TFT Issue 3263!

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Bankers

General Information

We aim to give you the best possible information before each game. However, the moment the game starts, anything can happen, ranging from red cards to snow storms to pitch invasions. We can only prepare you for so much; it's up to you to learn how to develop yourself as to know when to jump ship if things aren't going as they should.

Pay attention to the odds provided for each tip. Be aware that the longer the odds are, the less chance there is of it coming in. Don't lean toward backing the bankers containing teams you've heard of or selections at longer odds because you trust the team more or if you see the pound signs flashing before your eyes. Sometimes bankers won't win, try to use the previews to steer you toward the right selection to make rather than taking the quick/lazy way.

Please understand that every single tip has the capacity to win, push, or lose. We aim to find good value bets (probability vs odds) as our focal area.

Banker

Malta U21 vs Ukraine U21

KO: (UK time)

Ukraine U21 have stumbled across another talented crop of youngsters, and against one of the weakest U21 teams in Europe, I have to trust them to prove it.

Verdict: Ukraine U21 to win at 4/25.

Banker

Nigeria vs Sierra Leone 

KO: (UK time)

I like where Nigeria are at right now. I’d like to see a bit more presence in central midfield, but all things considered, they’re finally as good as their reputation denotes they should be. A team like that should not struggle to beat Sierra Leone today. The away team always has good forwards to choose from, but struggles everywhere else. Although it’s quite possible that they’ll score in this game, preventing their hosts from outscoring them looks very unlikely to me.

Verdict: Nigeria to win at 7/50.

Banker

Lithuania U21 vs San Marino U21

KO: (UK time)

I was one of the few watching when San Marino U21 actually bagged a 1-1 draw against Lithuania U21 years ago. I’d like to think that they won’t be as lucky today. I don’t really rate any Lithuanian national team squad highly at the moment, but they should have enough to avoid embarrassing themselves today.

Verdict: Lithuania U21 to win at 1/20.

Banker

Mali vs Namibia

KO: (UK time)

Mali are one of those teams that always seem to be able to cobble together a good squad from nowhere. Collectively, they’re one hell of a force, and not much seems to faze them. It’s probably fair to say that Mali are the most professional national team in Africa, at least in my opinion. With that in mind, I can’t realistically doubt them overcoming plucky but inferior Namibia today.

Verdict: Mali to win at 1/4.

Banker

Morocco vs Central African Republic 

KO: (UK time)

I’m not sure Morocco are able to outfight or outrun Central African Republic, but they’re certainly far more clinical in front of goal. The pitch caters to the style of the North Africans more too, which helps. I expect a home win.

Verdict: Morocco to win at 1/5.

Banker

Tunisia vs Tanzania 

KO: (UK time)

Tunisia can be a bit slovenly sometimes, and Tanzania are mobile enough to cause problems for such teams. However, when it comes to creating chances and scoring goals, there should only be one winner here.

Verdict: Tunisia to win at 1/5.

Banker

England U21 vs Andorra U21

KO: (UK time)

I watched the reversal of this fixture, and never have I been more embarrassed by an England team. Time-wasting against Andorra U21? And not just that, but failing to do so?! Andorra U21 are fighters, not footballers. Being outfought into a 0-0 draw isn’t much better, but it at least makes more sense. Conceding three goals against Andorra U21 – honestly, it’s probably worthy of being flogged in the town squad. England U21 must be out for revenge here, and as the far better team, I expect a very strong home win.

Verdict: England U21 to win at 3/100.

Banker

Brazil vs Venezuela

KO: (UK time)

The quality gap should be too big here, especially with Brazil finally having a manager in charge that knows how to get the best out of his players. I quite like the current Venezuelan setup but they’re out of their depth when facing a Brazilian team that will work hard. Home win.

Verdict: Brazil to win at 4/25.

Featured game

Colombia vs Uruguay

KO: (UK time)

Over the last five to ten years, it was Uruguay who had the more settled, well-rounded squad out of these two. Now, though? I don’t think so. Tabarez is still in charge, and the Uruguayans rightly love him, but this squad of his is one of the weakest. It won’t stay that way because their talented youngsters will mature. For now though, Uruguay are torn between a terrific past and promising potential, and the results are rather disastrous, as their calamitous display in Ecuador last time out proved.

I mean, you have to bear in mind that Uruguay used to be able to win games because they could sit on leads. They had the best defensive setup in South America. That’s simply not the case any longer, and it jeopardises Tabarez’s entire game-plan – regularly. Gimenez is still a good centre-back, of course, but Godin’s best (and fittest) days are behind him, and the same could be said of Caceres. The continued absence of regular shot stopper Muslera through injury has not helped on that front either. It’s Gimenez vs the world at the moment, and rather understandably, the world is winning.

In midfield, the age-old problem of producing a natural flair player continues to wreak havoc on Uruguay’s attacking intent. I appreciate he’s not the most consistent of players, but Lodeiro has been one of the few over the past few years that could do that job – and he’s out of the squad right now. De Arrascaeta has emerged as someone that can do it, but he’s injured, so he’s out too. On top of that, midfield controller Valverde is out. It leaves Uruguay looking very samey. Again, in years to come, I’m sure they’ll be fine – de Arrascaeta and Pellestri will see to that – but for now, they look bland. 

