Bodo/Glimt vs Odd
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Today’s free tip is in the Norwegian Eliteserien encounter between Bodo/Glimt and Odd.
Blind handicapping Bodo/Glimt is either bold or stupid, measured only by the success of the pick. It’s not a team you can trust to keep opponents out; they don’t try to, and they’re not good at it when they do. However, they are a ruthless attacking team that will not let up on their opponents, so in the right game, handicapping them is the right call.
Ordinarily, handicapping them against Odd is not something I’d do. Odd are usually quite solid defensively, and like to counter well. That’s not stopped Bodo/Glimt from turning them over in the past, admittedly, but it’s been harder for them to do. This season though, Odd found Bakenga on their books, and he’s been dazzling the Eliteserien with goal after goal. That’s encouraged Odd to get forward more, especially as they’ve got Rolantsson and Svendsen in attack too, and has led to Odd scoring lots, and winning a fair amount too.
Naturally, Bakenga’s displays at a club he’s too good for attracted attention, and now he’s buggered off to the Middle East to earn big bucks; good for him. That’s left Odd in a quandary though, one that beating Haugesund 4-2 doesn’t really pave over the cracks off. They’ve lost two games since that win, smashed 5-0 by Rosenborg BK in Trondheim, and more worryingly losing 1-0 at home against Stromsgodset, who cannot defend at any time. Their goal threat is nowhere near what it was, and although I really don’t doubt Rolantsson and Svendsen coming good in time (both have proven so in the past at this level), they’re not there yet – and Odd are still playing attacking football.
Odd attacking a lot and not scoring enough is a problem because they will concede a lot by playing that way. Containing Bodo/Glimt at Eliteserien level is hard enough because few teams (if any) can play the one touch passing game that they do, nor break with such furious pace. It’s not as good a Bodo/Glimt side as the last two years, but Knutsen will get them there in the end, as he always does. I think their recent transfer signings have proven that, bringing Pellegrino home from his stint in the Middle East to the league he dominated with Kristiansund, and ex-Brann Bergen forward Koomson back from his sojourn in Turkey with Kasimpasa, both of which weigh in heavily on Bodo/Glimt’s attacking power.
Pellegrino has already bagged four goals in two games since returning to Norway, and if pre-season recruit Pernambuco doesn’t get going soon, there won’t be enough room for him in this squad. Botheim’s still scoring goals, Solbakken is scoring goals, and the likes of Saltnes and Berg are never far away from such, so where would the Brazilian even fit? This has become a ferociously strong attacking force once more, and one that is not afraid to show it. They’ll be keen to deal with Odd early on as to make any changes necessary in anticipation of their European encounter against Zorya Lugansk of Ukraine midweek, so I expect a fast start and lots of Bodo/Glimt goals.
I may not trust in a Bodo/Glimt clean sheet, but they should hit a Bakenga-less Odd hard enough to convincingly win.
Verdict: Bodo/Glimt to beat the -1.5 Asian Handicap at 22/25.
Sunday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Austrian Bundesliga:
LASK vs Austria Vienna
SCR Altach vs SV Ried
Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt
Belgian Eerset Klasse:
RSC Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen
AA Gent vs Sporting Charleroi
Racing Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise
RFC Seraing vs Standard de Liege
OH Leuven vs Kortrijk
Brazilian Serie A:
Gremio vs Ceara
Palmeiras vs Flamengo
Fortaleza vs Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense vs Corinthians
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
Bulgarian A PFG:
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
Croatian Prva Liga:
Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek
Czechia Liga 1:
Ceske Budejovice vs Hradec Kralove
Baumit Jablonec vs Karvina
Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc
Slavia Prague vs Slovacko
Danish Superligaen:
Viborg vs Aalborg BK
Randers vs FC Copenhagen
AGF vs Vejle
English Premier League:
Leeds United vs Liverpool
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Vaprus Parnu vs Flora Tallinn
Flora Paide vs FCI Levadia Tallinn
Faroese Betrideildin:
HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik
TB vs Vikingur Gota
EB/Streymur vs IF
B68 Toftir vs KI
07 Vestur Sorvagur vs B36 Torshavn
French Ligue 1:
Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Etienne
Girondins de Bordeaux vs Racing Club Lens
Stade Brestois vs Angers SCO
Metz vs Troyes
Stade Rennais vs Stade de Reims
FC Nantes Atlantique vs OGC Nice
Olympique Lyonnais vs Racing Club Strasbourg
German Bundesliga:
Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart
VfL Bochum vs Hertha Berlin
Borussia Moenchengladbach vs Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga 2:
Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden
Paderborn 07 vs Schalke 04
Erzgebirge Aue vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
Jahn Regensburg vs Nurnberg
Hansa Rostock vs Darmstadt 98
Hungarian Liga 1:
Puskas FC vs Varda SE
Icelandic PepsiMaxDeild:
Stjarnan Gardabaer vs FH
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
MS Ashdod vs Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Hapoel Hadera
Italian Serie A:
Sampdoria vs Internazionale
Cagliari vs Genoa
Spezia vs Udinese
Torino vs Salernitana
AC Milan vs SS Lazio
AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Italian Serie B:
Cosenza vs Vicenza
Cremonese vs Cittadella
Pordenone vs Parma
Lithuanian A Lyga:
Dainava vs Banga Gargzdai
Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius
Dutch Eredivisie:
NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
RKC Waalwijk vs Vitesse Arnhem
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Bodo/Glimt vs Odd
Haugesund vs Sarpsborg 08
Molde FK vs Mjondalen
Sandefjord vs Valerenga Oslo
Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund
Rosenborg BK vs Tromso
Portuguese Liga 1:
Moreirense vs Famalicao
Gil Vicente vs Vizela
Boavista vs Portimonense
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2:
Penafiel vs CD Nacional de Madeira
Vilafranquense vs Chaves
Leixoes Matosinhos vs Varzim
FC Porto II vs Mafra
Trofense vs Casa Pia
Romanian Liga 1:
Gaz Metan Medias vs Voluntari
FCSB vs Dinamo Bucharest
Russian Premier League:
Arsenal Tula vs CSKA Moscow
PFC Sochi vs FK Ufa
Dinamo Moscow vs FC Nizhniy Novgorod
Spanish Primera Liga:
RCD Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid
CA Osasuna vs Valencia CF
Cadiz vs Real Sociedad
Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Djurgarden vs Hammarby
Kalmar FF vs Degerfors
IFK Goteborg vs Halmstad
Swiss Super League:
Servette vs St. Gallen
Lausanne Sport vs FC Sion
Lugano vs FC Basel
Swiss Challenge League:
Vaduz vs SC Kriens
Turkish Super Lig:
Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor
Rizespor vs Hatayspor
Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray
Goztepe vs Istanbul BB
Enjoy your free betting tips!