AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland
FreeToday’s featured game is in the Danish Superligaen and sees AGF Aarhus hosting Midtylland. The hosts have been making some good waves this season due to some results, most notably the away win to FC Copenhagen. They’ve played eight games this season and have lost just once (which was a tricky game away to Brondby last match) and have won five times. Bluntly, AGF Aarhus are looking a potent threat to all whom they encounter in the Superligaen this season and Midtylland are the latest side to be thrust into their path! Despite having been a force themselves in recent years, Midtylland have really struggled this season and are currently second bottom of the Superligaen. Whereas their home form has been a long way from impressive, their away form is where they’ve really come undone, losing all four of their away games so far this season, conceding nine goals and scoring just once. They’ve now lost their last four games and it doesn’t look like stopping any time soon, particularly not against an in-form AGF Aarhus. I’m aware that there’s not masses between these two sides in terms of quality but odds of 11/10 on the home win are a real gift!
Monday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland – home win at 10/11 – see introduction for full details.
Brno vs Sparta Prague – away win at 13/10. This is a relatively dubious call but the poor form of Brno in their last few games has swayed me to take it. After a respectable 2-2 draw with PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Europa League mid-week, Sparta Prague travel to Brno in hope of winning their first away game of the season as they’ve drawn all three so far. Having won this fixture last year, Sparta Prague are well aware that this is a distinct possibility for them. Sparta Prague also have the momentum to do so as they’ve won three of their last four Gambrinus Liga games and are still unbeaten too. Despite a positive start, Brno have felled themselves lately with two consecutive defeats and no win in their past three games. Their most embarassing loss was easily the defeat to Kladno last match, something that has really made me question their ability to win today’s game. There’s no questioning the actual ability of Brno on their day but I can’t see that day being today if they can’t compete with Kladno, arguably the worst side in the Gambrinus Liga. For those reasons, taking 13/10 on the away win could be a nice bit of business today!
Sporting Clube de Lisboa vs Olhanense – under 2.5 goals at 4/5. I really like the look of these odds. Why? Well, Sporting Clube de Lisboa can’t score goals for shit. I know, I know they scored three against Heerenveen mid-week but they’re horrific defensively so I’m going to disregard that. Looking strictly at Liga Sagres games, Sporting Clube de Lisboa’s games have gone under 2.5 goals in three out of four of those games, which lends a good deal of weight to my bet. Aside from that, they’re just not scoring goals often enough because nobody barring Liedson bothers to do it, more often than not! They’ve scored just five goals in their opening four games which indicates my point about their lack of thrust. Frankly speaking, from the games I’ve seen Sporting Club de Lisboa play in this season, they’ve been absolutely woeful in the final third when it comes to penetration, hence their issues. Today they face Olhanense, who are freshly promoted from the Liga de Honra. Olhanense are currently unbeaten in the Liga Sagres but I think it’s fair to say that they’ve only had one real test which was their away game with CD Nacional, which they drew. A useful point to know about Olhanense is that they don’t like scoring or conceding goals, seemingly! They’ve already played out two 0-0 draws in this campaign have also gone under 2.5 goals in three of their four games, just like Sporting Clube de Lisboa have. I don’t think Olhanense have enough to trouble Sporting Clube de Lisboa offensively but they seem relatively sound defensively, enough for me to think that the hosts aren’t going to score more than two past them and that the visitors aren’t going to score. Either way, all the above points to under 2.5 goals which looks good at 4/5.
As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!
Bulgarian A PFG:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Mezdra (8) 2-1
Cypriot Division 1:
Ermis vs APOP/Kinyras (6) 1-2, draw no bet
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:
Slavia Prague vs Banik Ostrava (7) under 2.5 goals
Brno vs Sparta Prague (7) 1-2
Danish Superligaen:
AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland (8) 2-1
French Ligue 2:
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs AC Ajaccio (9)
Greek B Ethniki:
AO Illisiakos Zografou vs Panserraikos (6)
Norwegian Tippeligaen:
Start Kristiansand vs Viking Stavanger (5) 2-1
Norwegian 2 Divisjon:
Avdeling 1:
Valerenga Oslo II vs Lillestrom II (8)
Start Kristiansand II vs Vindbjart Vennesla (7) both sides to score
Avdeling 2:
Byasen Trondheim vs Rosenborg II (7)
Levanger vs Molde II (7)
Avdeling 3:
Fredrikstad II vs Fyllingen Bergen (7)
Kopervik vs Stromsgodset II (7)
Lyn Oslo II vs Fana Nesttun (8)
Avdeling 4:
Bodo Glimt II vs Ranheim Trondheim (8)
Tromso II vs Raufoss Fotball (6)
Stabaek II vs Bossekop (9)
Portuguese Liga Sagres:
Sporting Clube de Lisboa vs Olhanense (8) under 2.5 goals
Singaporean S-League:
Armed Forces vs Albirex Niigate (9) -1.75 handicap
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Malmo vs Elfsborg Boras (7) 1-1
AIK Solna vs Orgryte (8) over 2.5 goals, both sides to score
Swedish Superettan:
Jonkopings Sodra vs Ljungskile (6)
IFK Norrkoping vs Syrianska Sodertalje (7)
Turkish Super Lig:
Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray (9) 1-3
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