Orebro vs GAIS Goteborg
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The only way I can surmise today’s offerings from the bookies is “grim” so bet with caution if you’re betting at all.
The only game that interests me from a 1×2 market perspective is the Allsvenskan game between Orebro and GAIS Goteborg. Orebro are notoriously hard to play on their artificial turf and GAIS Goteborg possess a rather average squad, albeit with a couple of classy attackers.
Form-wise, Orebro are the side to avoid at the moment with no wins in four Allsvenskan games, losing their last three consecutively. However, let’s not go crazy with that statistic as we first have to be aware of the fact that they missed one of their main strikers (Haddad) and the best attacking player in their team (Gerzic) for those games, not to mention that those games were against reigning champions Helsingborg, in-form AIK Solna, giants Malmo FF, and traditionally tricky Kalmar FF. Add those two factors together and the poor run of form makes sense.
Orebro will be relieved to welcome back Gerzic into the team today, such is the difference that he makes to the team. Orebro will still have problems scoring goals as Haddad is out injured but at least Bedoya has someone to work with in midfield and new striker Paulinho can finally get a taste of what is awaiting him after his big-money switch from BK Hacken Goteborg. There’s dangerous attacking combinations lurking around the corner for arising Orebro and it’ll take a braver man than me to go against them today.
GAIS’ threat can be summed up in one word; attack. That’s all they’re good at. Alvaro Santos is a good and experienced striker and now he’s got competition from emerging youngsters Rennie and Celik respectively, not to mention Benin international Razak Omotoyossi, whom you may recall from his time at Helsingborg where he linked up terrifyingly well with Henrik Larsson. Add all those together and chuck Wanderson into the mix and you have a very strong attack, especially as Wanderson is far too good for the Allsvenskan, hence his transfer to the Middle East although he’s been loaned back to GAIS Goteborg for the time being.
So why am I going against such a potent side? Simple; the rest of their team is pretty crap. They’ve kept one clean sheet away from home this season and that was against a Halmstad side that has voluntarily decided not to score goals this season. They’ve faced two newly-promoted sides on the road and have conceded in both games, losing once, and drawing once. They’ve also lost the Goteborg derby at in-form IFK Goteborg, although there’s no shame in that. GAIS Goteborg have an uncanny ability to concede goals against any side and I like that when betting against them!
GAIS have lost three out of their last four visits to the Behn Arena and I don’t think this one will end too favourably for them either. Yes, they’ve got a dangerous attack but look who they’re missing – captain and most experienced midfielder Lundgren and essential defender Ekunde. Take those two out of the side and we have a GAIS Goteborg side that can capitulate at any moment, in my view.
Therefore, we have the foundation for this tip. Orebro aren’t playing well but with the quality in their squad, that run won’t last forever. GAIS Goteborg can be good in spells but only when their talented attack turns it on; the rest of their team is susceptible at the best of times. I therefore feel that there’s value in the home win at 9/10 here.
Team news – Orebro miss Haddad whereas GAIS Goteborg miss Lundgren and Ekunde.
Verdict: Orebro to win at 9/10.
Sunday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
HB Torshavn vs KI Klaksvik – lay HB Torshavn at 9/10.
For me, HB Torshavn are priced too short against newly-promoted KI Klaksvik. Sure, the hosts are one of the top dogs in the Faroe Islands but they’re not demonstrating it very well this season, usually needing the pace of Samuelsen to bail them out. There was almost a collective sigh of relief when talismanic striker av Flotum returned from injury last match but that relief was short-lived as HB Torshavn were pounded 4-1 by rivals B36 Torshavn. av Flotum is not 100% fit yet and with only young Nolsoe carrying the banner in attack for the hosts, I just don’t fear them. They’ve got a top midfield, especially with Poulsen and Benjaminsen at the heart of it, but they’re just not impressing me this season in the Meistaradeildin. They’re shipping far too many goals and losing stupid games ala the deserved 1-2 defeat at home against Vikingur Gotu, the 4-1 drubbing at B36 Torshavn, and the 3-0 defeat at IF Fuglafjordur. The only game HB Torshavn have shown they actually care about lately was the derby with EB/Streymur, unsurprisingly, which they won 3-2. HB Torshavn look to have the hallmarks of being a frustrated Faroese giant this season, in my view, and they need to be careful that the likes of NSI Runavik, B36 Torshavn, and Vikingur Gotu don’t surplant them in the Meistaradeildin title battle with EB/Streymur.
