Getafe vs Real Sociedad

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Primera Liga game between Getafe and Real Sociedad. Both sides are typical “home” sides, which lays the foundation for this bet well.

Getafe have impressed me since the turn of the year. Their results haven’t always shown it but they’ve played some good attacking football and have subsequently only failed to score in three games since arriving back from their brief winter break. Defensively, there are still question marks for Getafe and even moreso with Lopo missing today’s game. However, there’s plenty of energy in this side and lots of attacking potential and that’s what really interests me regarding Getafe. Their midfield is very strong, especially now that Pedro Leon is back from a lengthy lay-off, and the likes of Barrada have had a very good season, hence Fedor and Guiza causing so many problems up front. Getafe will most likely concede here but I do expect them to win the game.

As much as I am an Athletic Bilbao enthusiast, I do like Real Sociedad, if only for their predictability. They’re tremendous at home and vulnerable on the road, basically. They do well in front of their own fans, largely because they’re one of the few sides in this division that is capable of holding a lead. However, when they fall behind, they tend to fall apart as they don’t like breaking out from their defensive stance unnecessarily. Griezmann, Vela, and Xabi Prieto are lethal attacking assets but Agirretxe isn’t really good enough to cope on the road, usually requiring far too many chances before actually taking one, despite having a relatively good season thus far. The bad news for Real Sociedad today is that consistent centre-back Mikel Gonzalez is suspended and they don’t have a good replacement for him. Take the defence away from Real Sociedad on the road and you have got a pretty much beaten side unless Montanier becomes very bold and makes his Basque outfit attack here. If Real Sociedad do properly attack here then we could be in for a very interesting game as they’re deceptively good at it, especially with the pace that they possess. However, Real Sociedad almost never do that and thus I doubt they will here.

In a strange way, I expect a good game here between two fairly hit-and-miss sides as both possess good attacking players. However, Getafe almost always turn it on at home and Real Sociedad often disappoint. Therefore, on the back of a good win at El Madrigal against Villarreal CF, I fancy Getafe to nick this one at evens.

Verdict: Getafe to win at evens.

Monday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, please find my value tips listed below in no particular order:

Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split – home win at 4/5.

Even though Dinamo Zagreb have been the better of these two sides for some years now, I fancy them to win this derby more than ever. True enough, derbies can be fatal, especially on the cards front. We saw some examples of that yesterday (e.g. Drogheda United vs Dundalk, Legia Warsaw vs Polonia Warsaw) but I feel confident that Dinamo will do the business here.

Even without the timeless Simunic at the back, Dinamo should be able to beat their lesser rivals here. Hajduk’s financial issues meant that they parted with a lot of players during the winter break and they’ve not convinced me in any of their Prva Liga games since then. Indeed, even their friendlies were poor and I can’t see things getting better for Hajduk. They really lack playmakers at the moment and I don’t see how they’ll break through a solid and dependable side like Dinamo Zagreb without some innovation which I don’t see them possessing. Their defence is dubious and as good as their finishing can be, it’s hard to see them managing to find the opportunities to showcase that against a good Dinamo Zagreb side. Although rarely particularly easy-on-the-eye or flambuoyant, Dinamo Zagreb are one of the most ruthless and well-marshalled sides in the Balkans and they’re very efficient as a result. They might not dominate this game, nor play especially well, but I expect them to win this game because the gulf between themselves and Hajduk has opened massively in the last few months. Therefore, the home win at 4/5 appeals to me a lot although as ever, I’d avoid it if the odds drop as derbies are seldom worth shorter odds than 4/5.

Verdict: Dinamo Zagreb to win at 4/5.

Accumulator fodder:

Litex Lovech, Anorthosis Famagusta, Teplice, Tottenham Hotspur, Flora Tallinn, Ekranas Panevezys, Zalgiris Vilnius, Dinamo Bucharest, Partizan Belgrade, Red Star Belgrade, Slovan Bratislava, Spartak Trnava, MSK Zilina, Barcelona, Deportivo La Coruna, Hercules Alicante, St.Gallen, Bursaspor, Shakhtar Donetsk.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Tigre vs Estudiantes De La Plata (6) 0-0
Union de Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield (6) 0-1
Olimpo vs Racing Club Avellaneda (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Belgrano de Cordoba (5) 1-0

Australian A-League:

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United (7) 2-1
Newcastle Jets vs Brisbane Roar (4) 1-1
Melbourne Heart vs Sydney FC (5) 2-1

Bulgarian A PFG:

Minior Pernik vs Cherno More Varna (6) under 2.5 goals
Litex Lovech vs Slavia Sofia (8) 2-1
Chernomorets Burgas vs Beroe (5) 1-0

