesser challenges, tactically speaking. It’s easy to anticipate what they’re going to do. The hard part will be the physical side of things because keeping up with them is a bit grim but AIK Solna will do it, I am sure.
I would not be surprised if AIK Solna adopted their “Hammarby” approach to this game because that’s what they’ve done against their neighbours and GIF Sundsvall this season, all of which play very similar styles to Dalkurd. Now, AIK Solna won most of those games 1-0, which is the danger here. However, I don’t see that happening against Dalkurd because of how ridiculously easy it is to score against them. I remember watching the reversal of this fixture earlier in the season, and AIK Solna spurned lots of good chances at the end of the game to score more goals. They look a lot sharper at the moment though, and Dalkurd are not the kind of team to simply sit back and accept a narrow loss as an acceptable result. In practice, that means, they’re going to keep trying to get at AIK Solna, particularly as relegation awaits them if they don’t pick up points on a more regular basis.
Therefore, I’m left feeling like AIK Solna will take the lead at some stage, and then will finish the job off on the break, which is why I am backing the visitors to beat the -1.5 Asian Handicap here.
Verdict: AIK Solna to beat the -1.5 Asian Handicap at 107/100.
Sunday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Argentinian Superliga:
Patronato vs Talleres de Cordoba
Union de Santa Fe vs Gimnasia de la Plata
Belgrano de Cordoba vs Atletico Huracan
Boca Juniors vs Colon de Santa Fe
Austrian Bundesliga:
SV Mattersburg vs Wacker Innsbruck
Hartberg vs Austria Vienna
LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
RSC Anderlecht vs Sint-Truiden
KV Oostende vs Standard de Liege
Antwerp vs AA Gent
Brazilian Serie A:
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
Internacional vs Vitoria
Ceara vs Chapecoense
Bulgarian A PFG:
Dunav 2010 vs Beroe
Vereya vs Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Etar
Croatian Prva Liga:
Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rijeka vs Slaven Koprivnica
Czech Republic HET Liga:
Banik Ostrava vs Slavia Prague
Teplice vs Baumit Jablonec
Danish Superligaen:
Vendsyssel vs FC Copenhagen
Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus
Aalborg BK vs OB Odense
Brondby vs AC Horsens
English Premier League:
Cardiff City vs Burnley
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn
Faroese Meistaradeildin:
KI Klaksvik vs AB Argir
TB/FCS/Royn vs Skala
Vikingur Gotu vs B36 Torshavn
EB/Streymur vs HB Torshavn
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
FC Lahti vs TPS Turku
RoPS Rovaniemi vs SJK
Finnish Ykkonen:
Ekenas IF vs Jaro Pietarsaari
French Ligue 1:
Stade Rennais vs Toulouse
Montpellier HSC vs Nimes Olympique
Lille OSC vs Olympique de Marseille
German Bundesliga:
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hannover 96
Augsburg vs SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga 2:
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli
SV Sandhausen vs Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Furth
Hungarian Liga 1:
Diosgyori VTK vs Vidi
Italian Serie A:
Bologna vs Udinese
Chievo Verona vs Torino
ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta Bergamo
Frosinone vs Genoa
Parma vs Empoli
Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Italian Serie B:
Ascoli vs Cremonese
Cosenza vs Perugia
Benevento vs Foggia
Lithuanian Cup:
Stumbras vs Zalgiris Vilnius
Dutch Eredivisie:
Heracles Almelo vs FC Emmen
De Graafschap vs Willem II
AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle
Groningen vs FC Utrecht
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Vitesse Arnhem
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Lillestrom vs Stabaek
Ranheim vs Kristiansund
Haugesund vs Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga Oslo vs Start Kristiansand
Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset
Molde FK vs Rosenborg BK
Portuguese Liga 1:
CD Nacional de Madeira vs Santa Clara
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Vitoria Setubal
Belenenses vs Sporting Braga
Russian Premier League:
Anzhi Makhachkala vs Zenit St. Petersburg
FK Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow
Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov
Spanish Primera Liga:
Huesca vs Girona
Villarreal CF vs Real Valladolid
Levante vs Deportivo Alaves
Real Betis Balompie vs Leganes CF
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Kalmar FF vs Brommapojkarna
Dalkurd vs AIK Solna
Malmo FF vs GIF Sundsvall
Djurgarden vs Ostersunds FK
Swiss Super League:
Lugano vs FC Basel
Luzern vs Sion
FC Zurich vs Neuchatel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League:
Vaduz vs Aarau
Turkish Super Lig:
Sivasspor vs Bursaspor
Goztepe vs Konyaspor
Rizespor vs Fenerbahce
Enjoy your free betting tips!