KI Klaksvik have performed far better than they’re actually capable of doing this season, which is no surprise, really – newly-promoted sides often have a “honeymoon” period. However, they’ve lately been given a baptism of fire as they’ve faced four consecutive nightmare games – NSI Runavik, B36 Torshavn, EB/Streymur, and Vikingur Gotu – all in a row. KI Klaksvik simply couldn’t handle them all at once and subsequently lost all of them. They weren’t humiliated in any of those games – I feel it’s important to point that out. Sides have had to work hard and be clinical against KI Klaksvik to beat them, which are two characteristics that I don’t see in HB Torshavn currently. KI Klaksvik’s strength is on the counter-attack, hence their away record being far better than their home record. Indeed, the only side to beat them away from home in the Meistaradeildin is giants EB/Streymur with B71 Sandur, IF Fuglafjordur, and 07 Vestur Sorvagur all trying and failing whilst KI Klaksvik scored an impressive ten goals during those three games.
Initially, it looked like KI Klaksvik would struggle to score goals this season. That was, of course, until they signed arguably the quickest striker in the Faroe Islands – Elttor. He’s been around and knows how to find the net and thus he’s instrumental to all of their game plans, as is Serbian playmaker Stankovic. Quality is a bit thin on the ground for KI Klaksvik, it’s true, but that’s not a problem for them in the earlier stages of the campaign so I’m happy to take a chance here.
I can’t deny that HB Torshavn are the better side here, unfortunately. What I am trying to capitalise on, however, is their inability to defend and their lack of effort. KI Klaksvik will work themselves into the ground today at the propsect of taking points off one of the giants of Faroese football and with capable players in their starting eleven, I think laying HB Torshavn at 9/10 has value today.
Verdict: Lay HB Torshavn at 9/10.
Accumulator fodder:
Liga de Quito, Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, EB/Streymur, AS Roma, Liepajas Metalurgs, Skonto Riga.
Recommended bets:
Orebro, AS Roma, and Tottenham Hotspur at 2/1.
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
Argentinian Primera Division:
Quilmes vs Racing Club Avellaneda (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia De La Plata (3) 1-1
River Plate vs San Lorenzo de Almagro (5) 1-0
Arsenal de Sarandi vs Boca Juniors (5) 2-1
Austrian Bundesliga:
SV Kapfenberg vs SV Mattersburg (6) 2-1
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Vienna (5) 1-0, at least one red card in this game
Salzburg vs SV Ried (7) 1-0
Wiener Neustadt vs Sturm Graz (6) 1-1
Wacker Innsbruck vs LASK Linz (5) 2-1
Brazilian Serie A:
Palmeiras vs Botafogo (6) 1-0
Gremio vs Corinthians (5) 1-1
Coritiba vs Atletico Goianiense (4) 0-1
Figueirense vs Cruzeiro (6) 1-2
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo (6) 0-0
America Mineiro vs Bahia (6) 1-0
Chilean Primera Division:
Nublense vs Colo Colo (6) 0-1
Santiago Morning vs Cobreloa (5) 0-0
Santiago Wanderers vs Union La Calera (7) 2-0
La Serena vs Universidad Catolica (5) 1-2
Ecuadorian Primera A:
Liga de Quito vs Imbabura (8) 2-0
El Nacional Quito vs Olmedo Riobamba (6) 2-1
Espoli Cayambe vs Independiente (5) 1-1
Emelec Guayaquil vs Deportivo Quito (6) 1-1
Manta vs Barcelona Guayaquil (7) 0-0
English Premier League:
Aston Villa vs Liverpool (6) 1-1
Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City (5) 1-2
Everton vs Chelsea (6) 1-1
Fulham vs Arsenal (5) 2-2
Manchester United vs Blackpool (8) over 2.5 goals
Newcastle United vs West Bromwich Albion (4) 0-1
Stoke City vs Wigan Athletic (5) 1-1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Birmingham City (8) 2-1
West Ham United vs Sunderland (4) 1-1