Lastly, that attack of theirs looks grim. Seriously grim. Suarez may be enjoying the love he’s getting at Atletico Madrid, but he’s still not a good finisher nowadays, and hasn’t been in two years. He’s been brilliant at everything else, but not that. So what have Uruguay done? Paired him with Cavani, another player that hasn’t been a good finisher in two years. He works hard enough but isn’t what Suarez needs. Gomez is out of the squad through injury – he’s the best of the lot, for my money – which means Uruguay look short in attack. In every single area of this squad, I spy weakness – and Colombia don’t seem so charitable right now.

As far as I am concerned, Queiroz is one of the best international managers around. He always manages to get the best out of squads, and Colombia are beginning to show it. Unlike their opponents, they’re not clinging to the past; they’re embracing the future. Some older players that still perform well (e.g. Cuadrado) make the squad, but they’ve moved on from being carried by Falcao, instead calling upon Zapata and Muriel to spear-head the attack. Diaz of FC Porto has impressed, and Morelos has always had the ability; just not the temperament. Therefore, even with Falcao out at the moment, Colombia look just fine rather than desperately scrabbling around for players that can’t do a job at this level any more.

The only one in this squad that puzzles me by his presence is Rodriguez. He had his moment in the sun after moving to Everton, and has now disappeared again because that’s what he does. He was once a brilliant teenager but the reality is that he’s never moved on from there. I much prefer Quintero but he’s out of the squad at the moment, presumably less effective since moving to a far easier Chinese league. Other than that, though, this Colombian squad is really something. Lerma is there for the more physical battles, and Barrios is there to ensure that the team keeps the ball well. Sanchez, Murillo, and Mina keep the defence in check, and Ospina is a safe pair of gloves between the sticks. It’s a very solid foundation, and subsequently a very consistent team; one that impresses far more than Uruguay right now.

Therefore, I’m happy to back Colombia to win this game at 19/20.

Verdict: Colombia to win at 19/20.

Additional games

Chile vs Peru

KO: (UK time)

It’s derby day in western South America, and as if Chile needed any more excuse to have men sent off, right? Probably the most volatile team on this landmass, and that’s really saying something! They may lose some quality when Vidal, Isla, Medel etc. ultimately retire but at least they’ll stop being known as the most aggressive team in South America!

As far as tonight goes, I find the odds on Chile winning this match to be decidedly short. They do play some lovely football sometimes, and with Sanchez, Orellana, and Vidal in their squad, I’m sure they will tonight. This is a dying Chilean team, though. Most of its best players – if not all of them – are over the age of thirty. That’s why they’re trying to force the likes of Castro, Sierralta etc. through as they are. I trust in the style of Chile, but when it comes to quality, this is simply not a very good team anymore. I trust them to score in this game because they do give a shit, Chile. I would not bet on them to win here though.

Peru, by nature, work harder than any other South American team; it’s always been that way, and it still is. By curious quirk of fate, they’ve actually got their best squad in years now, Peru. Cueva, Flores, and Carrillo are excellent wide threats, Tapia and Yotun provide brilliant support, Advincula, Ramos, and Trauco hold things together at the back. It’s a very nice setup. The only problem Peru have had over the past few years has been consistently taking their chances because they don’t struggle to create them.

They’ve found a solution to that problem though, recently nationalising Lapadula of Benevento, a naturally talented pressing forward. Not my favourite finisher, admittedly, but better than what they had, and will be very effective in this kind of mobile, highly energetic setup. Against an overrated Chilean team, I feel that he – and Peru – can have a lot of fun here. If it wasn’t for their overly adventurous nature nowadays, I’d probably back them to avoid defeat. However, Peru recognise that they don’t often have as good an attack as this, and thus are making the most of it. It’s bold, but suicidal.

Still, I think Peru will give Chile a damn good game here. Whatever the eventual outcome, backing both teams to score at 19/20 appeals to me a great deal.

Verdict: Both teams to score at 19/20.

Remaining thoughts

Note

The "remaining thoughts" section is there to be a rough guide in case you want to get involved in games we haven't tipped. It is not there to tell anybody to back specific scorelines, or to guarantee that "2-2" games will go over 2.5 goals, for example. Ian lists what he believes to be the most likely outcome, and this is based on his assessment as to which way each game will develop. However, a "remaining thoughts" game listed with a 2-2 scoreline may have only just edged out a 0-0 scoreline in terms of probability because each game can develop in different ways.

World Cup Qualifiers – South America:

Colombia vs Uruguay (6) 1-0
Chile vs Peru (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Brazil vs Venezuela (8) over 2.5 goals

African Nations Qualifiers:

Niger vs Ethiopia (6) 0-0
Nigeria vs Sierra Leone (7) 2-1
Mali vs Namibia (7) 1-0
Morocco vs Central African Republic (7) 1-0
South Africa vs Sao Tome & Principe (5) 1-0
Tunisia vs Tanzania (7) 2-1

International Friendlies:

Japan vs Panama (6) 1-0
Costa Rica vs Qatar (6) 2-1

UEFA European U21 Championship Qualifiers:

Malta vs Ukraine (8) over 2.5 goals
Lithuania vs San Marino (7) 1-0
Turkey vs Austria (5) 1-2
Greece vs Czech Republic (5) 2-2
Wales vs Moldova (6) 2-1
Kosovo vs Albania (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Gibraltar vs Norway (8) over 2.5 goals
England vs Andorra (7) over 2.5 goals

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