Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague
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Apologies for the brief previews/lack of members post but I’m short on time due to a robbery at my house last night.
Today’s featured game is the Gambrinus Liga derby between Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague.
It’s a derby, which immediately means that Sparta Prague being price at around 1/3 is a scandalous price. Yes, they’re better than Slavia and yes, they absolutely should win this game but at those odds? You’re a fool if you’d take it. Even the Asian Handicap is way too short so I’ve no interest whatsoever in that market today.
Instead, I’m casting an eye on then over 2.5 goals market here, which is generously priced at 4/5. Slavia have recently signed talented striker Jan Blazek on loan, which finally gives them a good target man; the first they’ve had in years. It didn’t go as well as planned on his debut with Slavia drawing a blank against Dukla Prague but with all due respect to Dukla Prague, this is still a bigger game for Slavia Prague and they will put more into it.
Slavia Prague are still short on quality but their new owners have pumped some money in and they do have a few decent players; enough so to upset Sparta Prague here. Sparta still have in-form Kweuke to call upon here and he’s proven to be a really dangerous striker so far this season so why not again in the derby? Sparta really do have superior players and should make it count here, especially with their exceptional defence.
However, I’m going to go slightly against the grain here as this game means the world to Slavia fans and players alike and I think they will score, especially with big Blazek up front now. I expect them to lose the game, however, and therefore this game should go over 2.5 goals. Either way, if Slavia are going to cause an upset then this game is going to have to go over 2.5 goals because they won’t keep Sparta out.
Historically, this game rarely goes over 2.5 goals and it is a derby so be careful here. However, I think the opportunity is there for Slavia Prague to at least score here whereas Sparta are in terrific goalscoring form so over 2.5 goals is my choice here.
Verdict: Over 2.5 goals at 4/5.
Monday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
Newell’s Old Boys vs Godoy Cruz de Mendoza – away win with draw no bet at 2/1.
I can’t really fathom these odds, to be honest. Away wins in Argentina are rare enough but Godoy Cruz de Mendoza are one of the few sides capable of managing it because of the number of goals that they score. Sure, Newell’s are a very solid unit themselves, very hard to score against. However, they are going to concede at somepoint and why not against one of the most potent and tenacious sides in Argentina? The visitors have a shit defence, admittedly, but with the likes of Aquino and Noir up front for Newell’s Old Boys, their attack isn’t exactly terrifying either, hence Newell’s having failed to score in three out of their four home games already this season. Godoy have bagged four goals in their last two away games, winning once, and drawing once, so I think they’ve got enough momentum to cause a bit of a surprise here. For me, Godoy at 2/1 with draw no bet cover is a worthwhile bet for them against anyone in Argentina barring Boca Juniors right now due to the number of goals they score and thus it’s my call here.
Verdict: Godoy Cruz de Mendoza to win with draw no bet at 2/1.
Accumulator fodder:
CSKA Sofia, Anzhi Makhachkala.
Recommended bets:
I don’t like any multiples today – sorry guys!
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
Argentinian Primera Division:
Union de Santa Fe vs Banfield (5) 1-0
Atletico Lanus vs Colon de Santa Fe (7) 1-0
Newell’s Old Boys vs Godoy Cruz de Mendoza (5) 1-2
Bulgarian A PFG:
Kaliakra vs Svetkavitsa (6) 2-1
CSKA Sofia vs Rakovski (9) -1.5 handicap
Cypriot Division 1:
Olympiakos Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol (6) 1-1
Anagennisi Deryneia vs Nea Salamis (5) 2-1
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:
Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Danish Superligaen:
Aalborg BK vs Lyngby (7) 2-0
Ecuadorian Primera A:
Liga de Quito vs Deportivo Quito (6) 1-0, at least one red card in this game
English Premier League:
Norwich City vs Sunderland (6) 1-1
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
VPS Vaasa vs Inter Turku (5) 1-2
RoPS Rovaniemi vs MyPa Anjalankoski (6) 2-1
Irish Premier League:
UCD vs Bohemians (7) 0-1
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad (6) 2-1
Polish Ekstraklasa:
Polonia Warsaw vs Korona Kielce (6) 1-0
Portuguese Liga Sagres:
Academica de Coimbra vs Feirense (7) 1-0
Romanian Liga:
Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Astra Ploiesti (6) 0-0
Gaz Metan Medias vs Targu Mures (4) 1-1
Russian Premier League:
Anzhi Makhachkala vs Terek Grozny (8) 2-0
Singaporean S-League:
Etoile vs Tanjong Pagar (7) 2-0
Spanish Primera Liga:
Getafe vs Real Betis Balompie (5) 1-1
Swedish Allsvenskan:
Gefle vs Kalmar FF (6) 1-0
Djurgarden vs IFK Goteborg (5) 2-1
Swedish Superettan:
Qviding Goteborg vs Varnamo (6)
Vasteras vs Hammarby (4)
Landskrona BoIS vs Degerfors (7)
Jonkopings Sodra vs Angelholm (5)
Brage vs Osters (5)
Atvidaberg vs Falkenberg (7)
Swiss Challenge League:
St.Gallen vs SC Kriens (7)
Turkish Super Lig:
Galatasaray vs Eskisehirspor (4) 1-1
Ukrainian Premier League:
Tavriya Simferopol vs Illichivets Mariupol (6) 1-0
Metalurg Donetsk vs Karpaty Lviv (6) 1-1
Enjoy your free betting tips!