Litex Lovech vs Chernomorets Burgas
FreeWant to obtain team news from around the world? Maybe just to support the site for all the hard work that goes into it? Click here for membership details. Need outright wins instead of value picks? Click here for strike rate and other consultancy details.
Today’s secondary featured game is the A PFG encounter between heavyweights Litex Lovech and nearly men Chernomorets Burgas.
Litex Lovech have been on a slippery slope since the A PFG pre-season and things don’t look too great right now as a result. Their statistics in the division this season look strong but to be honest, given that they’re a better side than 90% of sides in this division, that’s only to be expected. However, it’s their displays that concern me because they’re just not convincing at all. Old Todorov up front is a useful weapon but he doesn’t give them what Niflore did last season, for example. Yanev is still integral to their team and promising midfielder Milanov is helping Litex bear the goalscoring burden a little more easily but it cannot be ignored that Litex do struggle to score against hard opposition at the moment and their lack of a solid target man is the reason for that, in my view. Litex still look decent enough at the back but I have little faith in them breaking down tough sides this season and I think that will show today.
Chernomorets Burgas are the absolute kings of being solid in defence but useless in attack and that should be very evident today. Ex-Slavia Sofia attacker Andonov is their only real weapon in attack and although he’s decent, he’s not something I’d be concerned about in this game. They also lack a proper target man but do boast a more consistent defence than Litex, in my view, hence their last four games all going under 2.5 goals due to them keeping clean sheets. The visitors have relied a lot on Algerian midfielder Hamroun this season and that will probably be the case again today but it’s hard to penetrate Litex in Lovech, either due to their defensive solidarity or due to the supposedly bribed referees so I think the visitors are in for a tough game here.
The 1×2 market price is accurate if you look at the two sides last season but the gap is narrower this season, in my view, as Litex have weakened. You’d still have to expect them to nick it here, by foul means or by fair, but I don’t see any value in that market. Taking under 2.5 goals at odds of 4/5 is very interesting to me here though as we have two sides that defend firstly and attack later. I think we’ll see a tight game and I wouldn’t rule out a cheeky point for the visitors but my call remains under 2.5 goals.
Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at 4/5.
Saturday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, please find my value tips listed below in no particular order:
Zulte-Waregem vs Sint-Truiden – home win at 4/5.
Although statistics in the current season don’t really show it, the hosts are considerably better than their opponents and this should be the ideal platform on which to show it. Big Niger striker Maazou returns to the Zulte-Waregem team to give Kalezic options up front. Habibou hasn’t really looked the same since Hyland left for Genk pre-season but Zulte-Waregem do have a good set of attacking options and it tends to show, especially at home. Defensively – they’re not as good as they need to be, to be honest, but they should be able to outscore Sint-Truiden today. Ever since Sidibe moved on, Sint-Truiden have struggled in attack, even with the emergance of Ghoochannejhad. They especially struggle on the road because not many pitches are as compact as their beloved artificial turf at Stayen, hence them losing the vast majority of their away games this season. Subsequently, the visitors have had to play a more open style of football which just doesn’t suit them and tends to mean that they’ll be outscored, which is exactly what I expect here. Expect goals but Zulte-Waregem should score the lion’s share, one way or another.
Verdict: Zulte-Waregem to win at 4/5.
CFR Cluj vs Dinamo Bucharest – home win at 11/10.
I like Dinamo Bucharest but their number of talented players is dwindling rapidly, especially with Torje leaving for Udinese a short while ago. They still have some good players and their attacking style will always make them a threat but they’re not the force that they once were. Their defence is absolutely horrendous, easily one of the worst in Romania and it tends to show, too. Dinamo scoring is quite possible here but CFR Cluj look galvanised under Costa and should have more than enough tactical awareness, precision, and player quality to wrap this one up with the proper application. For me, there’s value in taking Cluj to win this one at 11/10 today.
erdict: CFR Cluj to win at 11/10.
