Toulouse vs Dijon FCO
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Today’s free tip is in the French Ligue 1 encounter between Toulouse and Dijon FCO. Initially, I was going to leave this one along, but having seen the respective squads for this encounter, I almost feel compelled to back goals here.
Dijon FCO contributing to a high-scoring game is nothing unusual. They’ve been a very positive team since being promoted from Ligue 2, and have caused surprises on plenty of occasions with their boldness and effectiveness in front of goal. However, the trouble Dijon FCO have had all season long is keeping teams out. They don’t work very hard at it, and they really aren’t very good at it anyway. That particular problem has been enhanced today by the absence of defenders Rufli and Chafik.
I would never suggest that Dijon FCO would enter a game defensively anyway; it’s simply not their style. Given the tense state of things in the the Ligue 1 relegation battle, though, only a win guarantees them safety; anything else may see them relegated, or even in the relegation play-off. Therefore, I really don’t expect to see a change to Dijon FCO’s attacking style. Scoring goals is what they’re good at; it’s only logical they should stick to it. Diony and Tavares have caused their opponents a lot of problems this season, particularly the Cape Verde Islands international, and with Sammaritano and Lees Melou supporting them, it’s fair to say that Dijon FCO have a decent attack. It’s their collective efforts and strength as a team that wins them games, though. They’ve got unbelievable spirit, and you’re a braver man than I am if you oppose them with that in mind, particularly against a Toulouse team that have nothing to play for.
Indeed, Dijon FCO have been handed a real lifeline by Toulouse because of their hosts’ absentees. Promising shot-stopper Lafont is out, as is key centre-back Diop. Other regulars that are out include Adou and Blin, so Toulouse have some really important absentees for this one. I’d normally trust them to do their “usual” thing at home by defending well, working hard, and breaking with tremendous pace. They can still break well with Toivonen and Braithwaite leading their attacks, but I find it really hard to imagine Toulouse keeping any Ligue 1 team out without Adou, Lafont, and Diop in their squad.
Toulouse remain the better and more experienced of these two teams. Furthermore, they have the capacity to play different styles, whereas Dijon FCO don’t. However, they’ve not played well for weeks now, and they’re missing some crucial players tonight, so why should desperate Dijon FCO be doubted here? Toulouse have lost all interest in this campaign. The only thing I’ll say in their favour is that being attacked really, really suits Toulouse because of how good they are at counter-attacking. Other than that, though, plucky Dijon FCO have a really good chance to take their relegation survival into their own hands by winning here rather than relying on other teams to bail them out. Dijon FCO have no reason to fear Toulouse as long as they do what they do best.
Still, I won’t be getting involved in the 1×2 market. Dijon FCO are good enough to win here, but Toulouse are good enough on the break to do some real damage. Toulouse may not win as many as they’d like, but they’re a pain to actually beat. Dijon FCO need to go for the jugular here, though, particularly as they tend to concede in every game they play in. Therefore, I believe there’s value to be found in taking over 3 goals, whether it’s because Toulouse are clinical on the break or whether it’s because Dijon FCO put on a heroic display. I can only see this one being open and goal-filled.
Verdict: Over 3 goals at 6/5.
Saturday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
Argentinian Primera Division:
Belgrano de Cordoba vs Patronato
Atletico Lanus vs Atletico Rafaela
Sarmiento vs Talleres Cordoba
Tigre vs San Martin de San Juan
Union de Santa Fe vs Arsenal de Sarandi
Independiente vs Atletico Huracan
Austrian Bundesliga:
SV Ried vs St.Polten
Salzburg vs Admira Wacker
Wolfsberger AC vs Austria Vienna
SV Mattersburg vs SCR Altach
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
Lokeren vs Racing Genk
Mouscron-Peruwelz vs Kortrijk
SV Roeselare vs AS Eupen
Brazilian Serie A:
Santos vs Coritiba
Atletico Goianiense vs Flamengo
Chapecoense vs Palmeiras
Bulgarian A PFG:
Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia
Vereya vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
Croatian Prva Liga:
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica
Hajduk Split vs Inter Zapresic
Czech Republic Synot Liga:
Slovacko vs Slovan Liberec
Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove
Bohemians 1905 vs Karvina
Baumit Jablonec vs Teplice
Dukla Prague vs Zlin
Zbrojovka Brno vs Viktoria Plzen
Mlada Boleslav vs Slavia Prague
Vysocina Jihlava vs Marila Pribram
Danish Superligaen:
FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland
OB Odense vs Randers
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
Sillamae Kalev vs Flora Paide
Tulevik vs Nomme Kalju
Faroese Meistaradeildin:
NSI Runavik vs IF Fuglafjordur
French Ligue 1:
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs AS Saint-Etienne
Lorient vs Girondins de Bordeaux
Lille OSC vs Nantes Atlantique
Olympique de Marseille vs Bastia
Olympique Lyonnais vs OGC Nice
Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Malherbe de Caen
Toulouse vs Dijon FCO
Angers SCO vs Montpellier HSC
Stade Rennais vs AS Monaco
En Avant Guingamp vs Metz
German Bundesliga:
Bayern Munich vs SC Freiburg
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen
Borussia Moenchengladbach vs Darmstadt 98
Hertha Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Koln vs Mainz 05
Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg
Ingolstadt vs Schalke 04
Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
Hungarian OTP Bank Liga:
Ujpest vs Szombathelyi Haladas
Debreceni VSC vs Budapest Honved
MTK Budapest vs Diosgyori VTK
Mezokovesd-Zsory vs Paksi SE
Gyirmot vs Vasas Budapest
Fehervar vs Ferencvaros
Israeli Ligat Ha’al:
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin
Italian Serie A:
Chievo Verona vs AS Roma
SSC Napoli vs AC Fiorentina
Dutch Eredivisie:
FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Rosenborg BK vs Lillestrom
Sogndal vs Brann Bergen
Spanish Primera Liga:
Leganes vs Deportivo Alaves
Sporting Gijon vs Real Betis Balompie
Deportivo La Coruna vs Las Palmas
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Ostersunds FK vs Kalmar FF
Halmstad vs Orebro
Swiss Super League:
Lausanne Sport vs Thun
Lugano vs Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League:
FC Zurich vs Wil
Turkish Super Lig:
Rizespor vs Gaziantepspor
Kayserispor vs Adanaspor
Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
Besiktas JK vs Kasimpasa
Enjoy your free betting tips!