Paderborn 07 vs Ingolstadt
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Today’s free tip is in the German Bundesliga 2 encounter between Paderborn 07 and Ingolstadt.
Last week’s win against Karlsruher SC was a good one for Paderborn 07. Unfortunately though, it’s just yet another in the long list of inconsistent results. This team has the players to be in the promotion battle but until they can string a few wins together, they’re not going to get close to a Bundesliga return.
Still, today’s match represents an opportunity for them to do so. Not just an opportunity, but a good one because they’re hosting Ingolstadt, who already look relegated. It’s hard to see them in this position when they’ve given as much as they unquestionably have this season. However, the Bavarians are simply out of their depth in the Bundesliga 2. All their mistakes are big ones, and usually get punished. Their finishing isn’t good enough for this level.
Therefore, it’s a big ‘advantage Paderborn 07’ moment, this fixture. I don’t trust the home team because they have a real penchant for doing stupid things in defence. Even last week, when 4-0 up against a knackered Karlsruher SC, they managed to concede two goals. That back four of theirs lacks chemistry, and it also lacks protection from midfield. In short, I doubt there’s another team in the division I’d handicap Paderborn 07 against right now other than Ingolstadt.
However, the home team have a lethal attack, and that’s why I am going to trust them here. Any follower of the Bundesliga 2 knows how good Michel is; he’s a phenomenon at this level. This season he’s actually outdone himself, really carrying the team at key periods, whether against eleven or ten men. He was outstanding last weekend, and he will be again today. His runs, awareness, finishing – everything about this fella is sheer perfection at this level. With him in the eleven, Srbeny, Platte, Proger etc. all benefit hugely.
I don’t see a way in which Ingolstadt can contain their hosts here. They’re not good enough defensively to manage it, and far better teams than them have conceded against Paderborn 07 this season. They’ve already changed manager once this season, the Bavarians, appointing Schubert as manager in September. How long before he gets sacked too? They can’t have very realistic expectations if they get promoted to the Bundesliga 2, don’t make anywhere near enough good signings (yes, it is possible – see Hansa Rostock’s business by comparison), and then sack their manager after two months. Schubert hasn’t turned things around because the team just isn’t good enough; it’s that simple.
Alright, I’ll concede that certain individuals have let Ingolstadt down like Boujellab, who has not performed anywhere close to his potential. I’ll also concede that they’ve encountered more injury problems than most this season. Even with all of their players fit though, I don’t see an eleven that can avoid the drop in a highly competitive Bundesliga 2 team. I don’t doubt the team’s battling spirit, nor their utter conviction of a positive result. Their effectiveness and efficiency is simply not there for this level though, and that’s a huge problem.
Paderborn 07 may be sketchy, but they at least have the individuals to carry them during difficult periods. Ingolstadt do not have that luxury, and they don’t have any recent experience of beating the drop. As I recall, they were relegated from this division a few years back in a play-off against Wehen Wiesbaden. Despite winning the away leg convincingly, they became awfully blase in the return leg and were humped to relegation. They may have a more steely resolve about them now, Ingolstadt, but they’re equipped with a far worse team than the last time relegation stared them in the face. I fear for them.
As far as today goes, Paderborn 07 really should score two or three goals, hence my interest in the -1 Asian Handicap.
Verdict: Paderborn 07 to beat the -1 Asian Handicap at 4/5.
Saturday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Austrian Bundesliga:
Hartberg vs Austria Klagenfurt
Admira Wacker vs SV Ried
Austria Vienna vs Salzburg
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
AS Eupen vs Zulte-Waregem
Kortrijk vs Germinal Beerschot
KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Sporting Charleroi
Brazilian Serie A:
Internacional vs Gremio
Corinthians vs Fortaleza
Fluminense vs Sport Recife
Bulgarian A PFG:
Cherno More Varna vs Tsarsko selo
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia
Croatian Prva Liga:
NK Osijek vs Istra 1961
Hajduk Split vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Czechia Liga 1:
Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava
Ceske Budejovice vs Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905
Viktoria Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
English Premier League:
Manchester United vs Manchester City
Brentford vs Norwich City
Chelsea vs Burnley
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United
Estonian Meistriliiga:
FCI Levadia Tallinn vs Legion
Vaprus Parnu vs Kuressaare
French Ligue 1:
Lille OSC vs Angers SCO
Girondins de Bordeaux vs Paris Saint-Germain
German Bundesliga:
Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg
VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart vs Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum vs TSG Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig vs Bv09 Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga 2:
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Hannover 96
Paderborn 07 vs Ingolstadt
Jahn Regensburg vs Hansa Rostock
Karlsruher SC vs Hamburger SV
Hungarian Liga 1:
Mezokovesd-Zsory vs Paksi SE
Debreceni VSC vs Budapest Honved
Puskas FC vs Ujpest
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs MS Ashdod
Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
Italian Serie A:
Spezia vs Torino
Juventus vs ACF Fiorentina
Cagliari vs Atalanta Bergamo
Italian Serie B:
Alessandria vs Ternana
Ascoli vs Vicenza
Como vs Perugia
Cremonese vs SPAL
Brescia vs Pordenone
Benevento vs Frosinone
Lithuanian A Lyga:
Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
Banga Gargzdai vs Nevezis
Dutch Eredivisie:
NEC Nijmegen vs SC Heerenveen
Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Leeuwarden
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Brann Bergen vs Rosenborg BK
Sarpsborg 08 vs Stabaek
Portuguese Liga 1:
Vizela vs Estoril
Portimonense vs Belenenses
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense
Portuguese Liga 2:
Trofense vs Rio Ave
Casa Pia vs Academica de Coimbra
Romanian Liga 1:
CS Mioveni vs UTA Arad
U Craiova 1948 vs Sepsi
Russian Premier League:
Arsenal Tula vs FK Ufa
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs FK Khimki
Dinamo Moscow vs FK Krasnodar
PFC Sochi vs CSKA Moscow
Spanish Primera Liga:
RCD Espanyol vs Granada
Celta de Vigo vs Barcelona
Deportivo Alaves vs Levante
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Elfsborg Boras vs Varberg
Djurgarden vs Halmstad
Mjallby Solvesborg vs Sirius
Swiss Super League:
Grasshopper Zurich vs Young Boys Bern
Luzern vs FC Sion
Swiss Challenge League:
Aarau vs Yverdon Sport
Wil vs SC Kriens
Turkish Super Lig:
Sivasspor vs Giresunspor
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir
Antalyaspor vs Altay
Besiktas JK vs Trabzonspor
Enjoy your free betting tips!