Accumulator fodder:
Shakhtyor Soligorsk, Racing Genk, Ludogorets, Dinamo Zagreb, Hajduk Split, AEL Limassol, Manchester United, Trans Narva, Maag Tammeka Tartu, Flora Tallinn, Levadia Tallinn, Trans Narva, Sheriff Tiraspol, Feyenoord Rotterdam, Universitario Lima, Porto, Anzhi Makhachkala, Rangers, Bangor City.
Recommended bets:
Maag Tammeka Tartu, Flora Tallinn, Levadia Tallinn, Nomme Kalju, and Trans Narva at 6/5.
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
Asian Champions League:
Jeonbuk Motors vs Al Sadd (7) 1-0
Argentinian Primera Division:
Tigre vs Colon de Santa Fe (4) 0-1
Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Estudiantes de la Plata (5) 2-1
Racing Club Avellaneda vs Argentinos Juniors (7) 1-0
Australian A-League:
Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory (5) 1-1
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar (5) 0-1
Austrian Bundesliga:
Wiener Neustadt vs Admira Wacker (5) 1-0
SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna (6) 1-1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga:
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk (5) 0-1
Dinamo Brest vs Gomel (6) 0-0
Dinamo Minsk vs Belshina Bobriusk (7) 2-0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk (8) 1-0
Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino (4) 1-2
Belgian Eerste Klasse:
Racing Genk vs Kortrijk (8) over 2.5 goals
Germinal Beerschot vs Mons (5) 2-1
Zulte-Waregem vs Sint-Truiden (7) 2-0
Lierse SK vs OH Leuven (6) 1-1
Westerlo vs Lokeren (6) 0-1
Brazilian Serie A:
Botafogo vs Figueirense (7) 2-0
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio (6) 1-0
Bahia vs Sao Paulo (5) 1-0, at least one red card in this game
Bulgarian A PFG:
Slavia Sofia vs Rakovski (7) 2-1
Cherno More Varna vs Beroe (7) 1-0
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia (8) 2-0
Litex Lovech vs Chernomorets Burgas (6) 1-0
Chilean Primera Division:
Palestino vs Santiago Morning (7) 2-1
Universidad de Concepcion vs Union San Felipe (6) 1-1
Union Espanola vs Universidad Catolica (4) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Union La Calera vs Deportes Iquique (7) 1-0
Colombian Primera A:
Itagui Ditaires vs Deportes Quindio (5) 1-1
Millonarios Bogota vs Envigado (7) 1-0
Real Cartagena vs Atletico Nacional de Medellin (4) 0-1
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira (7) 2-0
Deportivo Cali vs La Equidad Bogota (5) 2-1
Croatian Prva Liga:
Cibalia Vinkovci vs Istra 1961 (7) 1-0
Karlovac vs Zadar (7) 2-1
Lucko vs Lokomotiva Zagreb (6) 1-0
Hajduk Split vs Varteks Varazdin (9) -1.5 handicap
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Zagreb (8) 2-0, at least one red card in this game
Cypriot Division 1:
Omonia Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol (7) 2-0
Enosis Neon Paralimni vs Ethnikos Achnas (7) 2-1
AEL Limassol vs Anagennisi Deryneia (8) 1-0
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:
Slovan Liberec vs Ceske Budejovice (7) 2-0
Marila Pribram vs Bohemians 1905 (5) 2-1
Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague (6) 1-2
Danish Superligaen:
Aalborg BK vs AC Horsens (6) 1-1
Danish 1st Division:
Hjorring vs Blokhus (6)
Ecuadorian Primera A:
Imbabura vs Barcelona Guayaquil (5) 0-1
Emelec Guayaquil vs Deportivo Cuenca (7) 2-0
Olmedo Riobamba vs Espoli Cayambe (6) 2-1
English Premier League:
Newcastle United vs Everton (6) 1-0
