TFT Issue 3277!

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Bankers

General Information

We aim to give you the best possible information before each game. However, the moment the game starts, anything can happen, ranging from red cards to snow storms to pitch invasions. We can only prepare you for so much; it's up to you to learn how to develop yourself as to know when to jump ship if things aren't going as they should.

Pay attention to the odds provided for each tip. Be aware that the longer the odds are, the less chance there is of it coming in. Don't lean toward backing the bankers containing teams you've heard of or selections at longer odds because you trust the team more or if you see the pound signs flashing before your eyes. Sometimes bankers won't win, try to use the previews to steer you toward the right selection to make rather than taking the quick/lazy way.

Please understand that every single tip has the capacity to win, push, or lose. We aim to find good value bets (probability vs odds) as our focal area.

Banker

Brondby vs Lyngby

KO: (UK time)

I was sorely tempted by the Brondby handicap here, but I just can’t bring myself to do it. They’ve played really well this season, the home team, and I can only see them winning tonight too. However, Brondby are shipping goals too easily, and Lyngby are actually rather good in the final third – it’s defending that they’re bad at. I’d be more inclined to back overs than a Brondby handicap, really. As far as the bankers list goes though, a home win should happen here.

Verdict: Brondby to win at 2/5.

Featured game

Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa

KO: (UK time)

The odds on this one are quite interesting. People are going more the other way than they are for both teams to score, which would go against the way both teams have been playing, not to mention the recent history of both teams scoring in this fixture. It’s like people are reading too much into the league table, or even Josue’s absence here.

Hapoel Be’er Sheva being the better team here is not a surprise, and they’ve dominated the recent head-to-heads at home. However, they’ve not been long back from Germany, and they’ve really struggled to juggle competitions this season, which is a shame because they’ve actually played well with the appropriate preparation. I genuinely feared for some kind of Hapoel Be’er Sheva demise, given what’s gone on behind the scenes at the club over the past couple of years, but little could be further from the truth, based exclusively on their displays this season (when afforded the appropriate amount of preparation time). They don’t have the squad to play every three or four days though, and it’s resulted in a rather disappointing run of form.

Then there’s the Josue factor to consider. Their star attacker was involved in a training ground altercation, and was banished from the squad for the trip to Germany, and won’t be playing tonight either. The future does not look rosy for the Portuguese creator! I think people are underestimating the strength of the starting eleven as a whole though, especially now disruptive influences like Sahar are no longer there. Yes, Josue has a lot of talent but the reason Hapoel Be’er Sheva have improved this season is because the team has wanted it more. It really does make a difference when players want to close opponents down, want to make overlaps, and want to support attacks etc. It’s never been a problem for them before that I can recall, but I think seeing the tenacity and belief that Hapoel Be’er Sheva have played with this season have reminded me of the Barda days, which makes me wonder if it’s something they have been missing more than usual after all.

The point is that Hapoel Be’er Sheva are still a threat here, even without Josue. Varenne is an experienced enough striker at Ligat Ha’al level, youngster Shviro has been amongst the goals this season, and both Salalich and Agudelo have played their parts well too. They’re still going to get at Hapoel Haifa, and I would be surprised if they didn’t score here. However, their defence is another matter entirely. Vitor’s absence – again! – leaves them without their natural leader, and most of their back four are known for brawn over brains. Bluntly put, as much as Hapoel Be’er Sheva have improved offensively this season, they’re still not at all convincing in defence.

I think Hapoel Haifa are well-placed to give them a good game tonight too. I appreciate that the league table fanatics will no doubt regard Hapoel Haifa as crap, but that’s simply not the case at all. Now they’ve added Maman and Barsky to their squad, the latter of which is in his second stint, I now class them as contenders for a top six finish. Yes, they had a bad start to the season, and they deserved the defeats that were inflicted upon them. Hapoel Haifa are never far away from having a good side though, given their natural work-rate. They just needed that bit of quality, and now they’ve got Maman and Barsky, they’ve found it. 