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Blackburn Rovers (7) 1-1
Faroese Meistaradeildin:
EB/Streymur vs B71 Sandur (8) 2-0
HB Torshavn vs KI Klaksvik (5) 1-1
07 Vestur Sorvagur vs B68 Toftir (6) 1-1
NSI Runavik vs B36 Torshavn (6) over 2.5 goals
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
MyPa Anjalankoski vs Haka Valkeakoski (4) 1-2
IFK Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki (7) 1-1
RoPS Rovaniemi vs Inter Turku (5) 0-1
Greek Super League:
Olympiakos Volos vs AEK Athens (4) 1-2
Panathinaikos vs PAOK Salonika (7) 1-0
Hungarian Soproni Liga:
Siofok vs Budapest Honved (5) 1-1
Szolnoki MAV vs Zalaegerszegi TE (6) 1-2
Ujpest vs Fehervar (6) 1-1
Ferencvaros vs Lombard Papa (7) 2-0
Debreceni VSC vs Szombathelyi Haladas (5) 2-1
Icelandic Urvalsdeild:
Thor Akureyi vs FH Hafnarfjordur (6) 0-1
Breidablik Kopavogur vs Fylkir Reykjavik (5) 0-0
Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik (6) 1-0
Stjarnan Gardabaer vs KR Reykjavik (5) 2-2
Vikingur Reykjavik vs UMF Grindavik (5) 1-0
Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (6) 1-1
Italian Serie A:
Bologna vs Bari (6) 1-0
Palermo vs Chievo Verona (7) 2-1
Internazionale vs Catania (6) 2-1
Genoa vs Cesena (7) 2-0
Brescia vs Fiorentina (5) 1-1
Cagliari vs Parma (6) 2-1
Lecce vs Lazio (7) 0-2
Udinese vs AC Milan (7) 1-1
AS Roma vs Sampdoria (8) 2-0
Juventus vs SSC Napoli (4) 1-2
Japanese J-League:
Montedio Yamagata vs Vegalta Sendai (6) 1-1
Omiya Ardija vs Shimizu S-Pulse (5) 0-0
Latvian Virsliga:
Jelgava vs FK Jurmala (5) 1-1
FC Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs (8) 1-2
RFS/Olimps Riga vs Daugava Daugavpils (7) 0-2
Gulbene 2005 vs Skonto Riga (8) 1-2
Lithuanian A Lyga:
FKB Kaunas vs Tauras Taurage (6) 1-2
Dainava vs Zalgiris Vilnius (5) 1-1
Ekranas Panevezys vs Suduva Marijampole (6) 1-0
Mexican Primera Division:
Pumas UNAM vs Morelia (5) 2-1
Dutch Eredivisie:
Roda JC Kerkrade vs ADO Den Haag (7) 2-1
Groningen vs Heracles Almelo (6) 2-1
Norwegian Divisjon 1:
Hamarkameratene vs Honefoss (6)
Asker vs Mjondalen (4)
Bryne vs Strommen (7)
Lov-Ham Bergen vs Bodo Glimt (5)
Randaberg vs Nybergsund (5)
Ranheim vs Alta (6)
Sandefjord vs Hodd (5)
Sandnes Ulf vs Kongsvinger (5)
Paraguayan Division Profesional:
Cerro Porteno vs Sol de America (6) 1-1
Tacuary vs Independiente (5) 1-0
Rubio Nu vs Olimpia Asuncion (6) 0-1
Polish Ekstraklasa:
Lechia Gdansk vs Lech Poznan (5) 2-1
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warsaw (4) 1-0
Polish Liga 1:
Kolejarz Stroze vs Pogon Szczecin (5)
Nieciecza vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski (5) over 2.5 goals
Spanish Segunda Liga:
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Xerez (5)
Swedish Allsvenskan:
IFK Goteborg vs Trelleborg (7) 2-1
Syrianska Sodertalje vs IFK Norrkoping (5) 1-1
Orebro vs GAIS Goteborg (6) 2-1
Swedish Superettan:
GIF Sundsvall vs Qviding Goteborg (6)
Swiss Super League:
Grasshopper Zurich vs Sion (6) 1-1
Luzern vs FC Zurich (5) over 2.5 goals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Young Boys Bern (5) 1-1
St.Gallen vs Basel (7) 1-2
Thun vs Bellinzona (7) 2-0
Turkish Super Lig:
Eskisehirspor vs Kasimpasa (7) 2-0
Sivasspor vs Fenerbahce (7) 1-2
Karabukspor vs Trabzonspor (7) 1-2
Uruguayan Primera Division:
River Plate Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers (7) 2-1
Cerro vs El Tanque Sisley (6) 1-0
Tacuarembo vs Central Espanol (6) 1-0
Racing Club Montevideo vs Rampla Juniors (5) 1-1
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Venezuelan Primera Division:
Carabobo vs Real Esppor Club (5) 0-0
Monagas SC vs Deportivo Petare (6) 1-1
Yaracuyanos vs Aragua (6) 1-0
Mineros de Guayana vs Deportivo Anzoategui (4) 1-1
Zamora vs Deportivo Tachira (6) 2-1
Enjoy your free betting tips!