Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
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Today’s secondary featured game is the Asian Champions League encounter in Japan between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka. As their names alone imply, this game is a derby and thus caution is always recommended.
However, if the odds of 9/10 on the home win are available purely because this game is a derby then there’s a big mistake somewhere as Cerezo Osaka are very much in the shadow of their more illustrious neighbours nowadays. The sale of virtually all their talented attackers (including Adriano’s sale to hosts Gamba Osaka!) leaves Cerezo Osaka drawing with inferior opponents and losing against superior opponents. Cerezo Osaka have already lost at Gamba Osaka this season and with Brazilian striker Adriano in scintillating form for his new club, it’ll take a braver man than me to take anything but a home win here. Gamba Osaka have their flaws, it’s true, but they’ve got a good level of firepower and a lot of experience in this tournament so I fancy them to win this one. They’ve won three out of three at home in the J-League and although this is a different competition, I do expect a J-League-esque game here.
Gamba Osaka have won three out of three at home in the Asian Champions League this season, scoring ten goals along the way. Cerezo Osaka have not only failed to score in two out of their three away games in this competition but they’ve also lost twice as a lack of firepower and a lack of experience continues to harm them. For me, the hosts winning this one at 9/10 is something of a bargain today.
Verdict: Gamba Osaka to win at 9/10.
Tuesday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
Skive vs Bronshoj – home win at 9/10.
I don’t fully understand the odds on Skive winning this game today, to be honest. Ok, there’s no motivation for either side to win the game but this is insane.
Skive are a lot better than Bronshoj, first of all. Bronshoj have done well in their first season in Division 1 but it’s a mark of how tight it’s been this season that they’re fifth in the table, not a mark of how strong they are. The only team to score more goals than Skive this season is AGF Aarhus and they’ve won the league and already been promoted due to such strong displays. The only reason that Skive aren’t in the running for promotion this season (or haven’t been, I should say!) is because they concede stupid goals sometimes. Their firepower is superb, however – few sides can keep this goalscoring machine out. Skive average scoring nearly two goals per home game and with Skive having won seven out of their last ten games with only AGF Aarhus beating them along the way, it’s fair to say that the hosts bring strong momentum into this game, enough so to be motivated to play their usual attacking game.
Bronshoj are simply a well-organised side that defends well, in my eyes. They pose little goal threat, especially on the road, which is why they lose a lot of away games. Indeed, Bronshoj have failed to score for three consecutive away games now, losing twice during those three games. They’ve won just once away from home since the mid-season break, winning at fellow newly-promoted outfit Hobro. They’re not an easy side to play against – don’t get me wrong – but they’re not a side that will score many goals either, so it tends to make sense to go against them in games like this.
Skive just score too many goals to be overlooked here. Bronshoj will have to defend phenomenally well to keep Skive out today and I just don’t think they’re good enough to do it. As long as Skive play their usual game then 9/10 on the home win is a bargain here.
Verdict: Skive to win at 9/10.
Accumulator fodder:
FK Ventspils, Sillamae Kalev, Gombak United, Republic of Ireland.
Recommended bets:
Gamba Osaka, Sillamae Kalev, and Gombak United at over 2/1.
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
Nations Cup:
Republic of Ireland vs Northern Ireland (8) 2-0, at least one red card in this game
Asian Champions League:
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka (7) 2-0, at least one red card in this game
Jeonbuk Motors vs Tianjin Teda (7) 2-0
Sepahan vs Bunyodkor (7) 2-1
Al Ittihad vs Al Hilal (5) 1-1
Baltic League:
FK Ventspils vs Siauliai (8) 2-0
Austrian Liga 1:
SCR Altach vs St.Polten (7) over 2.5 goals
WAC/St.Andra vs Gratkorn (5)
Grodig vs Hartberg (6)
First Vienna vs Admira Wacker (7)
Austria Lustenau vs Lustenau (6) at least one red card in this game
Danish 1st Division:
AB Copenhagen vs Hobro (6)
Fredericia vs Hvidovre (4) both sides to score
Viborg vs Kolding (7)
Roskilde vs Vestjaelland (5)
Skive vs Bronshoj (7)
AGF Aarhus vs Vejle (6)
Fyn vs HB Koge (4)
Hjorring vs Naestved (5)
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Kuressaare vs Sillamae Kalev (8) over 2.5 goals
Polish Liga 1:
LKS Lodz vs Katowice (7)
Singaporean S-League:
Gombak United vs Young Lions (8) 2-0
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Malmo FF vs Helsingborg (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Enjoy your free betting tips!