Vitoria vs Sport Recife
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Today’s free tip is in the Brazilian Serie A encounter between Vitoria and Sport Recife.
I can’t really say that Vitoria is a better team than Sport Recife. Frankly, they’re similar teams with similar strengths and weaknesses. However, the redeeming strength of both teams is being very strong at home – it’s how they survive, after all.
Vitoria have won three out of their last four Serie A home games. It’s taken good teams and/or good displays to beat them on their own patch this season, as per usual – that’s why only Fluminense and Internacional have managed it thus far. Ceara, Parana, and Chapecoense have all lost against them at the Estadio Manoel Barradas Salvador in Bahia, though. Again, that’s how Vitoria stay up – they win home games against similar/slightly weaker teams than themselves.
You could be forgiven for thinking that Vitoria will be demoralised here. They took a pounding off bitter rivals Bahia in their last match, going down 4-1. However, Vitoria are natural fighters; if anything, I can see that result spurring them on rather than hindering them. Vitoria are the kind of team that know no fear. They want to work hard, score goals, and win games. I wouldn’t trust them to manage games, per se, but I would trust them to outscore a number of Serie A teams at home, Sport Recife included. Vitoria may not have much quality but nobody in Brazil works harder than the Bahia clubs and with a sprinkling of decent attacking options like Neilton, Wallyson, and Rhayner in their ranks, I believe they’ll do enough to pick up a potentially invaluable three points today. Let’s not overlook that they recently acquired midfielder Arouca too. He’s seen better days but he lends Vitoria a level of experience and quality that they seldom see so I am optimistic he’ll play his part here too.
Visitors Sport Recife are poor on the road. They have been for as long as I can remember. That’s probably got something to do with the time that they used to paint rocks green to make their own “pitch” look like it had more grass than it did. I was I was joking about that but they actually did do so. Playing in Recife is a nightmare. I seldom oppose Sport Recife there. On the road, though, it’s generally easy to go against them. To be fair to tonight’s visitors, they have sprung the odd surprise this season but it’s always come in games where their opponents have underestimated their battling nature, which simply won’t happen in Bahia tonight. Barring some Bastos magic, I think they’re in a spot of bother here.
Sport Recife have lost four out of their last six away games against Vitoria. That’s not because Vitoria are better than they are. As I said above, it’s because these two teams excel on their own turf. They know the value of home wins. I honestly don’t think that Sport Recife have enough quality nor energy to cope with this relentless Vitoria side.
Therefore, my call is a home win.
Verdict: Vitoria to win at 11/10.
Thursday’s Thoughts
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games. For confidence ratings, you’ll need to go to the members section here.
UEFA Europa League:
Tobol Kostanai vs Pyunik Yerevan
FK Ufa vs Domzale
FK Ventspils vs Girondins de Bordeaux
Kairat Almay vs AZ Alkmaar
Viitorul Constanta vs Vitesse Arnhem
Spartaks Jurmala vs La Fiorita
Rudar Velenje vs FCSB
Balzan vs Slovan Bratislava
Hapoel Haifa vs FH Hafnarfjordur
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Vikingur Gotu
Chikhura vs Maribor
RB Leipzig vs BK Hacken Goteborg
F91 Dudelange vs Drita
Molde FK vs Laci
Budapest Honved vs Progres Niedercorn
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Vaduz
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs Radnicki Nis
CSKA Sofia vs Admira Wacker
Djurgarden vs Mariupol’
Zrinjski Mostar vs Valletta
APOEL Nicosia vs Flora Tallinn
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rio Ave
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Lech Poznan
LASK Linz vs Lillestrom
FC Nordsjaelland vs AIK Solna
Dinamo Brest vs Atromitos
Gornik Zabrze vs Trencin
B36 Torshavn vs Besiktas JK
Hajduk Split vs Slavia Sofia
FC Santa Coloma vs Valur Reykjavik
Sutjeska Niksic vs Alashkert
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Crusaders
The New Saints vs Lincoln Red Imps
Racing Genk vs Fola Esch
St. Gallen vs Sarpsborg 08
Partizan Belgrade vs Trakai
Atalanta Bergamo vs FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Apollon Limassol
Dundalk vs AEK Larnaca
NK Osijek vs Rangers
Aberdeen vs Burnley
Spartak Subotica vs Sparta Prague
Hibernian vs Asteras Tripolis
Stjarnan Gardabaer vs FC Copenhagen
DAC Dunajska Streda vs Dinamo Minsk
Sevilla CF vs Ujpest
Copa Sudamericana:
Atletico Paranaense vs Penarol Montevideo
General Diaz vs Millonarios Bogota
San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Deportes Temuco
Brazilian Serie A:
Vitoria vs Sport Recife
Botafogo vs Chapecoense
Gremio vs Sao Paulo
America Mineiro vs Internacional
Finnish Veikkausliiga:
RoPS Rovaniemi vs Inter Turku
Enjoy your free betting tips!