Chilean Primera Division:

La Serena vs Universidad de Concepcion (6) 2-1
Cobreloa vs Colo Colo (7) 1-0
Palestino vs Cobresal (6) 2-1
Deportes Iquique vs O’Higgins (6) 1-1
Universidad de Chile vs Union Espanola (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Huachipato vs Antofagasta (5) 1-0

Colombian Primera A:

Cucuta Deportivo vs Real Cartagena (7) 2-0
Patriotas vs Independiente de Santa Fe Bogota (5) 1-1
Deportes Quindio vs Atletico Nacional de Medellin (5) 1-1
Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Manizales (6) 2-1

Croatian Prva Liga:

Cibalia Vinkovci vs Lucko (7) 2-0
Istra 1961 vs Sibenik (5) 0-0
Split vs Varteks Varazdin (7) 2-0
Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split (7) 2-0, at least one red card in this game

Cypriot Division 1:

Anorthosis Famagusta vs Olympiakos Nicosia (8) 2-1
Alki Larnaca vs Nea Salamis (7) 2-1
Anagennisi Deryneia vs APOEL Nicosia (5) 0-1
Omonia Nicosia vs Enosis Neon Paralimni (7) 2-1
Aris Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas (5) 0-1

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen (6) 2-1
Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec (6) 1-1
Teplice vs Viktoria Zizkov (8) 2-0

Danish Superligaen:

AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens (6) 1-1

Ecuadorian Primera A:

Manta vs El Nacional Quito (5) 2-2

English Premier League:

Fulham vs Swansea City (5) 1-0
Wigan Athletic vs West Bromwich Albion (6) 1-1

English Championship:

Leeds United vs West Ham United (5) over 2.5 goals
Crystal Palace vs Hull City (6)
Barnsley vs Reading (4)
Doncaster Rovers vs Derby County (5)
Blackpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion (7)
Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough (6)
Ipswich Town vs Peterborough United (7) over 2.5 goals
Portsmouth vs Bristol City (5) over 2.5 goals
Watford vs Coventry City (6)
Millwall vs Southampton (5)

English FA Cup:

Tottenham Hotspur vs Bolton Wanderers (8) 2-1
Everton vs Sunderland (6) 1-0

Estonian Meistriliiga:

Levadia Tallinn vs Trans Narva (5) 1-1
Viljandi vs Flora Tallinn (8) 0-2
Maag Tammeka Tartu vs Sillamae Kalev (7) over 2.5 goals
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Paide (6) 0-1

Faroese Super Cup:

B36 Torshavn vs EB/Streymur (5) over 3.5 goals, both sides to score

Finnish Liiga Cup:

KuPS Kuopio vs VPS Vaasa (7) 2-1

French Ligue 1:

Auxerre vs Evian Thonon Gaillard (6) 2-1
Girondins de Bordeaux vs AC Ajaccio (7) 1-0
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Paris Saint-Germain (6) 1-2
Lorient vs Stade Brestois (6) 1-0
Olympique de Marseille vs Dijon FCO (7) 1-0
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs Montpellier HSC (6) 0-1
Saint-Etienne vs Olympique Lyonnais (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

German Bundesliga:

Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen (7) 2-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Moenchengladbach (6) 2-1
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg (6) 1-0
Nurnberg vs VfL Wolfsburg (6) 2-1
Augsburg vs Mainz 05 (6) 0-1
Hertha BSC Berlin vs Bayern Munich (7) 0-1

Greek Super League:

Aris Salonika vs OFI Crete (7) 1-0
Ergotelis vs Kerkyra (7) 1-0
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens (6) 1-1

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Vasas Budapest vs Gyori ETO FC (6) 0-1
Kecskemeti TE vs Pecsi MFC (5) 2-1
Siofok vs Paksi SE (5) 1-0
Lombard Papa vs Diosgyori VTK (6) 1-1
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Szombathelyi Haladas (5) 2-2

Israeli Ligat Ha’al:

Hapoel Be’er Sheva vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion (5) 1-0
Maccabi Netanya vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv (6) 1-0
MS Ashdod vs Bnei Sakhnin (5) 1-1
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Ramat Hasharon (6) 1-1
Hapoel Acre vs Maccabi Petah Tikva (6) 1-0
Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa (5) 0-1, at least one red card in this game

Italian Serie A:

Parma vs AC Milan (7) 1-2
Fiorentina vs Juventus (5) 1-1

Lithuanian A Lyga:

Tauras Taurage vs Suduva Marijampole (6) 1-2
Vilnius vs Ekranas Panevezys (8) 0-1
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Atlantas (9) -1.5 handicap

