Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United
FreeWe’re always looking for new recruits to help us so please click here if you want to find out more about the ways you can help us (e.g. local input, watching games)!
There is 1 banker and 6 value tips in the Members Section today so feel free to sign up here to see them + team news!
Today’s free tip is in the Australian A-League encounter between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.
This is Newcastle Jets’ fourth game in twelve days. During that time, they’ve not only faced extra-time against Persija Jakarta but also had to fly to Japan just a few days ago to get pounded by Kashima Antlers in their Asian Champions League qualifier. Interestingly enough, boss Merrick opted to rest most of his starters when hosting Melbourne City and yet they still managed to beat the most dreary team in the A-League 3-1, which says a lot more about Melbourne City than it does about Newcastle Jets. Merrick hasn’t specified any changes here other than the enforced one, which is that Venezuelan playmaker Vargas is injured so he cannot play. He’s daft if he doesn’t rotate, though – these players cannot play so many games in such a short space of time.
Let’s suppose Merrick doesn’t rotate today though. Let’s suppose he names his strongest side possible. What then? Well, there’s a team out there that works hard and is tactically astute. Newcastle Jets is seldom outplayed in the A-League. However, they’re outscored a lot more often than they should be, all things considered. This is because they make far too many individual errors at both ends of the pitch, leading to shipping too many goals and not scoring enough. Newcastle Jets is good to watch, that’s for sure, but not efficient in the least. Therefore, a game against a tough opponent like Adelaide United after a lot of travelling looks a bit too much for them, in my opinion, especially without Vargas.
Adelaide United suffer from similar problems to Newcastle Jets but generally control games better than their opponents. Dutch forward Thomassen still needs time to adjust because he’s been more of a hindrance than a help of late. Still, he’s exactly what their fans have been crying out for so once he aligns with the team, Adelaide United should be a lot better for it. I like The Reds because of their consistently impressive displays and never-say-die attitudes. They move the ball around well, threaten regularly, and seldom look out of their depth. Defensively, they do concern me, even though Jakobsen has finally settled in. Offensively, though, it’s opposing teams that they trouble the most!
Last weekend, Adelaide United kept getting hit with sucker punches against Western Sydney Wanderers – that’s why they lost. At no stage did Western Sydney Wanderers look like they were in the match but one set piece at the start and two breaks late on decided the outcome. Adelaide United is usually sharp enough to handle teams like that but not on that day. With the likes of winger Goodwin, Danish drifter Ilso, and returning forward Blackwood in attack though, Adelaide United could and should cause problems today. The absence of both Halloran and Mileusnic does leave more at Goodwin’s door than I’d like, admittedly, but this team controls games so well that it shouldn’t really matter, not when you factor in how many mistakes Newcastle Jets tend to make in defence and the likely rotation they’ll have to enforce today. Realistically speaking, Adelaide United should control this game and if they do, they can win it.
Ultimately, I don’t see The Reds screwing this one up. A draw is possible, I suppose, but I find value in backing the away win with draw no bet cover.
Verdict: Adelaide United to win with draw no bet at 4/5.
Sunday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Argentinian Superliga:
River Plate vs San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de la Plata vs Talleres de Cordoba
Atletico Tucuman vs Argentinos Juniors
Defensa y Justicia vs Boca Juniors
Australian A-League:
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory
Austrian Bundesliga:
SV Mattersburg vs Sturm Graz
Hartberg vs St. Polten
Rapid Vienna vs Salzburg
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
RSC Anderlecht vs Club Brugge
Racing Genk vs Antwerp
Sint-Truiden vs Sporting Charleroi
Bulgarian A PFG:
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
Etar vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe vs Dunav 2010
Croatian Prva Liga:
Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Osijek
Czech Republic HET Liga:
Sparta Prague vs Banik Ostrava
Danish Superligaen:
Hobro vs Esbjerg
AC Horsens vs OB Odense
AGF Aarhus vs FC Midtjylland
Brondby vs Randers
English Premier League:
Arsenal vs Southampton
Manchester United vs Liverpool
English League Cup:
Chelsea vs Manchester City
French Ligue 1:
Nantes Atlantique vs Girondins de Bordeaux
Montpellier HSC vs Stade de Reims
Toulouse vs Stade Malherbe de Caen
Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille
AS Monaco vs Olympique Lyonnais
German Bundesliga:
Hannover 96 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
German Bundesliga 2:
Jahn Regensburg vs Hamburger SV
Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Magdeburg vs Paderborn 07
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs MS Ashdod
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Be’er Sheva
Italian Serie A:
Sampdoria vs Cagliara
Chievo Verona vs Genoa
Bologna vs Juventus
Sassuolo vs SPAL
Parma vs SSC Napoli
ACF Fiorentina vs Internazionale
Italian Serie B:
Livorno vs Venezia
Lithuanian Super Cup:
Suduva Marijampole vs Zalgiris Vilnius
Dutch Eredivisie:
ADO Den Haag vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
FC Emmen vs Vitesse Arnhem
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar
Portuguese Liga 1:
Santa Clara vs CD Nacional de Madeira
Boavista vs Rio Ave
Portuguese Liga 2:
SL Benfica II vs Cova Piedade
Farense vs Pacos de Ferreira
Arouca vs FC Porto II
Academico Viseu vs Sporting Braga II
Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Varzim
Estoril vs Academica de Coimbra
Spanish Primera Liga:
Leganes CF vs Valencia CF
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal CF
Real Valladolid vs Real Betis Balompie
Levante CF vs Real Madrid
Swedish Svenska Cupen:
Eskilsminne vs Hammarby
Rosengard vs BK Hacken Goteborg
Nykoping vs Orebro
Norrby vs AIK Solna
Swiss Super League:
Lugano vs Young Boys Bern
Thun vs Grasshopper Zurich
FC Zurich vs Luzern
Swiss Challenge League:
Vaduz vs Aarau
Turkish Super Lig:
Ankaragucu vs BB Erzurumspor
Konyaspor vs Kayserispor
Galatasaray vs Akhisarspor
Enjoy your free betting tips!