Coritiba vs Gremio
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Today’s secondary featured game is the Serie A game in Brazil between Coritiba and Gremio.
The hosts have gone from strength to strength following promotion from Serie B last season and their home record is amongst the best in the division. They play without fear, which is admirable, and they score goals for fun as a result. Their home record shows eight wins from thirteen home games and they average scoring well over two goals per home game so to get a result here, you have to score goals. Corinthians, Fluminense, and Cruzeiro have all lost here this season. Internacional and Palmeiras have only managed draws here. Only Sao Paulo from the bigger sides have won at Coritiba this season and they needed to score four times to do it. For me, the hosts are a very strong home side with Bill and Aurelio constantly posing a threat.
Gremio are a terrible away side; they always have been. I don’t know why but they simply cannot change things around. They cannot score goals away from home, which is a huge problem in Brazil for obvious reasons. They’ve already lost eight out of thirteen on the road this season and only minnows Ceara can match their paltry goalscoring record of nine goals scored in thirteen away games, although Ceara have admittedly played a game more. Gremio have to be concerned, though – they’ve only managed to avoid defeat twice away from home this season when having conceded in a game and considering that those two occasions have both been against relegation-threatened sides, we have to be concerned about Gremio’s chances of realistically producing a good display away from home against a very good home side.
A potent goalscoring side versus a side that doesn’t score goals; it almost looks too easy, doesn’t it? Football is rarely that straightforward but I still fancy this a lot because if Gremio didn’t have their prestigious past behind them then I’m confident that the odds would be much shorter here. For me, the home win at 4/5 is a must here.
Verdict: Coritiba to win at 4/5.
Saturday’s Picks
Accumulator fodder:
Zambia, Egypt, The New Saints.
Recommended bets:
Coritiba, Zambia, and Egypt at over evens.
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
UEFA European Championship Qualifier:
Liechtenstein vs Scotland (6) 1-1
Afrian Nations Qualifier:
Ethiopia vs Madagascar (7) 1-0
Nigeria vs Guinea (7) 2-1
Zambia vs Libya (8) 2-0
Mozambique vs Comoros (7) 2-0
Swaziland vs Congo (4) 1-1
Sudan vs Ghana (5) 0-1
Uganda vs Kenya (7) 2-1
Guinea-Bissau vs Angola (5) 1-0
Liberia vs Mali (5) 0-0
Cape Verde Islands vs Zimbabwe (5) 2-1
Egypt vs Niger (8) 1-0
South Africa vs Sierra Leone (6) 2-1
Chad vs Malawi (5) 0-0
Tunisia vs Togo (7) 1-0
Gambia vs Burkina Faso (6) 2-1
International Friendly:
USA vs Honduras (7) 2-0
UEFA European U21 Championship Qualifiers:
Turkey vs Hungary (7) 2-1
Wales vs Montenegro (6) 1-0
Australian A-League:
Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Heart (5) 1-1
Melbourne Victory vs Sydney FC (5) over 2.5 goals, at least one red card in this game
Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners (6) 2-1
Brazilian Serie A:
Botafogo vs Bahia (7) 2-1
Coritiba vs Gremio (7) 2-1
America Mineiro vs Atletico Mineiro (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Colombian Primera A:
America de Cali vs Deportes Quindio (6) 2-1
Irish Premier League:
Dundalk vs Derry City (4) 1-1
Bohemians vs UCD (6) over 2.5 goals
St.Patrick’s Athletic vs Sligo Rovers (7) 2-1
Galway United vs Drogheda United (6) 2-1
Latvian Virsliga:
RFS/Olimps Riga vs Gulbene 2005 (5) 2-1
Mexican Primera Division:
Queretaro vs Santos Laguna (5) 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Puebla (7) 2-1
Pachuca vs Jaguares (7) 2-0
Tigres UANL vs Pumas UNAM (6) 0-0
Atlas vs Tijuana (5) 1-0
Atlante vs San Luis (5) 0-0
Polish Liga 1:
Dolcan Zabki vs Piast Gliwice (6)
Nieciecza vs Ruch Radzionkow (7)
Olimpia Elblag vs Olimpia Grudziadz (6)
Pogon Szczecin vs Bogdanka Leczna (6)
Arka Gdynia vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz (4)
Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Flota Swinoujscie (5)
Spanish Segunda Liga:
Alcorcon vs Barcelona II (5) both sides to score
Girona vs Huesca (7)
Real Murcia vs Deportivo Xerez (5) both sides to score
Celta de Vigo vs Las Palmas (7)
Elche vs Numancia (6) over 2.5 goals
Alcoyano vs Deportivo La Coruna (5)
Uruguayan Primera Division:
Bella Vista vs El Tanque Sisley (5) 1-0
Penarol vs Fenix (7) 2-1
Welsh Premier League:
Bangor City vs Port Talbot Town (7) 2-1
Llanelli vs Aberystwyth Town (7) 2-0
The New Saints vs Carmarthen Town (8) -1.5 handicap
Afan Lido vs Bala Town (5) 1-2
Enjoy your free betting tips!