Arsenal vs West Bromwich Albion (7) over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa vs Norwich City (6) over 2.5 goals
Blackburn Rovers vs Chelsea (7) over 2.5 goals
Liverpool vs Swansea City (7) 2-1
Manchester United vs Sunderland (8) 2-0
Queens Park Rangers vs Manchester City (7) 0-1
English Championship:
Blackpool vs Millwall (7)
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers (7)
Bristol City vs Burnley (4)
Coventry City vs Southampton (5) over 2.5 goals
Hull City vs West Ham United (7) both sides to score
Peterborough United vs Derby County (7)
Portsmouth vs Nottingham Forest (5)
Cardiff City vs Crystal Palace (7)
Middlesbrough vs Watford (7)
Estonian Meistriliiga:
Trans Narva vs Sillamae Kalev (8) 2-0
Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare (8) 2-0
Maag Tammeka Tartu vs Ajax Lasnamae (8) -1.5 handicap
Nomme Kalju vs Flora Paide (8) 2-0
Viljandi vs Flora Tallinn (8) 0-2
French Ligue 1:
LOSC Lille vs Evian Thonon Gaillard (7) over 2.5 goals
German Bundesliga:
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg (6) 2-1
Werder Bremen vs Koln (6) 2-1
Nurnberg vs SC Freiburg (6) 2-1
Hoffenheim vs Kaiserslautern (6) 1-0
Hertha BSC Berlin vs Borussia Moenchengladbach (6) 0-0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV (7) 1-0
Greek Super League:
Panionios vs OFI Crete (6) 1-0
Aris Salonika vs Olympiakos Piraeus (7) 1-1
Hungarian Soproni Liga:
Budapest Honved vs Pecsi MFC (6) 1-0
Vasas Budapest vs Diosgyori VTK (5) 1-2
Kecskemeti TE vs Siofok (6) 2-1
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kaposvari Rakoczi (6) 1-0
Szombathelyi Haladas vs Debreceni VSC (6) 0-1
Italian Serie A:
Palermo vs Bologna (7) 1-0
Novara vs AS Roma (5) 2-2
Latvian Virsliga:
FK Jurmala vs FC Jurmala (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
RFS/Olimps Riga vs Jelgava (5) 1-1
Gulbene 2005 vs Liepajas Metalurgs (7) 1-2
FK Ventspils vs Skonto Riga (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Lithuanian A Lyga:
Klaipeda vs Banga Gargzdai (7) 0-2
Macedonian First League:
11 Oktomvri vs Shkendija 79 (7) 0-1
Renova Dzepciste vs Sileks Kratovo (7) 2-0
Napredok vs Bregalnica Stip (5) 0-0
Rabotnicki Skopje vs Vardar Skopje (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Horizont Turnovo vs Metalurg Skopje (7) 0-2
Mexican Primera Division:
Monterrey vs Atlante (7) 2-0
Cruz Azul vs America (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Queretaro vs Estudiantes Tecos (6) 1-0
Guadalajara vs Pachuca (7) 2-1
Santos Laguna vs Atlas (7) 2-0
San Luis vs Toluca (6) 1-1
Moldovan Divizia Nationala:
Nistru Otaci vs Costuleni (6) 1-0
Academia-UTM Chisinau vs CSCA-Rapid Chisinau (5) 1-1
Milsami Orhei vs Tiraspol (7) 2-0
Dacia Chisinau vs Zimbru Chisinau (7) 1-0, at least one red card in this game
Olimpia Balti vs Iskra-Stali (5) 1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Sfintul Gheorghe (8) 2-0
Dutch Eredivisie:
NAC Breda vs Vitesse Arnhem (6) 1-1
Roda JC Kerkrade vs Heerenveen (6) 2-1
RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen (5) 2-2
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen (8) over 2.5 goals
Norwegian Eliteserien:
Fredrikstad FK vs Start Kristiansand (7) 1-0
Paraguayan Division Profesional:
General Caballero vs Olimpia Asuncion (7) 1-2
Cerro Porteno vs Nacional Asuncion (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Peruvian Primera Division:
Melgar FBC vs Union Comercio (7) 1-0
Universidad San Martin vs Alianza Atletico (6) 1-0
Universitario Lima vs Inti Gas (8) 2-0
Universidad Cesar Vallejo vs Cobresol (7) 2-1
Polish Ekstraklasa:
Korona Kielce vs GKS Belchatow (4) 0-0
LKS Lodz vs Ruch Chorzow (5) 1-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz (7) 2-1
Polish Liga 1:
Ruch Radzionkow vs Dolcan Zabki (6) over 2.5 goals
Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kolejarz Stroze (7)
Olimpia Elblag vs Bogdanka Leczna (7)
Gornik Polkowice vs Flota Swinoujscie (6)
Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Plock (7)
Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz (6)
Portuguese Liga Sagres:
Maritimo Funchal vs Academica de Coimbra (7) 2-1
Olhanense vs Porto (8) 0-2
Romanian Liga:
Vointa Sibiu vs FC Brasov (7) 1-1
Astra Ploiesti vs Petrolul Ploiesti (7) 2-0, at least one red card in this game
CFR Cluj vs Dinamo Bucharest (7) 2-1
Russian Premier League:
Rostov-na-Donu vs Tom’ Tomsk (6) 1-0
Anzhi Makhachkala vs Krylya Sovetov Samara (8) 2-0
Dinamo Moscow vs Spartak Moscow (6) 2-1
Terek Grozny vs FK Krasnodar (6) 2-1
Scottish Premier League:
Hibernian vs Dunfermline Athletic (7) over 2.5 goals
Kilmarnock vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle (7) 2-0
Rangers vs Dundee United (8) over 2.5 goals
St.Mirren vs Hearts (5) 1-1
Serbian Superliga:
Javor Ivanjica vs Vojvodina Novi Sad (6) 1-1
Smederevo vs Rad Belgrade (7) 1-0
BSK Borca vs Partizan Belgrade (7) 0-1
Borac Cacak vs Jagodina (5) 0-0
Metalac GM vs Novi Pazar (6) 1-0
Red Star Belgrade vs OFK Belgrade (7) 2-1
Slovakian Corgon Liga:
Nitra vs Trencin (6) 1-0
Ruzomberok vs DAC Dunajska Streda (5) 1-1
Zlate Moravce vs Kosice (6) 2-1
Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Tatran Presov (7) 2-0
MSK Zilina vs Senica (7) 1-0
Slovenian Prva Liga:
Nafta Lendava vs Domzale (5) 2-1
Gorica vs Rudar Velenje (6) 1-1
Koper vs Triglav (7) 2-0
Spanish Primera Liga:
Real Mallorca vs Sevilla CF (5) 1-1
Real Betis Balompie vs Malaga (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Levante vs Valencia CF (5) 0-1, at least one red card in this game
Spanish Segunda Liga:
Real Valladolid vs Deportivo Xerez (6) over 2.5 goals
Guadalajara vs Recreativo de Huelva (6)
Alcoyano vs Alcorcon (5)
Girona vs Hercules Alicante (5)
Celta de Vigo vs Cartagena (7)
Elche vs Villarreal II (6)
Almeria vs Huesca (7)
Numancia vs Las Palmas (7) over 2.5 goals
Swiss Super League:
Lausanne Sports vs Basel (7) 0-1
Thun vs Luzern (7) 1-0
Swiss Challenge League:
Stade Nyonnais vs Winterthur (6)
St.Gallen vs Chiasso (7)
Turkish Super Lig:
Orduspor vs Gaziantepspor (5) 2-1
Manisaspor vs Antalyaspor (6) 2-1
Karabukspor vs Eskisehirspor (5) 0-0
Galatasaray vs Mersin Idmanyurdu (6) 1-0
Ukrainian Premier League:
Metalurg Donetsk vs Chernomorets Odessa (6) 1-0
Karpaty Lviv vs Illichivets Mariupol (7) 2-1
Volyn Lutsk vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Dnipro Dnepropetrovsk vs Arsenal Kiev (7) 2-0
Uruguayan Primera Division:
Cerro vs Cerro Largo (7) 1-0
Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol (6) 1-2
Racing Club Montevideo vs El Tanque Sisley (7) 1-0
Welsh Premier League:
Afan Lido vs Bangor City (8) 0-2
Carmarthen Town vs Prestatyn Town (7) 0-1
Newtown vs Port Talbot Town (6) 1-1
The New Saints vs Llanelli (7) 2-1
Enjoy your free betting tips!