Since that happened, Hapoel Haifa have won two on the spin, beating Maccabi Haifa in the derby, and beating Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv mid-week. I would not get carried away with this; I think luck has been on their side in both encounters. They always want it more than their bitter rivals in the Haifa derby, which is why they have such a good record in head-to-heads against Maccabi Haifa, but how often will Zamir score a goal like that? How often will Maccabi Haifa waste as many chances as they did? Furthermore, the Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv game – which again, was at home – came at a time after Berkovic was controversially dismissed as boss. Hapoel Haifa still had to want it, and they earned it their wins because of it – but those displays were far from perfect.

Essentially, Hapoel Haifa have made themselves better in the final third, not better overall. Barsky helps them keep the ball better, adding a really cool head to midfield; Maman is the one that makes things happen. That’s led to inspired performances from Zamir, and even with Agadah in attack out here, I believe that Silbas’ men are playing with enough of a swagger to score at least once tonight. Goalkeeper Buric and veteran defender Kapiloto are out, which only adds to the perpetual uncertainty that Hapoel Haifa have at the back, which is why I certainly wouldn’t bank on them getting a favourable result here. However, I do think it’s a good time to face Hapoel Be’er Sheva, so let’s wait and see, shall we?

The 1×2 market does nothing for me tonight, but backing both teams to score with the above in mind makes a lot of sense to me at evens. 

Verdict: Both teams to score at evens.

Additional games

Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem

KO: (UK time)

I am not a big fan of Maccabi Haifa. I find them to be a very lazy, complacent team in general, especially so when you consider that they’ve won nothing worth winning for a long time now. They’ve always had the squad to manage it, but just never seem interested for long enough. They’ll have good spells, like they did at the start of the season, and they’ll have plenty of bad spells where they fail to convert simple opportunities, giving away cheap goals consistently, and believe me when I say that I am praying that they have not just entered the latter or this tip is in trouble tonight!

For my money, Maccabi Haifa have not been that bad recently. Yes, they’re conceding sloppy goals, but what’s new? I mean, the second goal against Hapoel Haifa was just comedy gold, wasn’t it? Nobody marked Serdal properly, he was allowed to swivel in the box (without any realduress), and then beat Glazer at his near post. It was typical Maccabi Haifa really, after what was probably one of their best derby displays in years. They did play well, creating a lot of chances, but didn’t take enough of them. Then they lost at Hapoel Kfar Saba, scoring enough goals, but conceding too many fouls in and around the box, gave away two penalties, and a 2-1 win became a 3-2 loss. No excuses, but they’ve not been as bad as the form guide suggests.

I’m still amazed that Rukavytsya just seems to get better with age, though. The Australian forward has only ever been known for his speed and skill, but he’s not as quick as he once was. It looks like he’s matured really well to me, becoming far more clinical in front of goal, even from the penalty spot. They do have a couple of noteworthy absentees tonight, the home team, with Ashkenazi and Wildschut, both good attacking players, on the sidelines. However, neither of them have played all that much this season, and if there’s one area of the team that Maccabi Haifa can afford to have absentees, it’s attack. Rukavytsya is brilliant, as I said, and now they’ve got Rodriguez back to help Chery out, they’re not at all short of creative options. If Haziza can hit the heights of last season, and Donyoh can improve his decision-making, they’ll have even better options too; the latter is especially good, not that he showcased it much during his brief stint at Dynamo Dresden.

It’s the Maccabi Haifa defence that grates on me the most because it’s just slovenly, to put it bluntly. At no point do I ever feel confident that they’re truly trying to contain teams. Often they’re just relying on chance and poor finishing, which is not ideal. Alright, the Ligat Ha’al is hardly known for its clinical finishers, but give a team enough chances, and they will score goals. I’d like to see them improve on that front but I also know that they never will. Nothing has really changed at Maccabi Haifa in years now, which is why the outcome has also never really changed. Promising, but ultimately doomed to failure – that’s Maccabi Haifa in a nutshell.

Still, for once they’re not the biggest circus in town though, not whilst hosting Beitar Jerusalem. I don’t really know what this club’s motives are but they’re comedy gold, honestly. If there were a show on Netflix about them, I would watch it – and it would go on for quite a few series’! There’s always something insane going on there, whether it was last season’s owner deciding that the team couldn’t train on Sabbath (previously, it was just that the team wouldn’t play during that time), whether it was the curious decision to actually trade with bitter rivals Bnei Sakhnin in the Georginho saga, whether it was actively trying to sign Atzili from Maccabi Tel-Aviv pre-season when he was embroiled in an undersge sex scandal, or now the concept that they’ll be sold to an owner from United Arab Emirates(!). I mean, are they actually trying to lose favour with everybody in Israel? They’re certainly going about it the right way. Christ, the Tel-Aviv clubs won’t even have to bribe referees anymore if things aren’t going their way against Beitar Jerusalem!