Mexican Primera Division:

Queretaro vs Guadalajara (6) 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna (5) 1-1
Pachuca vs Atlante (7) 2-0
Tigres UANL vs Tijuana (6) 2-1
Atlas vs Jaguares (5) 1-0

Dutch Eredivisie:

RKC Waalwijk vs De Graafschap (7) 2-0
Excelsior Rotterdam vs Roda JC Kerkrade (6) 2-2
VVV Venlo vs NEC Nijmegen  (5) 2-1

Paraguayan Division Profesional:

Cerro Porteno PF vs Rubio Nu (5) 1-0
Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

Peruvian Primera Division:

Sport Boys vs Juan Aurich (6) 1-1
Universidad Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima (5) 1-1

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Gornik Zabrze vs LKS Lodz (6) 2-1
GKS Belchatow vs Wisla Krakow (5) 1-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan (5) 1-0

Polish Liga 1:

Bogdanka Leczna vs Flota Swinoujscie (6)
Wisla Plock vs Olimpia Elblag (5)
Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza (4) both sides to score
Polonia Bytom vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz (6)
Katowice vs Ruch Radzionkow (6)
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice (6)

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Uniao de Leiria vs Rio Ave (6) 1-1
Feirense vs Sporting Braga (7) 0-1

Romanian Liga:

Vointa Sibiu vs Gaz Metan Medias (5) 1-1
CFR Cluj vs Pandurii Targu Jiu (7) 2-0
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Cluj (5) 0-1
Dinamo Bucharest vs Sportul Studentesc (8) 2-0

Russian Premier League:

Volga Nizhnyi Novgorod vs FK Krasnodar (5) 2-1
Terek Grozny vs Rostov-na-Donu (7) 2-1

Scottish Premier League:

Dundee United vs Rangers (5) 1-2
Motherwell vs Aberdeen (5) 0-0
St.Mirren vs St.Johnstone (6) 1-1

Serbian Super Liga:

Borac Cacak vs Hajduk Kula (6) 1-1
BSK Borca vs Red Star Belgrade (8) 1-2
Smederevo vs Radnicki 1923 (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Javor Ivanjica vs Metalac GM (7) 1-0
Spartak Subotica vs Novi Pazar (6) 1-0
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Sevojno (7) 2-1
Rad Belgrade vs OFK Belgrade (5) 1-1
Partizan Belgrade vs Jagodina (8) 2-0

Slovakian Corgon Liga:

Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Ruzomberok (6) 2-1
Slovan Bratislava vs Tatran Presov (8) over 2.5 goals
Trencin vs Zlate Moravce (4) 1-1
Spartak Trnava vs Nitra (8) 2-1
MSK Zilina vs DAC Dunajska Streda (8) 2-0

Slovenian Prva Liga:

Domzale vs Gorica (6) 2-1
Rudar Velenje vs Celje (7) 2-0
Nafta Lendava vs Koper (5) 1-1
Maribor vs Mura 05 (7) 2-1

Spanish Primera Liga:

Granada vs Sporting Gijon (5) 1-1
Real Zaragoza vs Osasuna (6) 1-1
Getafe vs Real Sociedad (7) 2-1
Sevilla CF vs Barcelona (8) over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Betis Balompie (6) 2-1

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Deportivo La Coruna vs Alcoyano (8)
Recreativo de Huelva vs Sabadell (6)
Hercules Alicante vs Guadalajara (8)
Cartagena vs Gimnastic de Tarragona (5)
Huesca vs Girona (5)
Deportivo Xerez vs Real Murcia (7) over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas vs Celta de Vigo (6)
Numancia vs Elche (6) over 2.5 goals

Swiss Super League:

Grasshopper Zurich vs Young Boys Bern (5) 1-2, at least one red card in this game
Luzern vs Sion (6) 2-1

Swiss Challenge League:

Biel-Bienne vs Wil (6)
Winterthur vs Bellinzona (6)
St.Gallen vs Wohlen (8)

Turkish Super Lig:

Antalyaspor vs Eskisehirspor (6) 2-1
Sivasspor vs Orduspor (7) 1-0
Bursaspor vs Ankaragucu (9) -1.5 handicap
Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray (4) 2-2, at least one red card in this game

Ukrainian Premier League:

Tavriya Simferopol vs Arsenal Kiev (7) 2-1
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chernomorets Odessa (8) 2-0
Vorskla Poltava vs Illichivets Mariupol (7) 1-0

Welsh Premier League:

Llanelli vs Bala Town (7) 2-0
Carmarthen Town vs Newtown (6) 1-0
Neath Athletic vs The New Saints (5) 2-2

Enjoy your free betting tips!

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