Wed

Free

Zero, zero time due to lots of things atm, sorry. Will try to update further in the morning.

Wednesday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Zenit St.Petersburg vs Porto – both sides to score at 4/5.

Zenit aren’t good in Europe right now – look vulnerable at the back. Porto are missing a goalscorer without Falcao but Hulk & co. should have enough to at least score here, perhaps even nicking a win. 1×2 is a “don’t touch” but both sides scoring looks likely.

Valencia CF vs Chelsea – away win with draw no bet at 4/5.

Bargain. Valencia don’t have the firepower on the big stage. Good side when it comes to keeping the ball but terrible defensively and not good enough in front of goal at this level any longer. Chelsea look better under Villas-Boas all the time – very efficient manager with a very efficient team. Mestalla never easy but draw minimum for Chelsea in my view – superior team.

Shakhtar Donetsk vs APOEL Nicosia – both sides to score at 11/10.

Shakhtar missing half their defence should still win this game but APOEL are good enough to cause at least some problems here. 1×2 has no value but both sides scoring looks possible here.

BATE Borisov vs Barcelona – home win with +2.5 handicap at 3/4.

Horrifically short odds on Barcelona here. No side has ever had an easy away game in Belarus against BATE – tight pitch, physical game, good at keeping the ball. Barcelona are brilliant but this is not easy. They should win the game but I’d be surprised to see it being a heavy scoreline. Potentially some value in BATE +2.5 at 3/4.

AC Milan vs Viktoria Plzen – both sides to score at 11/10.

AC still missing loads of players through injury and with a big game at weekend. AC defence vulnerable to pace. Plzen have pace and this is the biggest game of their existence. Plzen are a goalscoring side and although they’ll probably lose, both sides to score looks to be priced too long here.

HJK Helsinki vs Jaro Pietarsaari – away win with +1.5 handicap at 11/10.

Hate to go against HJK at home but those player sales have damaged them more than I thought and they’re not scoring enough of their chances as a result. Tiring game at weekend, no motivation. Jaro on-fire in front of goal lately – still crap at the back but could make life hard for HJK today.

Haka Valkeakoski vs FC Honka Espoo – away win at 9/10.

Better side. Look good with Petrescu in their ranks as an additional attacking option. Honka should have enough to win this against shitty Haka.

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn – home win at 11/10.

Better side. Long game at weekend but on artificial turf against poor travellers, KuPS look too long here.

Accumulator fodder:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Arsenal, Liga de Quito, EB/Streymur, FK Ventspils.

Recommended bets:

None today, sorry.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

UEFA Champions League:

Zenit St.Petersburg vs Porto (6) 1-1
Valencia CF vs Chelsea (7) 0-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Racing Genk (8) 1-0
Arsenal vs Olympiakos Piraeus (8) 2-0
Olympique de Marseille vs Bv09 Borussia Dortmund (5) 0-0
Shakhtar Donetsk vs APOEL Nicosia (7) 2-1
BATE Borisov vs Barcelona (6) 1-2
AC Milan vs Viktoria Plzen (6) 2-1

Asian Champions League:

Zob Ahan vs Suwon Bluewings (7) 2-0
Al Sadd vs Sepahan (6) 1-1

Copa Sudamericana:

Liga de Quito vs Independiente (8) 2-0

Chilean Primera Division:

O’Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion (7) 1-0
Nublense vs Cobresal (6) 2-1
Deportes Iquique vs La Serena (4) 1-1

Colombian Primera A:

Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali (4) 1-2, at least one red card in this game
Millonarios Bogota vs Independiente de Santa Fe Bogota (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Real Cartagena vs Atletico Junior Barranquilla (5) 0-0
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Huila (7) 2-0
Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas Manizales (6) 1-1
Atletico Nacional de Medellin vs Independiente Medellin (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

English Championship:

Middlesbrough vs Leicester City (6)
Cardiff City vs Southampton (5)

Faroese Meistaradeildin:

EB/Streymur vs IF Fuglafjordur (8) over 2.5 goals

Finnish Veikkausliiga:

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn (7) 2-0
HJK Helsinki vs Jaro Pietarsaari (7) 2-1
Haka Valkeakoski vs FC Honka Espoo (7) 1-2
TPS Turku vs JJK Jyvaskyla (5) 1-2

Latvian Virsliga:

FK Ventspils vs FK Jurmala (8) 2-0

Lithuanian A Lyga:

Suduva Marijampole vs Ekranas Panevezys (5) 0-1

Paraguayan Division Profesional:

Sol de America vs Rubio Nu (6) 1-0
General Caballero vs Cerro Porteno (6) 1-2

Scottish Premier League:

Hibernian vs St.Johnstone (6) 1-0

Singaporean S-League:

Home United vs Young Lions (7) 2-0

Slovenian Prva Liga:

Domzale vs Triglav (7) 1-0
Nafta Lendava vs Mura 05 (6) 2-1
Gorica vs Olimpija Ljubljana (6) 0-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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