The only thing Beitar Jerusalem have done that I like from their past two years’ of action was to appoint Serbia’s Drapic as manager. I like him a lot. He did a sterling job with Maccabi Netanya, both as an attacking and a defensive manager, and proved he can reinvent teams where required along the way. I think that, if given the chance, he could be a very good manager for Beitar Jerusalem. Of course, that won’t actually happen – they never keep managers for long because the club is always collapsing inwardly, and I am frankly surprised that entropy has not finished them off yet. They changed their minds, sack the manager for no reason, and the whole sorry process starts over again. And they wonder why they embarrass themselves in Europe?

On paper, Beitar Jerusalem can name a strong squad; probably stronger than Maccabi Haifa, for what it’s worth, at least for the present – and it’s been a few years since I could convincingly state such. You wouldn’t know it from their displays though. They look disjointed with half of the players clued up tactically, and the other half doing whatever they feel like. When Ohana is the star player of this season, you know something is wrong. Very talented footballer; don’t get me wrong. His attitude and inconsistency have blighted his career though, and if he’s their leading light, then they’re in for yet another season of despair.

For tonight’s game, the away team are not only juggling all of the above, but they’re also missing a ton of players. Constantin, Adi, Zargari, Verdasca, Matheusinho, Viljter, and Einbinder are out here. For clarity, that’s half of their midfield and half of their defence. I still quite like their attack with veteran Atar now mentoring young Shua, and Ohana in fine fettle too. How they’re going to give them the appropriate service with so many players out though, I just don’t know. I also don’t think there’s much chance of them leaving Haifa with a clean sheet tonight, really. I mean, Ben-Haim should have retired by now, and they’re nothing without Verdasca and Konstantini anyway. I will be very surprised if they get a positive result here, all things considered.

Israeli football can be a bit crazy at times, largely because none of them seem to believe in tactics. Often it just descends into chaos with everybody chasing the ball, and the fastest one getting their first, booting it, and then everyone chases again. I really don’t believe we’ll see Maccabi Haifa control this game, much as though they really should be capable of it. However, I do believe that Maccabi Haifa have done more than enough lately to outscore Beitar Jerusalem tonight, and their opponents do not look to be in any kind of position to stop them.

Therefore, I’m on the home win at 4/5.

Verdict: Maccabi Haifa to win at 4/5.

Team news

Note

All of the information in this section is listed to the best of our knowledge, and we use local sources for as many areas as we can.

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Antwerp – Coopman is absent. De Sart and Nsimba are doubts.
OH Leuven – Duplus, Ostabutey, and Schuermans are absent. Aguemon and Kehli are doubts. 

Brazilian Serie A:

Vasco da Gama – Ribamar is absent.
Ceara – Oliveira is absent. Vizeu, Lacerda, and Saulo Mineiro are doubts.
Fluminense – Frazan and Pacheco are absent.
RB Bragantino – Vitinho, Wesley, and Mansa Realino de Souza are absent.
Gremio – Alisson,Guedes, Leonardo, Maicon, and Miranda are absent.
Goias – Bessa, Chico, Vinicius, Andrade, and Almeida are absent. 

Danish Superligaen:

Brondby – Riveros is absent. Mensah is a doubt.
Lyngby – Gytkjaer and Winther are absent. 

English Premier League:

Leicester City – Amartey, Ndidi, and Soyuncu are absent. Castagne and Pereira are doubts.
Fulham – Kongolo, Onomah, and Tete are asbent.
West Ham United – Antonio and Yarmolenko are doubts.
Aston Villa – Wesley, Barkley, and Engels are absent. Guilbert, Davis, Hause, and Heaton are doubts. 

