Genclerbirligi vs Goztepe

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Today’s free game is in the Turkish Super Lig encounter between Genclerbirligi and Goztepe.

The odds on this selection seem rather long, don’t they? Genclerbirligi literally need to win both of their two remaining Super Lig matches or they’re relegated. They’ve got to attack Goztepe tonight, and as any Super Lig fan will tell you, Goztepe play some very good attacking football. It’s not wise to attack them, in other words – but there’s no alternative for the capital club.

I think it’s more than fair to say that Genclerbirligi have been atrocious defensively for the majority of this season, if not the entirety. They’ve actually given up on defending now; it was more than evident against a wholly disinterested, demotivated Faith Karagumruk last time out. Genclerbirligi lost that game 5-1 because they invited the wolves to dinner in that game, time and time again, and were duly routed. Faith Karagumruk didn’t suddenly produce the display of the season; it was all of Genclerbirligi’s making. Why would tonight’s game against a better, more interested Goztepe be any different? 

I know that they need to win, but honestly, this team is completely incapable of sitting on a lead – so they don’t. They have to keep attacking, keep scoring, and pray that they score enough to outscore their opponents. With Stancu back up front, and Candeias, Yilmaz, and da Motta supporting, they will score goals. Even against Goztepe, I believe that they can do enough to win the game. I just think it’s going to be really tough because they’re playing a style against Goztepe that even the Istanbul heavyweights would not play, and there’s a damn good reason that they don’t. In short, Genclerbirligi are in trouble – but they’ve got to keep trucking.

Technically, Goztepe have nothing left to play for but one thing I’ve noticed about this team this season is their desire to play good attacking football. In fact, it’s been around for years now, this desire of theirs. It may not always work out for them, but it’s what they want, and it’s what they work hard to manage. I appreciate that Ideye and Napoleoni have disappointed this season, but bringing Jahovic back and sticking him in attack with support from N’Diaye and Diabate is a potentially lethal combination in the long run, especially with Aydogdu and Akbunar behind them.

Candeias being out for the home team isn’t ideal, but considering that Goztepe are without half of their back four, I can see this game quickly becoming very open and goal-filled. I just can’t see how it would go any other way. I’m staggered that I can somehow get over 2.5 goals at 4/5 on any Genclerbirligi game, to be honest – it’s always a smart move for their matches. For such an important game, I’d honestly be tempted by more goals than this, which is why I’ve listed a side bet beneath my main pick. 

Main bet: Over 2.5 goals at 4/5.
Side bet: Over 4.5 goals at 5/1.

Tuesday’s Thoughts

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.

Copa Libertadores:

Deportivo Tachira vs Internacional 
The Strongest vs Barcelona Guayaquil 
Santos vs Boca Juniors 
Independiente del Valle vs Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal vs Racing Club Avellaneda
Union La Calera vs Flamengo 

Copa Sudamericana:

Metropolitanos vs Athletico Paranaense
Talleres de Cordoba vs Deportes Tolima
City Torque vs Independiente
RB Bragantino vs Emelec Guayquil

Austrian Bundesliga:

St. Polten vs SCR Altach
SV Ried vs Admira Wacker
Austria Vienna vs Hartberg 

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Beroe 

Croatian Prva Liga:

Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek vs Sibenik 

English Premier League:

Southampton vs Crystal Palace 
Manchester United vs Leicester City

Estonian Meistriliiga:

Legion vs Vaprus 

Finnish Veikkausliiga:

FC Lahti vs KuPS 
Ilves vs HJK 

Israeli State Cup:

Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Beitar Tel-Aviv Bat Yam 

Italian Serie A:

SSC Napoli vs Udinese 

Lithuanian A Lyga:

FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius

Portuguese Liga 1:

Tondela vs Belenenses
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
CD Nacional de Madeira vs SL Benfica 
Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Boavista 

Spanish Primera Liga:

CA Osasuna vs Cadiz
Elche vs Deportivo Alaves
Levante vs Barcelona 

Swiss Super League:

Vaduz vs Young Boys Bern
FC Basel vs Lugano

Swiss Challenge League:

Aarau vs SC Kriens 
Thun vs FC Schaffhausen 
Wil vs Chiasso 

Turkish Super Lig:

Alanyaspor vs BB Erzurumspor
Kasimpasa vs Ankaragucu
Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor
Istanbul BB vs Kayserispor
Gazisehir Gaziantep vs Rizespor
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Hatayspor
Denizlispor vs Galatasaray 
Besiktas JK vs Fatih Karagumruk
Genclerbirligi vs Goztepe
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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