Israeli Ligat Ha’al:

Hapoel Be’er Sheva – Safuri, Vitor, and Josue are absent. Agedelo, Goldberg, and Acolatse are doubts.
Hapoel Haifa – Nahamias, Stein, Capiloto, Buric, and Agadah are absent.
Maccabi Haifa – Wildschut and Gershon are absent. Ashkenazi is a doubt.
Beitar Jerusalem – Constantin, Adi, Zargari, Verdasca, Matheusinho, Vlijter, and Einbinder are absent. 

Italian Serie A:

Torino Verdi is absent. Vojvoda, Baselli, Lukic, Gojak, Belotti, and Ujkani are doubts.
Sampdoria – Keita is absent. Colley is a doubt.
Genoa Perin, Cassata, and Zappacosta are absent. Criscito, Czyborra, Behrami, Melegoni, and Biraschi are doubts.
Parma – Valenti, Mihaila, and Pezzella are absent. Hernani and Sohm are doubts.

Italian Serie B:

Virtus Entella de Col, Rodriguez, Pavic, Brescianini, Costa, and Morra are absent. Nizzetto is a doubt. Boss Tedino sacked; Vivarini is the new boss.
SPAL – Castro is absent. 

Portuguese Liga 1:

Maritimo Funchal – Costa is absent. Bambock and Zainadine are doubts.
SL Benfica – Weigl, Todibo, Tavares, Taarabt, Nunez, and Almeida are absent. Pedrinho is a doubt.

Spanish Primera Liga:

Real Betis Balompie – Bravo, Camarasa, Canales, and Mandi are absent.
Eibar – Cubero, Kike, and Valdes Diaz are absent. Recio is a doubt.

Swedish Allsvenskan:

Hammarby – Bojanic, Johannsson, and Fallman aer absent.
IFK Norrkoping – No absentees.
AIK Solna – Michel, Hussein, and Strannegard are absent.
Kalmar FF – Lofkvist and Bergqvist are absent.

Turkish Super Lig:

Sivasspor – Felix, Rybalka, Yalcin, Erdal, Fajr, Arslan, and Yesilyurt are absent.
Goztepe – Ozturk, Mihojevic, Ideye, Nwobodo, and N’Diaye are absent.
Kayserispor – Celik, Uzun, Henrique, Lung, and Subasi are absent.
Fatih Karagumruk – Jorquera, Arveladze, Salibur, N’Diaye, Roco, and Zukanovic are absent.

Remaining thoughts

Note

The "remaining thoughts" section is there to be a rough guide in case you want to get involved in games we haven't tipped. It is not there to tell anybody to back specific scorelines, or to guarantee that "2-2" games will go over 2.5 goals, for example. Ian lists what he believes to be the most likely outcome, and this is based on his assessment as to which way each game will develop. However, a "remaining thoughts" game listed with a 2-2 scoreline may have only just edged out a 0-0 scoreline in terms of probability because each game can develop in different ways.

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Antwerp vs OH Leuven (6) 1-0

Brazilian Serie A:

Vasco da Gama vs Ceara (5) 1-0
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino (6) 1-1
Gremio vs Goias (6) 2-0

Bulgarian A PFG:

Etar vs Tsarsko selo (5) 2-1

Danish Superligaen:

Brondby vs Lyngby (7) over 2.5 goals

English Premier League:

Leicester City vs Fulham (6) 2-0
West Ham United vs Aston Villa (5) 2-1

German Bundesliga 2:

VfL Bochum vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (5) 2-2

Israeli Ligat Ha’al:

Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Hapoel Haifa (5) 2-1
Maccabi Haifa vs Beitar Jerusalem (6) 1-0

Italian Serie A:

Torino vs Sampdoria (5) 1-1
Genoa vs Parma (5) 1-2

Italian Serie B:

Virtus Entella vs SPAL (5) 1-1

Portuguese Liga 1:

Maritimo Funchal vs SL Benfica (5) 1-1

Portuguese Liga 2:

SL Benfica II vs Varzim (6) 2-1
Mafra vs Vilafranquense (6) 1-0

Spanish Primera Liga:

Real Betis Balompie vs Eibar (6) 1-0

Swedish Allsvenskan:

Hammarby vs IFK Norrkoping (4) 1-2
AIK Solna vs Kalmar FF (5) 1-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Sivasspor vs Goztepe (6) 1-0
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagumruk (5) 1-1

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